Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Goiás are wobbling but host a draw-machine in Athletic Club** — this is a clash between a team fighting form and one that just can't seem to settle a game. 🔥
Goiás have picked up wins lately but also just took a 3-0 pumping from Grêmio Novorizontino. Athletic Club, meanwhile, are drawing everything — two of their last three matches ended level, and they haven't lost at home to Goiás in their head-to-head. That's not great news for the hosts.
Key storylines:
- **Goiás' attack needs to click** — J. Carlos and F. Clemente have to convert chances at the Serrinha, because letting Athletic Club set up defensively rarely ends well for home sides in Serie B.
- **Athletic Club's R. Tavares is out** with an ACL knee injury, gutting their squad depth and forcing adjustments in the back three.
- **Midfield battle matters** — Filipe Machado and Lourenço versus Enzo and Douglas will determine whether Goiás can build pressure or Athletic Club slows the game to a crawl.
Expected lineups:
- **Goiás**: Tadeu, Djalma, L. Ribeiro, Luiz Felipe, R. Soares, Filipe Machado, Lourenço, Kadu, L. Lima, J. Carlos, F. Clemente
- **Athletic Club**: Luan Polli, L. Belezi, Jhonathan, J. P. Torres, Enzo, Douglas, K. Rodrigues, J. Miguel, Carlinhos, W. Aponzá, Max
Prediction:
**Goiás 1–1 Athletic Club**. Home edge keeps it tight, but Athletic's defensive shape and injury woes make a draw the edge.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
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