Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Ponte Preta's season is teetering on the edge, but Juventude smell blood** — one's stuttering, the other's rolling. This is a clash between a team fighting for form and one riding genuine momentum. 🔥
Ponte Preta have won just once in five, including back-to-back heavy defeats. Juventude, meanwhile, are 3W-2L in their last run and demolished Operário-PR 3-0 at home. The home crowd at Moisés Lucarelli could matter here, but Ponte need to show they've learned something fast.
Key storylines:
- **Brandão and Denis** will carry Ponte's attacking load, but they're running on fumes after those defeats
- **Juventude's Raí and Safira** have been clinical in the final third — they won't gift Ponte anything easy
- **Jandrei vs the Ponte midfield** — Juventude's keeper has been solid, and if Ponte can't create through David and André, they're dead
Expected lineups:
- **Ponte Preta**: Andreoli, Barcelos, Almeida, Palacios, J. d. Oliveira, Leão, David, André, Denis, Léo Gomes, Brandão
- **Juventude**: Jandrei, R. Sam, M. Paulo, Titi, Barbosa, Aderlan, L. Mandaca, G. Pires, F. Lima, Safira, Raí
Prediction:
**Juventude 2-1 Ponte Preta.** The visitors have the edge in form and should nick this one despite the away fixture. Ponte will fight but lack the consistency to hold on.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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