Náutico 3-1 Sport Recife: Stats, xG & Lineups

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Brasileirão Serie B ·Sat 26 Sep

Náutico

3–1

HT 1–0

Full time

Sport Recife

Estádio dos Aflitos, Recife · Ref: Daiane Caroline Muniz Dos Santos

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Náutico 3-1 Sport Recife.

90+6'

N. Pessoa

Attempt missed. N. Pessoa (Sport Recife), header. xG 0.03.

90+1'

N. Pessoa

Goal! Náutico 3-1 Sport Recife. N. Pessoa (Sport Recife) scores, assisted by W. Oliveira.

90+1'

W. Oliveira

Attempt missed. W. Oliveira (Sport Recife), header. xG 0.01.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

89'

K. Andrade

Attempt saved. K. Andrade (Sport Recife), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

89'

Sport Recife

Corner, Sport Recife.

86'

Náutico

Offside, Náutico.

85'

P. de Paula

Attempt missed. P. de Paula (Sport Recife), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

84'

Sport Recife

Corner, Sport Recife.

84'

P. de Paula

Attempt blocked. P. de Paula (Sport Recife), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

83'

R. Lopes

Yellow card for R. Lopes (Sport Recife) for foul.

82'

P. Sérgio

Attempt missed. P. Sérgio (Náutico), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

80'

S. F. Rodrigues

Attempt missed. S. F. Rodrigues (Náutico), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.12.

79'

P. de Paula

Attempt blocked. P. de Paula (Sport Recife), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

75'

K. Andrade

Attempt missed. K. Andrade (Sport Recife), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

74'

J. Carlos

Substitution, Náutico: K. Maranhão comes on for J. Carlos.

72'

Vinícius

Attempt blocked. Vinícius (Náutico), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

72'

Náutico

Corner, Náutico.

72'

G. Henrique

Goal! Náutico 3-0 Sport Recife. G. Henrique (Náutico) scores.

71'

Marlon

Substitution, Sport Recife: K. Andrade comes on for Marlon.

71'

Perotti

Substitution, Sport Recife: N. Pessoa comes on for Perotti.

69'

Marlon

Attempt blocked. Marlon (Sport Recife), header from a throw-in. xG 0.02.

68'

Sport Recife

Corner, Sport Recife.

67'

Todinho

Substitution, Náutico: P. Sérgio comes on for Todinho.

65'

R. Lopes

Attempt blocked. R. Lopes (Sport Recife), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

64'

Sport Recife

Corner, Sport Recife.

61'

Diego Hernández

Substitution, Sport Recife: P. de Paula comes on for Diego Hernández.

60'

J. Carlos

Attempt blocked. J. Carlos (Náutico), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

60'

Náutico

Corner, Náutico.

59'

J. Alano

Attempt blocked. J. Alano (Sport Recife), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

58'

Derek

Substitution, Náutico: B. Borasi comes on for Derek.

57'

J. Carlos

Attempt missed. J. Carlos (Náutico), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.

57'

Ryan

Substitution, Náutico: G. Henrique comes on for Ryan.

52'

Todinho

Attempt missed. Todinho (Náutico), header. xG 0.12.

51'

Diego Hernández

Attempt missed. Diego Hernández (Sport Recife), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

48'

J. Carlos

Goal! Náutico 2-0 Sport Recife. J. Carlos (Náutico) scores, assisted by Derek.

46'

A. Pucci

Substitution, Sport Recife: Claudinho comes on for A. Pucci.

46'

Arnaldo

Substitution, Náutico: Reginaldo comes on for Arnaldo.

46'

F. Sobral

Substitution, Sport Recife: J. Alano comes on for F. Sobral.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Náutico 1-0 Sport Recife.

45+7'

M. Ajul

Attempt missed. M. Ajul (Sport Recife), header from a corner. xG 0.10.

45+6'

Sport Recife

Corner, Sport Recife.

45+2'

Vinícius

Goal! Náutico 1-0 Sport Recife. Vinícius (Náutico) scores, assisted by J. Carlos.

45+2'

Náutico

Corner, Náutico.

45+1'

Náutico

Corner, Náutico.

45+1'

Perotti

Attempt missed. Perotti (Sport Recife), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

45+1'

Todinho

Attempt saved. Todinho (Náutico), right-footed shot. xG 0.52.

45'

5 minutes of added time.

43'

Todinho

Attempt missed. Todinho (Náutico), shot. xG 0.04.

41'

C. Barletta

Attempt saved. C. Barletta (Sport Recife), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

39'

Perotti

Attempt blocked. Perotti (Sport Recife), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

39'

Marlon

Attempt blocked. Marlon (Sport Recife), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

39'

Sport Recife

Corner, Sport Recife.

34'

Wenderson

Attempt missed. Wenderson (Náutico), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.00.

34'

Náutico

Offside, Náutico.

33'

Náutico

Corner, Náutico.

33'

Marcelo

Attempt missed. Marcelo (Sport Recife), header from a set piece. xG 0.10.

28'

M. Ajul

Attempt missed. M. Ajul (Sport Recife), header from a set piece. xG 0.05.

26'

Wenderson

Yellow card for Wenderson (Náutico) for foul.

21'

Náutico

Corner, Náutico.

21'

Náutico

Corner, Náutico.

20'

Náutico

Corner, Náutico.

20'

Náutico

Corner, Náutico.

17'

Marlon

Attempt saved. Marlon (Sport Recife), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

16'

Náutico

Corner, Náutico.

13'

Náutico

Corner, Náutico.

Sport Recife

Corner, Sport Recife.

C. Barletta

Attempt blocked. C. Barletta (Sport Recife), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

M. Ajul

Attempt blocked. M. Ajul (Sport Recife), header from a corner. xG 0.20.

C. Barletta

Attempt missed. C. Barletta (Sport Recife), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

C. Barletta

Attempt blocked. C. Barletta (Sport Recife), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

Sport Recife

Corner, Sport Recife.

Kick-off: Náutico vs Sport Recife.

Where the money is

206339 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 33673 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

78.9%

-20.1 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

14.9%

+14.8 vs price

Away 800.0 · implied 0.1%

6.2%

+6.1 vs price

Half time 1237 EUR · live

Home 1.12 · implied 89.3%

54.1%

-35.2 vs price

Draw 9.2 · implied 10.9%

36.5%

+25.7 vs price

Away 9.4 · implied 10.6%

9.3%

-1.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 23554 EUR · live

Under 2.38 · implied 42.0%

67.0%

+25.0 vs price

Over 1.72 · implied 58.1%

33.0%

-25.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 79 EUR · live

Over 120.0 · implied 0.8%

76.9%

+76.0 vs price

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

21.4%

-77.6 vs price

12 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

26' Wenderson · Foul

Half-time · 1–0

45'⁺² ⚽ Vinícius · assist J. Carlos1–0

46' 🔁 J. Alano ◂ F. Sobral

46' 🔁 Reginaldo ◂ Arnaldo

46' 🔁 Claudinho ◂ A. Pucci

48' ⚽ J. Carlos · assist Derek2–0

57' 🔁 G. Henrique ◂ Ryan

58' 🔁 B. Borasi ◂ Derek

61' 🔁 P. de Paula ◂ Diego Hernández

67' 🔁 P. Sérgio ◂ Todinho

71' 🔁 N. Pessoa ◂ Perotti

71' 🔁 K. Andrade ◂ Marlon

72' ⚽ G. Henrique3–0

74' 🔁 K. Maranhão ◂ J. Carlos

83' R. Lopes · Foul

Full-time · 3–1

90'⁺¹ ⚽ N. Pessoa · assist W. Oliveira3–1

Coaches

Bruno Pivetti

Mariano Soso

Recent form

Náutico

LACuiabá0-3

DHOperário-PR3-3

LAAmérica Mineiro1-2

WHBotafogo-SP1-0

WHAthletic Club2-1

Sport Recife

WHJuventude2-1

LACRB1-2

WHPonte Preta2-0

LACeará1-2

LAGrêmio Novorizontino1-2

About this match

**Pernambuco derby, same stadium, different narratives** — Náutico's showing glimpses of form while Sport are stuck in neutral, and this is the perfect chance for the visitors to make a statement 🔥

Náutico have **2 wins in their last 5**, mixing solid defensive moments with the odd wobble. Sport drew a blank in the losses column but can't string wins together; they're inconsistent, which is exactly what Náutico should exploit on the road.

Key storylines:

- **Náutico's midfield balance** — J. Carlos and Wenderson anchoring while V. Andrade and B. Borasi drive the tempo could expose Sport's sluggish rhythm
- **Sport's attacking threats** — Diego Hernández and Perotti are dangerous, but the back four (led by M. Ajul and K. Almeida) has leaked goals
- **Derby volatility** — H2H is dead even (5-5-6 across 17 games), so form matters more than history here

Expected lineups:

- **Náutico**: Muriel, I. Fernandes, L. Índio, G. Henrique, L. Felipe, J. Carlos, Wenderson, V. Andrade, B. Borasi, K. Maranhão, Derek
- **Sport Recife**: T. Couto, E. Lucas, M. Ajul, K. Almeida, Claudinho, Zé Gabriel, W. Oliveira, Clayson, Diego Hernández, C. Barletta, Perotti

Prediction:

**Náutico 2-1 Sport Recife**. Slight edge to the visitors — better rhythm, cleaner recent form, and Sport's defensive wobbles are an open invitation ⚪

Where to watch

Betano

Match facts

Stadium

Estádio dos Aflitos

City

Recife

Referee

Daiane Caroline Muniz Dos Santos

3.62 yellows/match · 13 matches

Kickoff

26 Sep, 19:30 UTC

Competition

Brasileirão Serie B

Top stats

41%Possession59%

1.27Expected goals (xG)1.68

12Total shots24

4Shots on target4

3Big chances1

11Corners9

Shots

6Shots off target10

2Blocked shots10

9Shots inside box15

3Shots outside box9

1Big chances scored1

2Big chances missed0

0.33Goals prevented-1.07

Attack

14Touches in box23

66Final third entries82

2Offsides0

7Free kicks15

0Fouled in final third5

Passing

281Passes421

211Accurate passes341

33/73 (45%)Long balls27/61 (44%)

6/28 (21%)Crosses8/28 (29%)

26Throw-ins34

Duels

43Duels57

35/78 (45%)Ground duels43/78 (55%)

11/29 (38%)Aerial duels18/29 (62%)

6/21 (29%)Dribbles3/8 (38%)

10Dispossessed18

Defending

23Tackles25

70Tackles won64

16Interceptions12

46Clearances31

55Recoveries47

Discipline

15Fouls7

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves1

1Big saves0

10Goal kicks8

2Punches2

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Náutico 39%

28%

Sport Recife 33%

CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.28 @ 1xBet

Who winsNáutico to win (DNB) 71% · 1.67 @ 888Sport

1X2Draw 28% · 2.50 @ Bet365

1X2Sport Recife to win 33% · 3.60 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.50 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 4.95 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.21 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.29 @ Pinnacle

1X2Náutico to win 39% · 2.62 @ William Hill

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.86 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.20

Náutico

3.16

Draw

3.00

Sport Recife

Double Chanceconsensus

1.30

Náutico or Draw

1.31

Náutico or Sport Recife

1.60

Draw or Sport Recife

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.75

Yes

1.95

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.90

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

5.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.03

Over 0.50

9.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.31

Over 1.50

3.20

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.04

Over 2.50

1.73

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.65

Over 3.50

1.25

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

7.50

Over 4.50

1.06

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.60

Náutico

2.20

Sport Recife

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.10

Over 7.50

4.71

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.28

Over 8.50

3.12

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.56

Over 9.50

2.31

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.92

Over 10.50

1.84

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.39

Over 11.50

1.52

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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