Avaí 0-1 Ceará: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 3, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Avaí 0-1 Ceará.

90+6'

L. Otávio

Goal! Avaí 0-1 Ceará. L. Otávio (Ceará) scores, assisted by R. López.

90+5'

Ceará

Corner, Ceará.

90+5'

Vinicius Zanocelo

Attempt saved. Vinicius Zanocelo (Ceará), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

90+4'

Ceará

Corner, Ceará.

90+3'

Ceará

Corner, Ceará.

90+3'

Vina

Attempt saved. Vina (Ceará), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.08.

90+2'

D. Penha

Yellow card for D. Penha (Avaí) for foul.

90+1'

Avaí

Offside, Avaí.

90'

8 minutes of added time.

90'

Melk

Attempt blocked. Melk (Ceará), left-footed shot. xG 0.14.

89'

R. Santana

Attempt missed. R. Santana (Ceará), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

89'

Ceará

Corner, Ceará.

87'

M. Araújo

Substitution, Ceará: R. López comes on for M. Araújo.

87'

Avaí

Offside, Avaí.

82'

Melk

Attempt missed. Melk (Ceará), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

80'

Vina

Attempt missed. Vina (Ceará), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

77'

D. Penha

Attempt blocked. D. Penha (Avaí), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

77'

Avaí

Corner, Avaí.

75'

E. Lodovico

Substitution, Ceará: R. Santana comes on for E. Lodovico.

75'

B. Borges

Substitution, Ceará: J. Gabriel comes on for B. Borges.

74'

J. Maciel

Attempt missed. J. Maciel (Avaí), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

73'

Avaí

Corner, Avaí.

71'

F. Vizeu

Yellow card for F. Vizeu (Avaí) for argument.

70'

J. Vitor

Substitution, Avaí: Wallison comes on for J. Vitor.

70'

Del Piage

Substitution, Avaí: Gaspar comes on for Del Piage.

68'

M. Araújo

Attempt blocked. M. Araújo (Ceará), right-footed shot. xG 0.15.

67'

Del Piage

Attempt missed. Del Piage (Avaí), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

64'

Avaí

Offside, Avaí.

63'

Richardson

Substitution, Ceará: Vinicius Zanocelo comes on for Richardson.

63'

L. Holanda

Substitution, Ceará: Vina comes on for L. Holanda.

61'

Avaí

Offside, Avaí.

61'

D. Teixeira

Attempt blocked. D. Teixeira (Avaí), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

60'

L. Holanda

Attempt missed. L. Holanda (Ceará), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.

60'

D. Penha

Attempt saved. D. Penha (Avaí), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

60'

L. Gamalho

Substitution, Avaí: C. Suassuna comes on for L. Gamalho.

58'

L. Gamalho

Attempt blocked. L. Gamalho (Avaí), right-footed shot. xG 0.16.

58'

Wenderson

Attempt missed. Wenderson (Avaí), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

55'

Richardson

Yellow card for Richardson (Ceará) for foul.

54'

Ceará

Corner, Ceará.

52'

J. Lucas

Attempt blocked. J. Lucas (Avaí), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

49'

Wenderson

Attempt blocked. Wenderson (Avaí), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

48'

M. Araújo

Attempt saved. M. Araújo (Ceará), right-footed shot. xG 0.36.

48'

E. Lodovico

Attempt missed. E. Lodovico (Ceará), left-footed shot. xG 0.74.

46'

Avaí

Corner, Avaí.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Avaí 0-0 Ceará.

45+4'

D. Teixeira

Attempt saved. D. Teixeira (Avaí), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

45+3'

Del Piage

Attempt missed. Del Piage (Avaí), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

45'

Allyson

Attempt missed. Allyson (Avaí), header from a corner. xG 0.17.

45'

L. Gamalho

Attempt missed. L. Gamalho (Avaí), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.49.

44'

Avaí

Corner, Avaí.

43'

D. Teixeira

Attempt saved. D. Teixeira (Avaí), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.07.

43'

L. Henrique

Attempt missed. L. Henrique (Avaí), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

42'

Avaí

Corner, Avaí.

38'

L. Otávio

Yellow card for L. Otávio (Ceará) for argument.

37'

Del Piage

Yellow card for Del Piage (Avaí) for foul.

37'

Wenderson

Yellow card for Wenderson (Avaí) for argument.

36'

D. Penha

Attempt missed. D. Penha (Avaí), header. xG 0.02.

35'

Melk

Attempt saved. Melk (Ceará), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

28'

L. Henrique

Attempt missed. L. Henrique (Avaí), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

25'

Avaí

Corner, Avaí.

24'

D. Teixeira

Attempt saved. D. Teixeira (Avaí), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

14'

Ceará

Corner, Ceará.

12'

E. Lodovico

Attempt missed. E. Lodovico (Ceará), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.02.

11'

Avaí

Corner, Avaí.

7'

D. Penha

Attempt missed. D. Penha (Avaí), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.21.

4'

Avaí

Corner, Avaí.

4'

D. Teixeira

Attempt saved. D. Teixeira (Avaí), header. xG 0.21.

3'

Reynaldo

Substitution, Avaí: J. Maciel comes on for Reynaldo.

1'

Kick-off: Avaí vs Ceará.

Where the money is

98447 EUR matched · captured 1 month ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 23606 EUR · live

Away 1.04 · implied 96.2%

38.4%

-57.7 vs price

Draw 26.0 · implied 3.8%

35.9%

+32.0 vs price

Home 200.0 · implied 0.5%

26.2%

+25.7 vs price

Half time 551 EUR · live

Draw 1.72 · implied 58.1%

58.3%

+0.1 vs price

Away 5.4 · implied 18.5%

28.7%

+10.2 vs price

Home 4.1 · implied 24.4%

12.7%

-11.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 11874 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

81.1%

-17.9 vs price

Over 75.0 · implied 1.3%

21.1%

+19.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 420 EUR · live

Under 1.02 · implied 98.0%

84.8%

-13.3 vs price

Over 14.0 · implied 7.1%

15.0%

+7.9 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

3' 🔁 J. Maciel ◂ Reynaldo

37' Wenderson · Argument

37' Del Piage · Foul

38' L. Otávio · Argument

Half-time · 0–0

55' Richardson · Foul

60' 🔁 C. Suassuna ◂ L. Gamalho

63' 🔁 Vina ◂ L. Holanda

63' 🔁 Vinicius Zanocelo ◂ Richardson

70' 🔁 Gaspar ◂ Del Piage

70' 🔁 Wallison ◂ J. Vitor

71' F. Vizeu · Argument

75' 🔁 J. Gabriel ◂ B. Borges

75' 🔁 R. Santana ◂ E. Lodovico

87' 🔁 R. López ◂ M. Araújo

Full-time · 0–1

90'⁺² D. Penha · Foul

90'⁺⁶ ⚽ L. Otávio · assist R. López0–1

Coaches

Allan Rodrigo Aal

Daniel Paulista

Recent form

Avaí

LACriciúma0-3

LAGoiás1-2

DHVila Nova FC1-1

LAFortaleza0-1

LAGrêmio Novorizontino1-3

Ceará

DAOperário-PR2-2

WHGrêmio Novorizontino2-1

DAFortaleza1-1

LAAtlético Goianiense1-2

WHSport Recife2-1

About this match

**Avaí are in freefall, and Ceará smell blood.** This is a classic tussle of a team desperate to stop the rot versus one quietly building momentum. 🔥

Avaí haven't won in five—four losses sandwiched around a draw—while Ceará have rattled off two wins in their last five and sit comfortably above the chaos. The H2H leans Ceará's way (9 wins to Avaí's 8), so expect the visitors to come to Florianópolis with confidence.

Key storylines:

- **Avaí's attack needs to wake up**—F. Vizeu and I. Pereira have been starved of service in a team hemorrhaging goals (0-3 and 1-2 defeats sting)
- **Ceará's balance looks sharper**—Melk and N. Ferreira link midfield to attack smoothly; M. Araújo's form is key
- **Home pressure cuts both ways**—Avaí haven't won at the Ressacada in a while, but Ceará have shown they can grind results away

Expected lineups:

- **Avaí**: B. Ferreira, Reynaldo, Allyson, D. Teixeira, L. Henrique, P. Vitor, Léo Chú, J. Lucas, F. Vizeu, I. Pereira
- **Ceará**: Richard, Sávio, L. Otávio, Júlio César, B. Borges, J. Gabriel, N. Ferreira, G. Rocha, M. Araújo, Melk, L. Holanda

Prediction:

**Ceará 1–0 Avaí.** Ceará's momentum edges out a misfiring home side. ✅

Where to watch

BetanoDisney+

Match facts

Stadium

Estádio da Ressacada

City

Florianópolis

Referee

Alex Gomes Stefano

5.20 yellows/match · 54 matches

Kickoff

03 Oct, 14:00 UTC

Competition

Brasileirão Serie B

Highlights & clips

Avaí 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 Ceará

94 B. Ferreira 7.2 2 Wallison 6.2 ↑ 70' 3 Allyson 7.1 38 J. Maciel 6.7 ↑ 3' 36 D. Teixeira 7.3 70 Gaspar 6.3 ↑ 70' 8 L. Henrique 6.6 14 D. Penha 8.2 95 Wenderson 6.7 10 J. Lucas 7.0 19 C. Suassuna 6.6 ↑ 60' 1 Richard 8.5 2 Rafael Ramos 7.9 4 L. Otávio 8.3 13 L. Otávio 8.3 78 J. Gabriel 6.6 ↑ 75' 25 Vinicius Zanocelo 6.7 ↑ 63' 81 J. Gabriel 6.6 16 R. Santana 7.0 ↑ 75' 40 Melk 6.9 94 R. López 6.7 ↑ 87' 29 Vina 7.2 ↑ 63'

Substitutes

1GIgor 22DJ. Vitor↓ 70'7.6 40DReynaldo↓ 3' 15DG. Aquino 66DM. Quaresma 5MDel Piage↓ 70'7.1 7MLéo Chú 18MHyan 23MG. Cipriano 30MK. Gabriel 9FL. Gamalho↓ 60'5.8 11FF. Vizeu

Coach: Allan Rodrigo Aal

Substitutes

22GMatheus Nogueira 23GC. França 31DB. Borges↓ 75'6.9 60DE. Lodovico↓ 75'6.0 44DK. C. Leão 33DÉder 26MRichardson↓ 63'7.0 8MM. Araújo↓ 87'6.4 7MG. Pavani 10ML. Mugni 99FL. Holanda↓ 63'6.5 77FL. Lobato

Coach: Daniel Paulista

Top stats

56%Possession44%

1.79Expected goals (xG)1.75

20Total shots13

5Shots on target5

2Big chances3

8Corners6

Shots

11Shots off target6

4Blocked shots2

11Shots inside box6

9Shots outside box7

0Big chances scored1

2Big chances missed2

0.07Goals prevented0.61

Attack

36Touches in box19

66Final third entries36

3Offsides0

16Free kicks10

3Fouled in final third1

Passing

430Passes350

367Accurate passes288

24/47 (51%)Long balls18/39 (46%)

8/37 (22%)Crosses4/20 (20%)

24Throw-ins14

Duels

53Duels47

39/73 (53%)Ground duels34/73 (47%)

15/28 (54%)Aerial duels13/28 (46%)

8/13 (62%)Dribbles8/17 (47%)

12Dispossessed7

Defending

16Tackles17

81Tackles won65

10Interceptions12

20Clearances41

42Recoveries42

Discipline

10Fouls16

4Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

4Saves5

1Big saves1

13Goal kicks19

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 22 bookmakers

Avaí 37%

31%

Ceará 33%

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 59% · 1.10 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 79% · 1.20 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.73 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.41 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 31% · 2.37 @ 1xBet

BTTSBTTS: No 54% · 1.23 @ 1xBet

Who winsAvaí to win (DNB) 63% · 1.80 @ Bet365

1X2Ceará to win 33% · 3.31 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.71 @ Pinnacle

1X2Avaí to win 37% · 3.04 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 66% · 2.50 @ William Hill

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.51

Avaí

2.98

Draw

2.80

Ceará

Double Chanceconsensus

1.39

Avaí or Draw

1.33

Avaí or Ceará

1.50

Draw or Ceará

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.00

Yes

1.75

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.90

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.20

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.07

Over 0.50

8.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.42

Over 1.50

2.75

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.30

Over 2.50

1.58

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

4.50

Over 3.50

1.18

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

9.25

Over 4.50

1.04

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.73

Avaí

1.95

Ceará

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.19

Over 7.50

3.74

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.41

Over 8.50

2.60

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.71

Over 9.50

2.06

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.12

Over 10.50

1.66

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.82

Over 11.50

1.34

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Report a data issue