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Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Londrina
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Londrina
Londrina
Athletic Club
Londrina
Londrina
Londrina
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Alexsandro de Souza
Athletic Club
Londrina
Athletic Club
3-4-3 · 4-1-4-1
Londrina
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Athletic Club 2-2 Londrina.
90+6'
Athletic Club
Corner, Athletic Club.
90'
6 minutes of added time.
89'
Athletic Club
Corner, Athletic Club.
86'
Athletic Club
Offside, Athletic Club.
75'
Attempt blocked. K. Lindes (Athletic Club), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.07.
69'
Londrina
Corner, Londrina.
64'
Athletic Club
Offside, Athletic Club.
61'
Athletic Club
Corner, Athletic Club.
53'
Londrina
Offside, Londrina.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Athletic Club 1-1 Londrina.
45+1'
Londrina
Offside, Londrina.
45'
4 minutes of added time.
43'
Attempt blocked. William Pottker (Londrina), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.02.
39'
Athletic Club
Corner, Athletic Club.
33'
Londrina
Offside, Londrina.
24'
Londrina
Offside, Londrina.
22'
Londrina
Offside, Londrina.
18'
Goal! Athletic Club 1-1 Londrina. J. Miguel (Athletic Club) scores, assisted by K. Rodrigues.
17'
Athletic Club
Corner, Athletic Club.
8'
Athletic Club
Corner, Athletic Club.
1'
Kick-off: Athletic Club vs Londrina.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
76077 EUR · live
Home
3.55 · implied 28.2%
51.4%
+23.2 vs price
Draw
1.96 · implied 51.0%
31.1%
-19.9 vs price
Away
5.0 · implied 20.0%
17.5%
-2.5 vs price
Half time
3530 EUR · live
Draw
1.02 · implied 98.0%
43.6%
-54.5 vs price
Away
19.0 · implied 5.3%
31.0%
+25.7 vs price
Home
320.0 · implied 0.3%
25.4%
+25.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
39269 EUR · live
Over
1.74 · implied 57.5%
60.9%
+3.4 vs price
Under
2.3 · implied 43.5%
39.1%
-4.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
20764 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
75.1%
-21.1 vs price
Over
15.5 · implied 6.5%
24.9%
+18.4 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
4'
⚽
J. Vitor (pen)0–1
7'
C. Rodrigues · Foul
18'
⚽
J. Miguel · assist K. Rodrigues1–1
Half-time · 1–1
46'
🔁
Carlinhos ◂ Jota
46'
🔁
Bruninho ◂ Max
46'
🔁
F. Negrucci ◂ J. P. Torres
62'
🔁
T. Cantanhede ◂ G. Santana Meurer
62'
🔁
P. Dyego ◂ Herbert
63'
🔁
I. Bahia ◂ William Pottker
66'
Jhonathan · Foul
74'
🔁
J. Coni ◂ Vitinho
79'
🔁
D. Vera ◂ K. Lindes
80'
🔁
Kevyn ◂ Heron
80'
🔁
Zeca ◂ Enzo
82'
Carlinhos · Argument
84'
⚽
J. Vitor (pen)1–2
89'
⚽
J. Miguel · assist Zeca2–2
Full-time · 2–2
Coaches
Alexsandro de SouzaHugo Emanuel Barros Chacon 
Recent form
Athletic ClubLAGoiás1-2
LHSport Recife1-2
DAFortaleza2-2
DHBotafogo-SP1-1
WAJuventude2-0
LondrinaLAAvaí1-2
LHCriciúma0-2
LAVila Nova FC0-2
LHFortaleza1-2
WHPonte Preta6-0
About this match
**Athletic Club are heavy favorites here, and Londrina's form is absolutely dire.** This should be a coronation, not a competitive match. 🔴
Athletic Club are clicking with just one loss in five, while Londrina have won once in their last five games and got absolutely dismantled 0-2 at home by Criciúma. The visitors are in full-blown crisis mode heading to São João del Rei.
Key storylines:
- **Athletic Club** need to capitalize on this mismatch and keep their promotion push rolling after back-to-back home losses
- **Londrina's** defense has hemorrhaged goals; they'll need **Kozlinski** to be world-class in net to have any shot
- **W. Aponzá** and **Max** leading the home attack against a genuinely fragile backline could be a route to multiple goals
Expected lineups:
- **Athletic Club**: Luan Polli, L. Belezi, Jhonathan, Enzo, Douglas, K. Rodrigues, J. Miguel, W. Aponzá, Max
- **Londrina**: Kozlinski, Heron, W. Reis, G. Lacerda, K. Leonardo, C. Rodrigues, G. Portuga, Tarik, Herbert, I. Bahia
Prediction:
**Athletic Club 3–0 Londrina**
Athletic Club's slight edge in class meets Londrina's complete defensive collapse. This is a statement win waiting to happen. ⚽
Where to watch
Disney+Disney+ BrazilESPNESPN 4
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Joaquim Portugal
City
São João del Rei
Kickoff
13 Oct, 22:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
Athletic Club
3-4-3 · 4-1-4-1
Londrina
1
Luan Polli
6.8
3
Jhonathan
7.2
4
L. Belezi
6.4
7
Bruninho
6.4
↑ 46'
22
D. B. d. Souza
6.9
5
F. Negrucci
6.7
↑ 46'
16
J. Miguel
9.5
6
Zeca
6.6
↑ 80'
17
K. Rodrigues
7.4
9
Carlinhos
6.1
↑ 46'
21
D. Vera
6.5
↑ 79'
1
Luan
7.1
75
K. Leonardo
6.9
44
C. Rodrigues
6.3
4
W. Reis
6.5
33
Kevyn
6.5
↑ 80'
5
Tarik
7.2
17
J. Coni
6.8
↑ 74'
96
T. Cantanhede
6.8
↑ 62'
22
J. Vitor
8.1
11
P. Dyego
7.1
↑ 62'
99
I. Bahia
6.5
↑ 63'
Substitutes
12GTony
19DJ. P. Torres↓ 46'6.8
23DEnzo↓ 80'6.2
2DDouglas
10MK. Lindes↓ 79'7.1
15MJota↓ 46'6.5
14MY. Santos
18MP. Oliveira
8MAssis
11FMax↓ 46'6.1
20FW. Aponzá
13FYarlen
Coach: Alexsandro de Souza
Substitutes
30GKozlinski
34DHeron↓ 80'6.5
13DA. Dhominique
15DG. Lacerda
28MHerbert↓ 62'7.1
38MG. Santana Meurer↓ 62'6.9
7MVitinho↓ 74'6.4
19MC. Santos
23FWilliam Pottker↓ 63'7.1
9FGilberto
Coach: Hugo Emanuel Barros Chacon
Top stats
49%Possession51%
1.25Expected goals (xG)2.24
17Total shots14
4Shots on target8
3Big chances4
6Corners1
Shots
9Shots off target5
4Blocked shots1
14Shots inside box8
3Shots outside box6
2Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed2
0.7Goals prevented-1.0
Attack
24Touches in box15
68Final third entries44
2Offsides5
15Free kicks13
5Fouled in final third3
Passing
393Passes435
337Accurate passes377
41/65 (63%)Long balls27/47 (57%)
10/29 (34%)Crosses0/7 (0%)
24Throw-ins18
Duels
49Duels51
35/75 (47%)Ground duels40/75 (53%)
14/25 (56%)Aerial duels11/25 (44%)
6/12 (50%)Dribbles6/16 (38%)
13Dispossessed5
Defending
15Tackles19
60Tackles won42
7Interceptions8
9Clearances23
37Recoveries38
Discipline
15Fouls15
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
6Saves2
3Big saves1
9Goal kicks11
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsAthletic to win (DNB) 69% · 1.42 @ Novibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.64 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.31 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.14 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.24 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.25 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 29% · 2.32 @ 1xBet
1X2Athletic to win 47% · 2.50 @ Bet365
1X2Londrina to win 25% · 4.26 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 2.40 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.78 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.95
Athletic Club
3.20
Draw
3.70
Londrina
Double Chanceconsensus
1.25
Athletic Club or Draw
1.28
Athletic Club or Londrina
1.80
Draw or Londrina
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.93
Yes
1.78
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.10
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.38
Over 1.50
2.89
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.16
Over 2.50
1.65
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.14
Over 3.50
1.21
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.50
Over 4.50
1.04
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.40
Athletic Club
2.70
Londrina
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.13
Over 7.50
4.39
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.31
Over 8.50
2.95
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.61
Over 9.50
2.21
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.98
Over 10.50
1.77
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.48
Over 11.50
1.45
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
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