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Operário-PR
América Mineiro
Operário-PR
América Mineiro
América Mineiro
Operário-PR
América Mineiro
América Mineiro
Operário-PR
América Mineiro
Moacir Júnior
América Mineiro
Operário-PR
América Mineiro
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Operário-PR
Commentary
90'
Full-time. América Mineiro 1-0 Operário-PR.
90+6'
Attempt saved. M. Maçola (América Mineiro), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.37.
90+5'
Operário-PR
Corner, Operário-PR.
90+1'
América Mineiro
Corner, América Mineiro.
90'
6 minutes of added time.
88'
Goal! América Mineiro 1-0 Operário-PR. G. Parede (América Mineiro) scores, assisted by Barreto.
79'
Attempt missed. D. Mosconi (Operário-PR), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.07.
71'
Attempt missed. Matías Segovia (América Mineiro), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.10.
48'
Operário-PR
Corner, Operário-PR.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. América Mineiro 0-0 Operário-PR.
45'
2 minutes of added time.
44'
Attempt missed. Matías Segovia (América Mineiro), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.
41'
Attempt saved. W. Bigode (América Mineiro), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.16.
32'
Attempt missed. J. R. Jiménez (América Mineiro), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.
32'
América Mineiro
Corner, América Mineiro.
31'
América Mineiro
Corner, América Mineiro.
21'
Operário-PR
Corner, Operário-PR.
19'
Attempt blocked. W. Bigode (América Mineiro), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.
18'
América Mineiro
Corner, América Mineiro.
18'
América Mineiro
Corner, América Mineiro.
15'
Operário-PR
Corner, Operário-PR.
8'
América Mineiro
Corner, América Mineiro.
1'
Kick-off: América Mineiro vs Operário-PR.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
87079 EUR · live
Home
1.06 · implied 94.3%
54.2%
-40.2 vs price
Away
300.0 · implied 0.3%
24.6%
+24.3 vs price
Draw
18.0 · implied 5.6%
21.4%
+15.8 vs price
Half time
742 EUR · live
Home
9.6 · implied 10.4%
42.7%
+32.3 vs price
Draw
1.1 · implied 90.9%
35.3%
-55.6 vs price
Away
6.8 · implied 14.7%
21.7%
+7.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
36593 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
87.7%
-11.3 vs price
Over
55.0 · implied 1.8%
12.5%
+10.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
850 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
92.8%
-6.2 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
7.1%
+7.0 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
19'
T. Ostchega · Foul
42'
J. R. Jiménez · Argument
42'
C. Dantas · Argument
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
B. P. Silva ◂ H. Pereira
57'
Matías Segovia · Argument
60'
Barreto · Foul
61'
🔁
D. Mosconi ◂ P. Vilhena
64'
William · Argument
71'
🔁
J. G. R. Botao ◂ Mikael
71'
🔁
Moraes Júnior ◂ G. Feliciano
76'
🔁
Luidy ◂ T. Ostchega
79'
🔁
F. Elizari ◂ P. Victor
80'
🔁
F. Amaral ◂ J. R. Jiménez
82'
🔁
O. Gonçalves ◂ R. Barcelos
82'
🔁
Aylon ◂ J. Zuluaga
83'
🔁
M. Maçola ◂ W. Bigode
88'
⚽
G. Parede · assist Barreto1–0
Full-time · 1–0
90'+3
Aylon · Foul
Coaches
Moacir JúniorAlberto Valentim 
Recent form
América MineiroLACriciúma0-1
LHFortaleza0-1
LAAtlético Goianiense0-2
LHJuventude0-1
LAVila Nova FC0-1
Operário-PRLHGoiás0-2
LHBotafogo-SP1-2
LAJuventude0-3
DHCeará2-2
WACriciúma2-0
About this match
**América Mineiro desperately needs to flip the script** — they're winless in five and facing an Operário side that's been equally messy but snatched a W recently. 🔴
América's form is genuinely dire, but at least they're at home. Operário-PR won't be much steadier on the road after recent losses to Goiás and Juventude. This feels like two teams playing for not-quite-last in a forgettable moment.
Key storylines:
- **América Mineiro** hungry for that first W after five consecutive defeats
- **Home advantage** at Arena Independência could be the difference against a visiting side in flux
- Both teams' attack struggling — goal-scoring has been a afterthought for weeks
Expected lineups:
- **América Mineiro**: Gustavo, R. Barcelos, T. Ostchega, R. Silva, Fábio, Barreto, J. César
- **Operário-PR**: Vágner, G. Feliciano, Joseph, J. Cuenú, Maguinho, V. D. D. Antonia, M. Trindade
Prediction:
**1-0 América Mineiro**
Home field and pure desperation edge out a laboring but necessary victory. Lean toward the hosts finally snapping the streak.
Where to watch
Disney+ BrazilESPN
Match facts
Stadium
Arena Independência
City
Belo Horizonte
Kickoff
17 Oct, 21:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
América Mineiro
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Operário-PR
91
B. Brígido
7.0
55
O. Gonçalves
6.6
↑ 82'
45
R. Silva
7.0
3
L. Sosa
7.5
30
Luidy
6.6
↑ 76'
8
F. Amaral
6.7
↑ 80'
88
Barreto
7.2
5
F. Elizari
6.7
↑ 79'
77
Matías Segovia
7.0
7
G. Parede
8.2
99
M. Maçola
6.6
↑ 83'
1
Elias
8.2
6
Moraes Júnior
7.0
↑ 71'
22
J. Cuenú
7.4
43
Joseph
7.1
23
J. G. R. Botao
6.5
↑ 71'
11
Aylon
6.2
↑ 82'
5
Índio
7.4
21
B. P. Silva
6.5
↑ 46'
20
V. D. D. Antonia
7.2
28
D. Mosconi
6.7
↑ 61'
99
C. Dantas
6.4
Substitutes
27GCássio
19GWilliam
4DR. Barcelos↓ 82'7.0
25DT. Ostchega↓ 76'6.7
71DCristian
2DE. Santos
26DManoel
93MJ. R. Jiménez↓ 80'7.0
37MJ. César
9FW. Bigode↓ 83'7.3
20FP. Victor↓ 79'5.9
Coach: Moacir Júnior
Substitutes
33GVágner
27DG. Feliciano↓ 71'7.8
2DMikael↓ 71'7.1
16DMiranda
4DW. Klaus
17DN. Schulz
18DA. Simplicio
8MJ. Zuluaga↓ 82'6.8
30MP. Vilhena↓ 61'6.7
14MH. Pereira↓ 46'6.6
88MN. Paraíba
Coach: Alberto Valentim
Top stats
44%Possession56%
1.63Expected goals (xG)0.63
22Total shots12
6Shots on target2
3Big chances0
6Corners4
Shots
8Shots off target9
8Blocked shots1
11Shots inside box9
11Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed0
0.15Goals prevented1.27
Attack
20Touches in box19
57Final third entries54
9Free kicks20
3Fouled in final third4
Passing
402Passes510
336Accurate passes452
28/61 (46%)Long balls25/42 (60%)
3/19 (16%)Crosses8/24 (33%)
12Throw-ins13
Duels
45Duels55
26/59 (44%)Ground duels33/59 (56%)
12/25 (48%)Aerial duels13/25 (52%)
3/9 (33%)Dribbles5/14 (36%)
4Dispossessed5
Defending
14Tackles10
64Tackles won50
12Interceptions11
17Clearances22
42Recoveries46
Discipline
20Fouls9
5Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves5
0Big saves4
13Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers
1X2Operário-PR to win 49% · 2.60 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69%
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.75 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.25 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 27% · 2.10 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 1.75 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 1.33 @ Bet365
Who winsAmérica-MG to win (DNB) 52% · 2.38 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53%
1X2América-MG to win 24% · 4.50 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.80
América Mineiro
3.30
Draw
1.86
Operário-PR
Double Chanceconsensus
1.83
América Mineiro or Draw
1.33
América Mineiro or Operário-PR
1.25
Draw or Operário-PR
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.70
Yes
2.00
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.07
Over 0.50
9.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.25
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.05
Over 2.50
1.75
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.75
Over 3.50
1.25
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.00
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.25
América Mineiro
1.57
Operário-PR
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
4.50
América Mineiro
2.10
Draw
2.60
Operário-PR
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
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