Juventude 2-2 São Bernardo: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Juventude 2-2 São Bernardo.

90+7'

M. Castro

Attempt missed. M. Castro (Juventude), header. xG 0.12.

90+3'

R. Ferreira

Yellow card for R. Ferreira (São Bernardo) for foul.

90'

7 minutes of added time.

90'

Augusto

Attempt saved. Augusto (São Bernardo), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

89'

Alan Kardec

Attempt saved. Alan Kardec (Juventude), right-footed shot. xG 0.25.

88'

L. Rian

Attempt blocked. L. Rian (São Bernardo), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

86'

D. Miraíma

Attempt blocked. D. Miraíma (São Bernardo), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

86'

L. Lima

Substitution, São Bernardo: Foguinho comes on for L. Lima.

86'

Pará

Substitution, São Bernardo: Hugo comes on for Pará.

85'

Raí

Attempt saved. Raí (Juventude), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

83'

G. Pires

Substitution, Juventude: L. M. Gonçalves comes on for G. Pires.

82'

D. Miraíma

Attempt missed. D. Miraíma (São Bernardo), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

79'

P. Vitor

Attempt missed. P. Vitor (São Bernardo), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

78'

M. Paulo

Substitution, Juventude: Alan Kardec comes on for M. Paulo.

76'

Lucas Fernandes

Substitution, São Bernardo: Hyoran comes on for Lucas Fernandes.

74'

São Bernardo

Corner, São Bernardo.

74'

Augusto

Attempt blocked. Augusto (São Bernardo), header from a corner. xG 0.01.

74'

São Bernardo

Corner, São Bernardo.

73'

São Bernardo

Corner, São Bernardo.

69'

Raí

Goal! Juventude 2-2 São Bernardo. Raí (Juventude) scores, assisted by M. Paulo.

67'

A. Safira

Attempt missed. A. Safira (Juventude), header from a corner. xG 0.13.

66'

Juventude

Corner, Juventude.

65'

F. Garcia

Substitution, São Bernardo: P. Vitor comes on for F. Garcia.

65'

Pedrinho

Substitution, São Bernardo: L. Rian comes on for Pedrinho.

64'

Nathan

Attempt blocked. Nathan (Juventude), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

64'

A. Safira

Attempt missed. A. Safira (Juventude), header from a corner. xG 0.38.

64'

Juventude

Corner, Juventude.

63'

L. Lima

Yellow card for L. Lima (São Bernardo) for foul.

61'

M. Paulo

Substitution, Juventude: J. Christian comes on for M. Paulo.

61'

R. Ramos

Substitution, Juventude: Nathan comes on for R. Ramos.

52'

Raí

Attempt missed. Raí (Juventude), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

49'

Lucas Fernandes

Goal! Juventude 1-2 São Bernardo. Lucas Fernandes (São Bernardo) scores, assisted by F. Garcia.

46'

F. Lima

Substitution, Juventude: M. Castro comes on for F. Lima.

46'

M. Paulo

Yellow card for M. Paulo (Juventude) for foul.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Juventude 1-1 São Bernardo.

45+8'

A. Safira

Attempt missed. A. Safira (Juventude), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.21.

45+8'

Juventude

Offside, Juventude.

45+7'

Juventude

Corner, Juventude.

45+2'

F. Garcia

Goal! Juventude 1-1 São Bernardo. F. Garcia (São Bernardo) converts the penalty.

45'

7 minutes of added time.

45'

M. Barbieri

Yellow card for M. Barbieri (Juventude) for argument.

45'

L. Lima

VAR: penalty awarded to São Bernardo.

39'

São Bernardo

Offside, São Bernardo.

39'

M. Paulo

Attempt blocked. M. Paulo (Juventude), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

35'

Jemerson

Yellow card for Jemerson (São Bernardo) for foul.

33'

Raí

Attempt missed. Raí (Juventude), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

31'

A. Alves

Yellow card for A. Alves (São Bernardo) for foul.

27'

Pedrinho

Attempt blocked. Pedrinho (São Bernardo), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

23'

R. Sam

Goal! Juventude 1-0 São Bernardo. R. Sam (Juventude) scores, assisted by Raí.

21'

Raí

Attempt missed. Raí (Juventude), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

18'

Lucas Fernandes

Attempt saved. Lucas Fernandes (São Bernardo), left-footed shot. xG 0.13.

16'

Messias

Attempt blocked. Messias (Juventude), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

16'

Juventude

Corner, Juventude.

13'

A. Safira

Attempt missed. A. Safira (Juventude), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

6'

Juventude

Offside, Juventude.

6'

Juventude

Offside, Juventude.

1'

Kick-off: Juventude vs São Bernardo.

Where the money is

82989 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 5 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 37337 EUR · live

Draw 1.11 · implied 90.1%

49.4%

-40.7 vs price

Home 19.0 · implied 5.3%

38.3%

+33.0 vs price

Away 32.0 · implied 3.1%

12.3%

+9.2 vs price

Half time 377 EUR · live

Away 11.0 · implied 9.1%

83.8%

+74.7 vs price

Home 3.15 · implied 31.7%

10.1%

-21.7 vs price

Draw 1.69 · implied 59.2%

5.6%

-53.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 10987 EUR · live

Over 1.41 · implied 70.9%

53.6%

-17.3 vs price

Under 3.4 · implied 29.4%

46.4%

+17.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 286 EUR · live

Under 1.02 · implied 98.0%

85.0%

-13.1 vs price

Over 12.0 · implied 8.3%

14.7%

+6.3 vs price

11 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

23' ⚽ R. Sam · assist Raí1–0

31' A. Alves · Foul

35' Jemerson · Foul

Half-time · 1–1

45' VAR Penalty awarded · L. Lima

45' M. Barbieri · Argument

45'⁺² ⚽ F. Garcia (pen)1–1

46' M. Paulo · Foul

46' 🔁 M. Castro ◂ F. Lima

49' ⚽ Lucas Fernandes · assist F. Garcia1–2

61' 🔁 Nathan ◂ R. Ramos

61' 🔁 J. Christian ◂ M. Paulo

63' L. Lima · Foul

65' 🔁 L. Rian ◂ Pedrinho

65' 🔁 P. Vitor ◂ F. Garcia

69' ⚽ Raí · assist M. Paulo2–2

76' 🔁 Hyoran ◂ Lucas Fernandes

78' 🔁 Alan Kardec ◂ M. Paulo

83' 🔁 L. M. Gonçalves ◂ G. Pires

86' 🔁 Hugo ◂ Pará

86' 🔁 Foguinho ◂ L. Lima

Full-time · 2–2

90'⁺³ R. Ferreira · Foul

Coaches

Mauricio Barbieri

Vinícius Bergantin

Recent form

Juventude

WAPonte Preta2-0

WHOperário-PR3-0

WAAmérica Mineiro1-0

LASport Recife1-2

LHAthletic Club0-2

São Bernardo

LASport Recife1-2

WHCRB3-1

DAGrêmio Novorizontino0-0

WHAtlético Goianiense1-0

WAAmérica Mineiro2-0

About this match

**Juventude's on a roll, and they're hosting a visitor with injury trouble.** This is Série B form at its sharpest — the hosts have won three of their last five and are playing at home, where they just blitzed Operário-PR 3-0. 🔥

São Bernardo arrive with similar recent W-D-L records (3W-1D-1L), but missing key defenders R. Andrade and M. Salustiano hurts. Juventude's attack, led by F. Lima and J. Christian, should smell blood.

Key storylines:

- **Juventude's offensive tempo** is clicking — three wins in five with 2-0, 3-0, 1-0 scorelines shows ruthless finishing
- **São Bernardo's backline stretched thin** without R. Andrade (ACL) and M. Salustiano (knee), forcing D. Miraíma and Foguinho into heavier roles
- **Home advantage at Jaconi** — Juventude unbeaten in the head-to-head and playing in their fortress

Expected lineups:

- **Juventude**: Jandrei, R. Sam, M. Paulo, Gabriel, D. Barbosa, Aderlan, Raí, L. Mandaca, F. Lima, A. Safira, J. Christian
- **São Bernardo**: A. Alves, M. Sergio, Jemerson, Augusto, R. Ferreira, D. Miraíma, Foguinho, Pedrinho, Romisson, P. Vitor, F. Garcia

Prediction:

**Juventude 2-0 São Bernardo.** The hosts have the form, the setup, and the opposition's injury misfortune in their favor. 📋

Where to watch

Disney+

Match facts

Stadium

Estádio Alfredo Jaconi

City

Caxias do Sul

Referee

Felipe Fernandes de Lima

5.08 yellows/match · 51 matches

Kickoff

11 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Competition

Brasileirão Serie B

Highlights & clips

Juventude 3-4-3 · 5-4-1 São Bernardo

93 Jandrei 7.0 34 R. Sam 7.2 4 Messias 6.3 22 Nathan 7.2 ↑ 61' 70 J. Christian 6.5 ↑ 61' 75 Raí 9.3 5 L. M. Gonçalves 6.7 ↑ 83' 16 D. Barbosa 6.7 17 M. Castro 6.3 ↑ 46' 25 A. Safira 6.0 9 Alan Kardec 6.4 ↑ 78' 1 A. Alves 5.8 2 R. Ferreira 6.2 77 Marcão Silva 6.9 35 Jemerson 6.4 97 Augusto 7.7 21 Hugo 6.6 ↑ 86' 42 Hyoran 6.4 ↑ 76' 8 Foguinho 6.5 ↑ 86' 26 D. Miraíma 7.5 7 L. Rian 6.7 ↑ 65' 11 P. Vitor 6.1 ↑ 65'

Substitutes

12GP. Rocha 47DM. Paulo↓ 61'6.0 10DM. Paulo↓ 61'6.0 6DWadson 97DGabriel 3DTiti 29MG. Pires↓ 83'6.5 2MR. Ramos↓ 61'6.4 26MI. Ly 8ML. Mineiro 11FF. Lima↓ 46'6.7 72FL. Alves

Coach: Mauricio Barbieri

Substitutes

12GJ. De Oliveira Cordeiro Juni 6DPará↓ 86'6.5 16DJota 44DC. Garcez 31MLucas Fernandes↓ 76'7.3 14ML. Lima↓ 86'6.5 30MB. Melo 37MD. D. S. Roque 27MEchaporã 17MRomisson 9FF. Garcia↓ 65'7.5 29FPedrinho↓ 65'6.6

Coach: Vinícius Bergantin

Top stats

54%Possession46%

2.58Expected goals (xG)1.38

15Total shots10

4Shots on target4

3Big chances3

4Corners3

Shots

8Shots off target2

3Blocked shots4

10Shots inside box4

5Shots outside box6

2Big chances scored2

1Big chances missed1

-0.14Goals prevented-1.25

Attack

25Touches in box14

54Final third entries44

2Offsides1

16Free kicks15

6Fouled in final third3

Passing

455Passes408

386Accurate passes337

22/45 (49%)Long balls33/58 (57%)

9/31 (29%)Crosses3/7 (43%)

17Throw-ins20

Duels

47Duels53

35/69 (51%)Ground duels34/69 (49%)

12/30 (40%)Aerial duels18/30 (60%)

4/9 (44%)Dribbles10/18 (56%)

4Dispossessed8

Defending

16Tackles9

81Tackles won67

17Interceptions12

9Clearances28

57Recoveries52

Discipline

16Fouls16

1Yellow cards4

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves2

0Big saves1

6Goal kicks11

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

Juventude 59%

25%

São Bernardo 16%

1X2Juventude to win 59% · 2.20 @ Bet365

CornersOver 9.5 corners 54%

BTTSBTTS: No 57% · 1.65 @ 888Sport

CornersOver 8.5 corners 65%

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.70 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.25 @ Bet365

Who winsJuventude to win (DNB) 63% · 1.20 @ Betsson

1X2Draw 25% · 2.20 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 1.33 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57%

1X2São Bernardo to win 16% · 6.00 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.53

Juventude

3.60

Draw

5.50

São Bernardo

Double Chanceconsensus

1.12

Juventude or Draw

1.25

Juventude or São Bernardo

2.20

Draw or São Bernardo

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.15

Yes

1.62

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.07

Over 0.50

8.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.33

Over 1.50

3.25

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.10

Over 2.50

1.70

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.75

Over 3.50

1.25

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

8.00

Over 4.50

1.08

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.19

Juventude

4.35

São Bernardo

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

2.20

Juventude

2.20

Draw

6.00

São Bernardo

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Juventude to win or draw

✓

84% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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