Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Vila Nova rolls into Goiás as heavy favorites in this relegation-zone clash** — the visitors have won 8 of their last 15 head-to-heads, and their recent form is miles ahead. 🔴
Vila Nova's hitting their stride with 3 wins in their last 5, though that 5-0 shellacking to Athletic Club stings. Goiás are limping along at 1-3-1 and facing this without their keeper Tadeu (broken leg), which is a major blow to a struggling backline.
Key storylines:
- **H. Leite** vs an injury-ravaged Goiás defense — the visitors' keeper should have a relatively calm night
- **Dellatorre and Janderson** leading Vila Nova's attack against a leaky Goiás side that's shipped goals freely
- Home field can't save Goiás here — their recent form suggests they'll struggle to break down a well-organized away side
Expected lineups:
- **Vila Nova FC**: H. Leite, Higor, T. Pagnussat, D. Mendes, Hayner, J. Vieira, D. D. Santos, Janderson, Marquinhos Gabriel, A. Luís, Dellatorre
- **Goiás**: T. Rodrigues, Nicolas, Luiz Felipe, R. Menezes, R. Soares, Filipe Machado, Lourenço, Kadu, L. Lima, J. Carlos, Cadu
Prediction:
**Vila Nova 2–0 Goiás**. Clear edge to the visitors — form, head-to-head record, and Goiás' missing keeper all point one way. 📍
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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