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São Bernardo
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
Sport Recife
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
São Bernardo
São Bernardo
São Bernardo
São Bernardo
M. Soso
Mariano Soso
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3
São Bernardo
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Sport Recife 2-1 São Bernardo.
90+5'
São Bernardo
Corner, São Bernardo.
90+1'
São Bernardo
Corner, São Bernardo.
90'
5 minutes of added time.
72'
Sport Recife
Corner, Sport Recife.
72'
Attempt missed. P. de Paula (Sport Recife), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.
72'
Attempt missed. P. de Paula (Sport Recife), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.
68'
Sport Recife
Corner, Sport Recife.
67'
Sport Recife
Corner, Sport Recife.
64'
São Bernardo
Corner, São Bernardo.
63'
São Bernardo
Corner, São Bernardo.
62'
Sport Recife
Corner, Sport Recife.
58'
Attempt missed. Carlos De Pena (Sport Recife), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.
50'
Sport Recife
Offside, Sport Recife.
46'
Goal! Sport Recife 1-1 São Bernardo. Pedrinho (São Bernardo) scores, assisted by L. Lima.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Sport Recife 1-0 São Bernardo.
45'
2 minutes of added time.
36'
São Bernardo
Corner, São Bernardo.
35'
São Bernardo
Corner, São Bernardo.
34'
Attempt saved. C. Barletta (Sport Recife), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.
17'
Goal! Sport Recife 1-0 São Bernardo. N. Pessoa (Sport Recife) scores, assisted by C. Barletta.
14'
São Bernardo
Corner, São Bernardo.
13'
São Bernardo
Corner, São Bernardo.
12'
São Bernardo
Corner, São Bernardo.
11'
Attempt blocked. P. de Paula (Sport Recife), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.
11'
Attempt blocked. P. de Paula (Sport Recife), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.
10'
M. Soso
Yellow card for M. Soso (Sport Recife) for argument.
1'
Kick-off: Sport Recife vs São Bernardo.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
77148 EUR · live
Home
3.0 · implied 33.3%
79.8%
+46.4 vs price
Away
5.2 · implied 19.2%
11.0%
-8.2 vs price
Draw
2.08 · implied 48.1%
9.2%
-38.9 vs price
Half time
2299 EUR · live
Home
1.08 · implied 92.6%
83.0%
-9.6 vs price
Away
34.0 · implied 2.9%
10.9%
+8.0 vs price
Draw
11.5 · implied 8.7%
6.1%
-2.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
40634 EUR · live
Under
2.62 · implied 38.2%
63.6%
+25.5 vs price
Over
1.61 · implied 62.1%
36.4%
-25.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
10356 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
93.2%
-5.8 vs price
Over
60.0 · implied 1.7%
6.8%
+5.1 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
10'
M. Soso · Argument
17'
⚽
N. Pessoa · assist C. Barletta1–0
40'
C. Barletta · Persistent fouling
43'
R. Lopes · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
46'
⚽
Pedrinho · assist L. Lima1–1
53'
Fabrício Daniel · Foul
59'
🔁
E. Lucas ◂ R. Lopes
59'
🔁
K. Andrade ◂ J. Alano
65'
🔁
Lucas Fernandes ◂ Fabrício Daniel
67'
Hugo · Foul
69'
🔁
Perotti ◂ N. Pessoa
73'
🔁
P. Vitor ◂ F. Garcia
73'
🔁
Foguinho ◂ L. Lima
76'
Jemerson · Time wasting
78'
🔁
Romisson ◂ D. Miraíma
78'
🔁
L. Rian ◂ Pedrinho
79'
🔁
Maron ◂ Carlos De Pena
79'
🔁
A. Pucci ◂ Claudinho
82'
Luizão · Argument
86'
⚽
P. de Paula2–1
87'
P. de Paula
Full-time · 2–1
90'
Habraão · Argument
Coaches
Mariano SosoVinícius Bergantin 
Recent form
Sport RecifeWAAthletic Club2-1
LANáutico1-3
WHJuventude2-1
LACRB1-2
WHPonte Preta2-0
São BernardoWHCRB3-1
DAGrêmio Novorizontino0-0
WHAtlético Goianiense1-0
WAAmérica Mineiro2-0
LHLondrina1-2
About this match
**Sport Recife's home fortress meets a streaky São Bernardo side** — both teams rolling 3-1-1 in their last five, but the hosts have the edge at the Ilha do Retiro. 🏟️
Recife's won all three home games in this stretch; visitors drew their last away trip. Neither team has ever beaten the other (one prior meeting, a draw), so this is basically a coin flip with a homefield tilt.
Key storylines:
- **Sport Recife's attacking trio** of Perotti, Diego Hernández, and N. Pessoa will probe São Bernardo's defense, which is without **M. Salustiano** and **R. Andrade**.
- **W. Oliveira and Zé Gabriel** anchor Recife's midfield and will need to dominate possession to starve the visitors.
- **F. Garcia and Romisson** are São Bernardo's creative lifeline; if they can spring a counter, the visitors have proven they can hurt teams (3-1 win vs CRB).
Expected lineups:
- **Sport Recife**: T. Couto, Felipinho, M. Ajul, K. Almeida, A. Pucci, W. Oliveira, Zé Gabriel, Perotti, Diego Hernández, N. Pessoa, Dudu
- **São Bernardo**: A. Alves, R. Ferreira, Jemerson, Augusto, H. Maciel, D. Miraíma, Foguinho, L. Jabá, Romisson, Pedrinho, F. Garcia
Prediction:
**Sport Recife 1–0 São Bernardo**. Home form is the deciding factor; missing defenders hurt São Bernardo's away resilience. 🎯
Where to watch
Disney+
Match facts
Stadium
Ilha do Retiro
City
Recife
Kickoff
06 Oct, 22:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
Sport Recife
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3
São Bernardo
26
T. Couto
8.0
68
A. Pucci
6.8
↑ 79'
5
Marcelo
6.9
3
M. Ajul
6.7
96
E. Lucas
6.8
↑ 59'
29
W. Oliveira
6.8
7
P. de Paula
8.2
30
C. Barletta
7.6
80
K. Andrade
6.6
↑ 59'
75
Maron
6.4
↑ 79'
9
Perotti
6.3
↑ 69'
1
A. Alves
6.3
97
Augusto
7.1
35
Jemerson
5.9
90
Luizão
6.8
21
Hugo
6.8
8
Foguinho
6.6
↑ 73'
17
Romisson
6.7
↑ 78'
6
Pará
6.9
31
Lucas Fernandes
6.4
↑ 65'
11
P. Vitor
6.6
↑ 73'
7
L. Rian
6.4
↑ 78'
Top stats
48%Possession52%
1.63Expected goals (xG)1.99
19Total shots20
5Shots on target4
1Big chances3
5Corners9
Shots
7Shots off target10
7Blocked shots6
6Shots inside box15
13Shots outside box5
1Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored0
0Big chances missed3
0.83Goals prevented-0.11
Attack
16Touches in box29
53Final third entries47
1Offsides0
17Free kicks10
4Fouled in final third2
Passing
444Passes466
382Accurate passes414
16/43 (37%)Long balls28/49 (57%)
2/14 (14%)Crosses7/31 (23%)
19Throw-ins15
Duels
54Duels46
30/54 (56%)Ground duels24/54 (44%)
15/30 (50%)Aerial duels15/30 (50%)
5/8 (63%)Dribbles9/14 (64%)
4Dispossessed4
Defending
9Tackles7
56Tackles won71
8Interceptions10
28Clearances29
35Recoveries43
Discipline
10Fouls17
4Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
1Big saves2
11Goal kicks8
3Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers
CornersOver 10.5 corners 52%
CornersOver 9.5 corners 62%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 73%
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.75 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 28% · 2.10 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.29 @ Bet365
1X2Sport Recife to win 47% · 2.75 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 1.83 @ Betway
Who winsSport Recife to win (DNB) 57% · 1.33 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 1.33 @ Bet365
1X2São Bernardo to win 25% · 4.33 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.96
Sport Recife
3.25
Draw
3.60
São Bernardo
Double Chanceconsensus
1.29
Sport Recife or Draw
1.33
Sport Recife or São Bernardo
1.80
Draw or São Bernardo
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.80
Yes
1.91
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.07
Over 0.50
9.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.25
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.05
Over 2.50
1.75
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.50
Over 3.50
1.29
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.00
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.30
Sport Recife
3.20
São Bernardo
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.75
Sport Recife
2.10
Draw
4.33
São Bernardo
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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