Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Londrina's in freefall and Cuiabá's got momentum — but the home crowd could be the wildcard here.** With just one draw in five, Tupy's clinging to playoff hopes on their own turf. 🔴
Londrina are winless in five, leaking goals left and right (1-2 to Avaí, 0-2 to Criciúma). Cuiabá, meanwhile, just ripped Ponte Preta 2-0 and look sharper overall. But Londrina's got the H2H edge — 2 wins to none in recent meetings — and home soil counts for something in Serie B.
Key storylines:
- **Herbert and William Pottker** need to finish for Londrina or they're toast on the final stretch
- **Cuiabá's midfield control** through Raul and J. Basso could strangle Londrina's creativity
- **Home pressure is real** — Londrina's survival odds rest on taking points at Estádio Jacy Scaff
Expected lineups:
- **Londrina**: Luan, Heron, W. Reis, C. Rodrigues, K. Leonardo, G. Lacerda, G. Portuga, J. Vitor, Tarik, William Pottker, Herbert
- **Cuiabá**: J. Carlos, Lorenzo, C. Costa, Vitor Mendes, Igor, J. Basso, Raul, D. M. d. S. Arcanjo, K. Cristtyan, Fábio Gomes, J. Dias
Prediction:
**1-1 draw.** Londrina scrapes a point at home; Cuiabá's too solid to lose but can't quite break through. 🤝
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
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