Operário-PR 1-2 Botafogo-SP: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Operário-PR 1-2 Botafogo-SP.

90+1'

J. Cuenú

Red card! J. Cuenú (Operário-PR) is sent off for violent conduct.

90+1'

P. Brey

Yellow card for P. Brey (Botafogo-SP) for argument.

90'

9 minutes of added time.

90'

Joseph

Yellow card for Joseph (Operário-PR) for argument.

89'

J. Zuluaga

Yellow card for J. Zuluaga (Operário-PR) for foul.

87'

Vinicius Mingotti

Attempt missed. Vinicius Mingotti (Operário-PR), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

87'

W. Pinheiro

Substitution, Botafogo-SP: Z. Hugo comes on for W. Pinheiro.

85'

H. Pereira

Attempt saved. H. Pereira (Operário-PR), header. xG 0.02.

84'

Operário-PR

Offside, Operário-PR.

80'

Vinicius Mingotti

Attempt missed. Vinicius Mingotti (Operário-PR), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.07.

74'

Vinicius Mingotti

Attempt missed. Vinicius Mingotti (Operário-PR), header from a throw-in. xG 0.08.

71'

C. Dantas

Substitution, Operário-PR: P. Vilhena comes on for C. Dantas.

70'

Darlan

Substitution, Botafogo-SP: Badaró comes on for Darlan.

70'

Hygor

Substitution, Botafogo-SP: Arthur Caíke comes on for Hygor.

68'

Joseph

Attempt missed. Joseph (Operário-PR), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

67'

Operário-PR

Corner, Operário-PR.

67'

Operário-PR

Corner, Operário-PR.

67'

Operário-PR

Corner, Operário-PR.

66'

V. D. D. Antonia

Attempt blocked. V. D. D. Antonia (Operário-PR), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

66'

R. Gava

Substitution, Botafogo-SP: M. Antonio comes on for R. Gava.

66'

L. Maciel

Substitution, Botafogo-SP: M. Sales comes on for L. Maciel.

64'

Botafogo-SP

Offside, Botafogo-SP.

62'

M. Trindade

Substitution, Operário-PR: J. Zuluaga comes on for M. Trindade.

57'

Vinicius Mingotti

Attempt saved. Vinicius Mingotti (Operário-PR), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

56'

G. Feliciano

Substitution, Operário-PR: Vinicius Mingotti comes on for G. Feliciano.

54'

E. Morelli

Goal! Operário-PR 1-2 Botafogo-SP. E. Morelli (Botafogo-SP) scores, assisted by P. Brey.

51'

E. Morelli

Attempt saved. E. Morelli (Botafogo-SP), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

46'

N. Paraíba

Substitution, Operário-PR: Miranda comes on for N. Paraíba.

46'

Aylon

Substitution, Operário-PR: Moraes Júnior comes on for Aylon.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Operário-PR 1-1 Botafogo-SP.

45+5'

H. Pereira

Yellow card for H. Pereira (Operário-PR) for argument.

45+3'

V. D. D. Antonia

Attempt missed. V. D. D. Antonia (Operário-PR), header from a set piece. xG 0.02.

45+3'

Operário-PR

Corner, Operário-PR.

45+2'

Darlan

Yellow card for Darlan (Botafogo-SP) for foul.

45+1'

Jonathan

Attempt missed. Jonathan (Botafogo-SP), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

44'

L. Maciel

Attempt blocked. L. Maciel (Botafogo-SP), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

44'

P. Brey

Goal! Operário-PR 1-1 Botafogo-SP. P. Brey (Botafogo-SP) scores.

42'

R. Gava

Attempt missed. R. Gava (Botafogo-SP), left-footed shot. xG 0.10.

38'

Gabriel Inocêncio

Attempt missed. Gabriel Inocêncio (Botafogo-SP), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

37'

Botafogo-SP

Corner, Botafogo-SP.

36'

L. Maciel

Yellow card for L. Maciel (Botafogo-SP) for argument.

33'

Botafogo-SP

Corner, Botafogo-SP.

32'

V. D. D. Antonia

Attempt missed. V. D. D. Antonia (Operário-PR), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

31'

V. D. D. Antonia

Attempt missed. V. D. D. Antonia (Operário-PR), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

31'

Operário-PR

Corner, Operário-PR.

30'

L. Maciel

Attempt saved. L. Maciel (Botafogo-SP), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

30'

Botafogo-SP

Corner, Botafogo-SP.

26'

Hygor

Attempt missed. Hygor (Botafogo-SP), header. xG 0.06.

20'

L. Maciel

Attempt missed. L. Maciel (Botafogo-SP), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

17'

P. Brey

Attempt saved. P. Brey (Botafogo-SP), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

13'

L. Maciel

Attempt missed. L. Maciel (Botafogo-SP), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

13'

Botafogo-SP

Corner, Botafogo-SP.

11'

Hygor

Attempt missed. Hygor (Botafogo-SP), right-footed shot. xG 0.24.

7'

W. Pinheiro

Attempt saved. W. Pinheiro (Botafogo-SP), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

7'

Botafogo-SP

Offside, Botafogo-SP.

5'

Operário-PR

Corner, Operário-PR.

1'

V. D. D. Antonia

Goal! Operário-PR 1-0 Botafogo-SP. V. D. D. Antonia (Operário-PR) scores, assisted by Aylon.

1'

Kick-off: Operário-PR vs Botafogo-SP.

Where the money is

86614 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 35112 EUR · live

Home 21.0 · implied 4.8%

50.8%

+46.0 vs price

Away 1.38 · implied 72.5%

31.9%

-40.6 vs price

Draw 4.4 · implied 22.7%

17.3%

-5.4 vs price

Half time 215 EUR

Draw 2.22 · implied 45.0%

40.4%

-4.7 vs price

Away 4.5 · implied 22.2%

32.5%

+10.3 vs price

Home 2.9 · implied 34.5%

26.0%

-8.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 7120 EUR · live

Over 1.53 · implied 65.4%

56.0%

-9.4 vs price

Under 2.88 · implied 34.7%

44.0%

+9.3 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

1' ⚽ V. D. D. Antonia · assist Aylon1–0

36' L. Maciel · Argument

44' ⚽ P. Brey1–1

Half-time · 1–1

45'⁺² Darlan · Foul

45'⁺⁵ H. Pereira · Argument

46' 🔁 Moraes Júnior ◂ Aylon

46' 🔁 Miranda ◂ N. Paraíba

54' ⚽ E. Morelli · assist P. Brey1–2

56' 🔁 Vinicius Mingotti ◂ G. Feliciano

62' 🔁 J. Zuluaga ◂ M. Trindade

66' 🔁 M. Sales ◂ L. Maciel

66' 🔁 M. Antonio ◂ R. Gava

70' 🔁 Arthur Caíke ◂ Hygor

70' 🔁 Badaró ◂ Darlan

71' 🔁 P. Vilhena ◂ C. Dantas

87' 🔁 Z. Hugo ◂ W. Pinheiro

89' J. Zuluaga · Foul

Full-time · 1–2

90' Joseph · Argument

90'⁺¹ P. Brey · Argument

90'⁺¹ J. Cuenú · Violent conduct

Coaches

Luizinho Lopes

Cláudio Tencati

Recent form

Operário-PR

LAJuventude0-3

DHCeará2-2

WACriciúma2-0

DANáutico3-3

WHCRB3-0

Botafogo-SP

LHVila Nova FC0-1

WHPonte Preta2-0

DAAthletic Club1-1

LHGoiás1-3

LHGrêmio Novorizontino1-3

About this match

**Operário hosts a wounded Botafogo-SP side on Wednesday night** — and the home team's red-hot form gives them a clear edge in Serie B's grind toward promotion. 🔥

Operário have won two of their last three, while Botafogo-SP are spiraling with just one win in five. The visitors are without **Carlão** due to a knee injury, which thins their defensive options on the road.

Key storylines:

- **Operário's momentum** at the Germano Krüger is the headline — they've mixed wins and draws over their recent stretch and smell blood against a struggling opponent
- **Botafogo-SP's injury toll and away-day blues** make this a tall task; losing **Carlão** compounds an already fragile backline
- **Head-to-head balance** masks form disparity — these sides have traded blows historically, but current trajectories favor the home side

Expected lineups:

- **Operário-PR**: Vágner, G. Feliciano, Joseph, J. Cuenú, V. D. D. Antonia, M. Trindade, Á. Torres, G. Boschilia, H. Pereira, Pablo
- **Botafogo-SP**: V. Souza, P. Brey, Vilar, E. d. Silva, Gabriel Inocêncio, R. Gava, E. Morelli, Kelvin, M. Sales, Z. Hugo, Hygor

Prediction:

**Operário 2–0 Botafogo-SP**

Home form and Botafogo's weak road record give the lean to Operário. 📊

Where to watch

Disney+

Match facts

Stadium

Estádio Germano Krüger

City

Ponta Grossa

Referee

Paulo Belence Alves Dos Prazeres Filho

5.36 yellows/match · 14 matches

Kickoff

07 Oct, 22:30 UTC

Competition

Brasileirão Serie B

Highlights & clips

Operário-PR 4-1-4-1 · 3-4-1-2 Botafogo-SP

33 Vágner 5.1 2 Mikael 6.9 22 J. Cuenú 6.2 43 Joseph 6.6 9 Vinicius Mingotti 6.4 ↑ 56' 8 J. Zuluaga 6.4 ↑ 62' 14 H. Pereira 5.9 20 V. D. D. Antonia 8.4 16 Miranda 7.1 ↑ 46' 6 Moraes Júnior 6.4 ↑ 46' 30 P. Vilhena 6.9 ↑ 71' 1 V. Souza 5.9 2 Jonathan 7.3 4 Vilar 6.6 33 Badaró 6.9 ↑ 70' 22 Gabriel Inocêncio 6.6 8 E. Morelli 7.5 28 M. Antonio 6.4 ↑ 66' 6 P. Brey 9.6 16 M. Sales 6.6 ↑ 66' 18 Arthur Caíke 6.8 ↑ 70' 30 Z. Hugo 6.4 ↑ 87'

Substitutes

1GElias 27DG. Feliciano↓ 56'6.3 32DCharles 4DW. Klaus 26DMaguinho 39MM. Trindade↓ 62'6.6 88MN. Paraíba↓ 46'6.4 11MAylon↓ 46'6.2 28MD. Mosconi 21MB. P. Silva 5MÍndio 99FC. Dantas↓ 71'6.7

Coach: Luizinho Lopes

Substitutes

12GJordan 27DDarlan↓ 70'6.2 31DPedrinho 26DF. Vieira 23MW. Pinheiro↓ 87'7.0 10MR. Gava↓ 66'6.5 5ML. Maciel↓ 66'6.4 29MThiaguinho 9FHygor↓ 70'6.0 7FKelvin

Coach: Cláudio Tencati

Top stats

52%Possession48%

0.93Expected goals (xG)0.93

11Total shots14

3Shots on target6

1Big chances1

7Corners4

Shots

7Shots off target7

1Blocked shots1

9Shots inside box5

2Shots outside box9

1Big chances missed1

-1.65Goals prevented-0.7

Attack

18Touches in box19

71Final third entries64

1Offsides2

18Free kicks18

3Fouled in final third1

Passing

430Passes399

350Accurate passes318

32/59 (54%)Long balls22/63 (35%)

8/21 (38%)Crosses4/17 (24%)

28Throw-ins15

Duels

50Duels50

42/83 (51%)Ground duels41/83 (49%)

18/38 (47%)Aerial duels20/38 (53%)

9/17 (53%)Dribbles8/18 (44%)

8Dispossessed6

Defending

16Tackles16

81Tackles won75

6Interceptions11

23Clearances30

44Recoveries49

Discipline

18Fouls18

3Yellow cards3

1Red cards0

Goalkeeping

4Saves2

1Big saves0

9Goal kicks9

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Operário-PR 47%

28%

Botafogo-SP 24%

Who winsOperário-PR to win (DNB) 73% · 1.46 @ Betsson

CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.57 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.29 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 56% · 1.14 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.26 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 28% · 2.33 @ 1xBet

BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.25 @ Bet365

1X2Operário-PR to win 47% · 2.40 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 2.34 @ 1xBet

1X2Botafogo-SP to win 24% · 4.75 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.84 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.95

Operário-PR

3.23

Draw

3.77

Botafogo-SP

Double Chanceconsensus

1.22

Operário-PR or Draw

1.29

Operário-PR or Botafogo-SP

1.82

Draw or Botafogo-SP

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.90

Yes

1.80

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

6.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.06

Over 0.50

8.45

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.36

Over 1.50

3.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.15

Over 2.50

1.66

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

4.00

Over 3.50

1.22

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

8.65

Over 4.50

1.06

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.42

Operário-PR

2.64

Botafogo-SP

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.12

Over 7.50

4.56

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.29

Over 8.50

3.04

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.56

Over 9.50

2.29

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.93

Over 10.50

1.81

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.44

Over 11.50

1.50

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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