Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Vila Nova are on a tear and hosting a vulnerable Cuiabá side that just got steamrolled 3-0 at home.** This is a chance for the locals to keep momentum and make a serious playoff push. 🔥
Vila Nova's **4-1 record in their last five** speaks for itself — they're clicking in attack and defense. Cuiabá's form is jittery: a big win over Náutico got sandwiched between that brutal loss to CRB and some inconsistent outings. The head-to-head is almost even, but Vila Nova's current momentum tilts hard in their favor.
Key storylines:
- **Dellatorre and Marquinhos Gabriel** need to stay sharp on the front line — Vila Nova's attack has been lethal and Cuiabá's backline showed defensive cracks last time out
- **J. Carlos** in goal will face constant pressure; Cuiabá can't afford a repeat of their leaky recent performances
- Home advantage at **Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga** is huge for Vila Nova's rhythm and confidence
Expected lineups:
- **Vila Nova FC**: H. Leite, Higor, T. Pagnussat, D. Mendes, Hayner, J. Vieira, D. D. Santos, Janderson, Marquinhos Gabriel, A. Luís, Dellatorre
- **Cuiabá**: J. Carlos, Eric, Vitor Mendes, J. Basso, Igor, Lorenzo, Raul, C. Costa, K. Cristtyan, Fábio Gomes, J. Dias
Prediction:
**Vila Nova 2-0 Cuiabá.** Vila Nova's hot form and home edge give them a slight favorite lean. 💪
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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