Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Londrina's home fortress meets a Ponte Preta side in total freefall** — this should be a mismatch on paper, but Serie B keeps things spicy. 🔥
Londrina's mixed recent form (1W 2D 2L) looks pristine next to Ponte Preta's genuinely alarming five-game losing streak. The visitors haven't registered a single draw or win in their last five, while the hosts just beat São Bernardo away. That's the kind of split that tells you everything.
Key storylines:
- **Londrina's home advantage** is legit — they've won the head-to-head battle 6-5 over the last 11 meetings, and they're playing in Londrina
- **Ponte Preta's defensive crisis** — five consecutive defeats and no clean sheets suggests Elvis and the backline are completely broken
- **Gilberto's form** matters for the hosts; a goal-scorer in good rhythm can punish a defence this exposed
Expected lineups:
- **Londrina**: Kozlinski, Kevyn, G. Lacerda, Y. Lincoln, Heron, J. Vitor, P. Moccelin, L. Marques, Vitinho, G. Portuga, Gilberto
- **Ponte Preta**: Vinicius, Kevyson, L. Cunha, S. Palacios, D. Leão, André, Elvis, R. de Souza, David, Brandão, Baianinho
Prediction:
**Londrina 2–0 Ponte Preta**
Home side's edge is simply too steep against a team that's completely lost the plot.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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