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Cuiabá
América Mineiro
Cuiabá
Cuiabá
Cuiabá
Cuiabá
América Mineiro
América Mineiro
Cuiabá
Cuiabá
Cuiabá
América Mineiro
Cuiabá
América Mineiro
Cuiabá
Cuiabá
Cuiabá
Moacir Júnior
América Mineiro
Cuiabá
América Mineiro
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Cuiabá
Commentary
90'
Full-time. América Mineiro 1-0 Cuiabá.
90'
4 minutes of added time.
82'
Cuiabá
Corner, Cuiabá.
78'
América Mineiro
Offside, América Mineiro.
75'
Cuiabá
Corner, Cuiabá.
74'
Cuiabá
Corner, Cuiabá.
74'
Cuiabá
Corner, Cuiabá.
73'
Attempt saved. D. M. d. S. Arcanjo (Cuiabá), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.08.
73'
Cuiabá
Corner, Cuiabá.
72'
América Mineiro
Offside, América Mineiro.
67'
América Mineiro
Offside, América Mineiro.
67'
Cuiabá
Corner, Cuiabá.
58'
Goal! América Mineiro 1-0 Cuiabá. Matías Segovia (América Mineiro) scores, assisted by G. Parede.
52'
Cuiabá
Corner, Cuiabá.
49'
Cuiabá
Offside, Cuiabá.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. América Mineiro 0-0 Cuiabá.
45'
3 minutes of added time.
43'
Attempt blocked. T. Ostchega (América Mineiro), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
42'
América Mineiro
Corner, América Mineiro.
36'
Cuiabá
Corner, Cuiabá.
27'
América Mineiro
Corner, América Mineiro.
25'
Cuiabá
Corner, Cuiabá.
22'
Cuiabá
Corner, Cuiabá.
12'
Attempt missed. R. Barcelos (América Mineiro), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.
5'
Cuiabá
Offside, Cuiabá.
1'
Kick-off: América Mineiro vs Cuiabá.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
95179 EUR · live
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
43.9%
-54.2 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
42.7%
+42.6 vs price
Draw
36.0 · implied 2.8%
13.5%
+10.7 vs price
Half time
165 EUR
Draw
2.2 · implied 45.5%
61.8%
+16.3 vs price
Away
3.4 · implied 29.4%
30.2%
+0.8 vs price
Home
3.85 · implied 26.0%
8.1%
-17.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
20877 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
83.7%
-15.3 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
16.4%
+16.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
261 EUR
Under
1.11 · implied 90.1%
92.9%
+2.8 vs price
Over
10.5 · implied 9.5%
7.1%
-2.4 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
4'
🔁
E. Santos ◂ L. Sosa
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
Lorenzo ◂ Weverson
58'
⚽
Matías Segovia · assist G. Parede1–0
60'
🔁
D. M. d. S. Arcanjo ◂ L. Otavio
60'
🔁
J. Dias ◂ Eliel
64'
Luisão · Dangerous play
67'
🔁
O. Gonçalves ◂ E. Santos
68'
🔁
C. Costa ◂ J. Basso
68'
🔁
G. Mansano ◂ Eric
68'
🔁
E. Person ◂ F. Amaral
86'
R. Silva · Time wasting
87'
Barreto · Foul
Full-time · 1–0
90'
🔁
Luidy ◂ P. Victor
90'
🔁
F. Elizari ◂ W. Bigode
Coaches
Moacir JúniorEduardo Barros 
Recent form
América MineiroWHOperário-PR1-0
LACriciúma0-1
LHFortaleza0-1
LAAtlético Goianiense0-2
LHJuventude0-1
CuiabáLALondrina0-1
LHAvaí0-1
DAVila Nova FC0-0
WHPonte Preta2-0
LACRB0-3
About this match
**Both teams in freefall**, but somebody's gotta break the skid — and the home crowd at Arena Independência might just tip it 🏟️
América Mineiro's grabbed just one win in five, though they *did* bag three points over Operário most recently. Cuiabá's barely better (1W-1D from five), getting shut out repeatedly and looking sluggish upfront. This has "classic midtable scrap" written all over it.
Key storylines:
- **Fábio** and **Barreto** need to control the center for América; Cuiabá's **Raul** and **Lorenzo** will press hard but can't afford another blank
- **W. Bigode** up top is América's main outlet after a rough stretch — he's gotta stay clinical
- Home advantage might matter here; Cuiabá's been leaky away and América *just* found the net at the Independência
Expected lineups:
- **América Mineiro**: B. Brígido, T. Ostchega, R. Barcelos, L. Sosa, Fábio, Barreto, R. Silva, G. Parede, P. Victor, Matías Segovia, W. Bigode
- **Cuiabá**: J. Carlos, Igor, Vitor Mendes, A. Empereur, J. Basso, Lorenzo, C. Costa, Raul, Ramon, Fábio Gomes, J. Dias
Prediction:
**América 2-0 Cuiabá**
Home form and a freshly clicking attack edge out a toothless away side.
Where to watch
Disney+ BrazilESPN
Match facts
Stadium
Arena Independência
City
Belo Horizonte
Referee
Kickoff
26 Oct, 22:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
América Mineiro
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Cuiabá
91
B. Brígido
7.7
4
R. Barcelos
8.2
45
R. Silva
7.0
2
E. Santos
6.9
↑ 4'
25
T. Ostchega
7.2
88
Barreto
7.0
21
E. Person
6.7
↑ 68'
30
Luidy
↑ 90'
77
Matías Segovia
7.5
7
G. Parede
7.0
5
F. Elizari
↑ 90'
1
J. Carlos
6.2
5
C. Costa
6.7
↑ 68'
91
Luisão
6.9
39
G. Mansano
6.5
↑ 68'
2
Igor
7.8
30
Raul
6.7
20
D. M. d. S. Arcanjo
6.6
↑ 60'
36
Lorenzo
6.3
↑ 46'
77
J. Dias
7.2
↑ 60'
41
K. Cristtyan
7.0
29
V. Peixoto
7.2
Substitutes
27GCássio
19GWilliam
3DL. Sosa↓ 4'
71DCristian
26DManoel
8MF. Amaral↓ 68'7.2
55MO. Gonçalves↑ 67'6.7
37MJ. César
20FP. Victor↓ 90'7.2
9FW. Bigode↓ 90'6.7
99FM. Maçola
Coach: Moacir Júnior
Substitutes
12GG. Busatto
14DEric↓ 68'7.1
13DJ. Basso↓ 68'6.7
4DVitor Mendes
53MWeverson↓ 46'6.7
97ML. Otavio↓ 60'6.2
22MP. Alemão
11FEliel↓ 60'6.4
23FM. Júnior
Coach: Eduardo Barros
Top stats
44%Possession56%
0.4Expected goals (xG)1.81
6Total shots25
2Shots on target6
1Big chances2
2Corners12
Shots
3Shots off target10
1Blocked shots9
4Shots inside box14
2Shots outside box11
1Big chances missed2
0.46Goals prevented-0.75
Attack
10Touches in box22
43Final third entries71
3Offsides2
12Free kicks17
1Fouled in final third5
Passing
385Passes461
317Accurate passes400
26/59 (44%)Long balls28/47 (60%)
3/11 (27%)Crosses16/34 (47%)
12Throw-ins18
Duels
48Duels52
27/58 (47%)Ground duels31/58 (53%)
9/17 (53%)Aerial duels8/17 (47%)
9/14 (64%)Dribbles3/8 (38%)
6Dispossessed4
Defending
9Tackles11
78Tackles won82
11Interceptions9
31Clearances20
37Recoveries46
Discipline
17Fouls12
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
6Saves1
1Big saves0
15Goal kicks3
3Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers
1X2Cuiabá to win 47% · 2.62 @ Bet365
Who winsCuiabá to win (DNB) 55% · 1.85 @ Betano
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68%
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 56% · 1.70 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.25 @ Bet365
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.90 @ Novibet
1X2Draw 28% · 2.10 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 1.36 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.73 @ Bet365
1X2América-MG to win 25% · 4.33 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.60
América Mineiro
3.25
Draw
1.91
Cuiabá
Double Chanceconsensus
1.73
América Mineiro or Draw
1.30
América Mineiro or Cuiabá
1.25
Draw or Cuiabá
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.88
Yes
1.81
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.07
Over 0.50
8.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.36
Over 1.50
3.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.10
Over 2.50
1.70
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.75
Over 3.50
1.25
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.00
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.90
América Mineiro
1.78
Cuiabá
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.00
Over 10.50
1.73
Under 10.50
Total Cards 5.50consensus
2.10
Over 5.50
1.67
Under 5.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
4.33
América Mineiro
2.10
Draw
2.62
Cuiabá
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
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