Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Avaí's got the momentum, Athletic Club is stuck in the mud.** This is a classic mid-table scrap in Série B where form matters — and the home side's recent wins give them a real edge. 🔥
Avaí have notched two wins in their last five and are playing at the Ressacada, where they feel comfortable. Athletic Club, meanwhile, can't buy a win (0W, 3D in their last five) and are without **R. Tavares** through injury — a dent in their depth.
Key storylines:
- **Avaí's attacking trio** of **L. Henrique**, **J. Lucas**, and **D. Penha** will hunt space against an Athletic backline missing key personnel
- **Athletic's draw addiction** — three stalemates in five games suggests they lack cutting edge and will park the bus
- Home advantage at the Ressacada could be the decider; Avaí's recent 2-1 win over Londrina shows they can break down stubborn defenses
Expected lineups:
- **Avaí**: B. Ferreira, D. Teixeira, Allyson, Reynaldo, L. Henrique, J. Lucas, D. Penha, G. Cipriano, F. Vizeu
- **Athletic Club**: Luan Polli, L. Belezi, Jhonathan, P. Sampaio, Enzo, K. Rodrigues, G. Cabezas, Max, Carlinhos
Prediction:
**Avaí 2–1 Athletic Club.** The home side should edge it — better form, fewer injury worries, and Athletic's defensive setup won't hold all night. 🎯
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
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