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Ceará
Botafogo-SP
Botafogo-SP
Botafogo-SP
Botafogo-SP
Botafogo-SP
Ceará
Botafogo-SP
Botafogo-SP
Ceará
Ceará
Botafogo-SP
Ceará
Ceará
Botafogo-SP
Cláudio Tencati
Botafogo-SP
Ceará
Botafogo-SP
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
Ceará
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Botafogo-SP 1-0 Ceará.
90+6'
Ceará
Corner, Ceará.
90+2'
Botafogo-SP
Corner, Botafogo-SP.
90'
6 minutes of added time.
79'
Botafogo-SP
Corner, Botafogo-SP.
78'
Botafogo-SP
Offside, Botafogo-SP.
71'
Attempt saved. Gabriel Inocêncio (Botafogo-SP), header from a corner. xG 0.01.
71'
Botafogo-SP
Corner, Botafogo-SP.
70'
Botafogo-SP
Corner, Botafogo-SP.
54'
Attempt saved. Vinicius Zanocelo (Ceará), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.17.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Botafogo-SP 0-0 Ceará.
45'
1 minute of added time.
41'
Ceará
Corner, Ceará.
39'
Botafogo-SP
Corner, Botafogo-SP.
38'
Botafogo-SP
Corner, Botafogo-SP.
37'
Ceará
Offside, Ceará.
30'
Ceará
Corner, Ceará.
27'
Botafogo-SP
Corner, Botafogo-SP.
22'
Ceará
Corner, Ceará.
18'
Ceará
Offside, Ceará.
9'
Botafogo-SP
Corner, Botafogo-SP.
1'
Kick-off: Botafogo-SP vs Ceará.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
25262 EUR · live
Home
1.05 · implied 95.2%
53.1%
-42.1 vs price
Draw
22.0 · implied 4.5%
34.7%
+30.2 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
12.3%
+12.2 vs price
Half time
646 EUR · live
Draw
1.63 · implied 61.3%
57.1%
-4.2 vs price
Away
7.0 · implied 14.3%
39.5%
+25.2 vs price
Home
3.5 · implied 28.6%
3.3%
-25.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
56937 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
89.5%
-9.5 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
10.5%
+10.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1349 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
74.3%
-24.7 vs price
Over
110.0 · implied 0.9%
25.7%
+24.7 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
44'
E. Morelli · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
59'
🔁
M. Antonio ◂ M. Sales
66'
L. Otávio · Persistent fouling
72'
🔁
L. Lobato ◂ Melk
72'
🔁
R. Santana ◂ E. Lodovico
73'
🔁
Pedrinho ◂ Gabriel Inocêncio
73'
🔁
Z. Hugo ◂ Kelvin
74'
⚽
Hygor1–0
78'
🔁
R. López ◂ M. Araújo
83'
🔁
Arthur Caíke ◂ Hygor
83'
🔁
L. Mugni ◂ Vinicius Zanocelo
83'
🔁
Rafael Ramos ◂ Júlio César
84'
🔁
Badaró ◂ R. Gava
Full-time · 1–0
90'+4
J. Gabriel · Foul
Coaches
Cláudio TencatiDaniel Paulista 
Recent form
Botafogo-SPWAOperário-PR2-1
LHVila Nova FC0-1
WHPonte Preta2-0
DAAthletic Club1-1
LHGoiás1-3
CearáWHCriciúma1-0
WAAvaí1-0
DAOperário-PR2-2
WHGrêmio Novorizontino2-1
DAFortaleza1-1
About this match
**Ceará's rolling hot 💨 Botafogo-SP looking to crash the party** — the visitors have won three of their last five and haven't dropped a game, while the hosts are wobbling with mixed form on their turf.
Botafogo-SP have stumbled at home lately (one win, one loss in their last two), and that's exactly where Ceará thrives. The visitors have owned this matchup historically too — three wins in the last five head-to-heads.
Key storylines:
- **Ceará's unbeaten run** keeps building momentum heading into round 33; Botafogo-SP need to tighten up at the Estádio Santa Cruz
- **Hygor and Melk** will be the creative focal points — Botafogo-SP searching for attacking thrust while Ceará look to control tempo
- Home form shadows **Botafogo-SP**; only one W in their last two at this ground sets up a vulnerable setup against a confident visitor
Expected lineups:
- **Botafogo-SP**: V. Souza, P. Brey, Vilar, E. d. Silva, Gabriel Inocêncio, E. Morelli, R. Gava, W. Pinheiro, L. Maciel, Z. Hugo, Hygor
- **Ceará**: Richard, Sánchez, L. Otávio, Júlio César, B. Borges, J. Gabriel, N. Ferreira, M. Araújo, E. Lodovico, Melk
Prediction:
**Ceará 2-1 Botafogo-SP**. Ceará's unbeaten form and historical edge give them the lean here; hosts have enough to trouble them but not quite enough to hold on.
Where to watch
Canal GoatDisney+ESPNXsports
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Santa Cruz
City
Ribeirao Preto
Kickoff
13 Oct, 00:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
Botafogo-SP
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
Ceará
1
V. Souza
7.6
2
Jonathan
6.8
3
E. d. Silva
6.8
4
Vilar
7.5
31
Pedrinho
6.8
↑ 73'
8
E. Morelli
6.9
28
M. Antonio
6.8
↑ 59'
6
P. Brey
6.9
34
Badaró
6.5
↑ 84'
18
Arthur Caíke
6.5
↑ 83'
30
Z. Hugo
6.8
↑ 73'
1
Richard
6.5
2
Rafael Ramos
7.0
↑ 83'
4
L. Otávio
7.0
13
L. Otávio
7.0
12
Sánchez
6.6
81
J. Gabriel
10
L. Mugni
6.8
↑ 83'
16
R. Santana
6.5
↑ 72'
94
R. López
6.5
↑ 78'
77
L. Lobato
6.3
↑ 72'
73
Saulo Mineiro
6.8
Substitutes
12GJordan
22DGabriel Inocêncio↓ 73'7.1
21DJ. Alves
27DDarlan
26DF. Vieira
10MR. Gava↓ 84'7.0
16MM. Sales↓ 59'6.7
20MYuri
29MThiaguinho
9FHygor↓ 83'7.2
7FKelvin↓ 73'7.0
17FG. Queiróz
Coach: Cláudio Tencati
Substitutes
23GC. França
18DJúlio César↓ 83'7.0
60DE. Lodovico↓ 72'6.5
33DÉder
8MM. Araújo↓ 78'6.8
40MMelk↓ 72'6.6
25MVinicius Zanocelo↓ 83'6.6
11MN. Ferreira
7MG. Pavani
26MRichardson
99FL. Holanda
Coach: Daniel Paulista
Top stats
53%Possession47%
0.82Expected goals (xG)0.48
15Total shots11
4Shots on target3
2Big chances0
8Corners4
Shots
6Shots off target6
5Blocked shots2
8Shots inside box5
7Shots outside box6
1Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed0
0.47Goals prevented-0.12
Attack
15Touches in box11
53Final third entries43
1Offsides2
18Free kicks13
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
337Passes320
254Accurate passes249
25/60 (42%)Long balls15/38 (39%)
8/32 (25%)Crosses3/12 (25%)
19Throw-ins21
Duels
52Duels48
34/60 (57%)Ground duels26/60 (43%)
13/31 (42%)Aerial duels18/31 (58%)
5/13 (38%)Dribbles2/9 (22%)
4Dispossessed5
Defending
12Tackles12
50Tackles won83
6Interceptions11
19Clearances30
44Recoveries37
Discipline
13Fouls18
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
0Big saves2
7Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
CornersOver 10.5 corners 52% · 1.86 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 9.5 corners 62% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 73% · 1.26 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 59% · 1.11 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 79% · 1.22 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBTTS: No 53% · 1.22 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 29% · 2.25 @ 1xBet
1X2Botafogo-SP to win 45% · 2.50 @ Bet365
Who winsBotafogo-SP to win (DNB) 58% · 1.57 @ 888Sport
1X2Ceará to win 26% · 4.00 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 67% · 2.45 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.05
Botafogo-SP
3.10
Draw
3.50
Ceará
Double Chanceconsensus
1.25
Botafogo-SP or Draw
1.30
Botafogo-SP or Ceará
1.67
Draw or Ceará
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.00
Yes
1.73
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.10
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.40
Over 1.50
2.81
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.30
Over 2.50
1.57
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.50
Over 3.50
1.19
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
9.00
Over 4.50
1.03
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.53
Botafogo-SP
2.37
Ceará
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.09
Over 7.50
4.92
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.26
Over 8.50
3.23
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.52
Over 9.50
2.38
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.85
Over 10.50
1.90
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.30
Over 11.50
1.56
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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