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Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Operário-PR
Athletic Club
Operário-PR
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Operário-PR
Operário-PR
Operário-PR
Athletic Club
Operário-PR
Operário-PR
Athletic Club
Operário-PR
Operário-PR
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Alberto Valentim
Operário-PR
Athletic Club
Operário-PR
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Athletic Club
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Operário-PR 1-0 Athletic Club.
90+12'
Athletic Club
Corner, Athletic Club.
90+3'
Attempt missed. Jhonathan (Athletic Club), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.04.
90+3'
Athletic Club
Corner, Athletic Club.
90+3'
Athletic Club
Corner, Athletic Club.
90'
9 minutes of added time.
84'
Athletic Club
Corner, Athletic Club.
80'
Operário-PR
Corner, Operário-PR.
77'
Athletic Club
Corner, Athletic Club.
74'
Operário-PR
Offside, Operário-PR.
72'
Attempt missed. V. D. D. Antonia (Operário-PR), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.
70'
Athletic Club
Corner, Athletic Club.
69'
Athletic Club
Offside, Athletic Club.
64'
Athletic Club
Corner, Athletic Club.
52'
Athletic Club
Offside, Athletic Club.
48'
Operário-PR
Corner, Operário-PR.
46'
Operário-PR
Corner, Operário-PR.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Operário-PR 1-0 Athletic Club.
45'
3 minutes of added time.
43'
Operário-PR
Corner, Operário-PR.
36'
Off the woodwork! Carlinhos (Athletic Club), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.
34'
Athletic Club
Corner, Athletic Club.
29'
Goal! Operário-PR 1-0 Athletic Club. C. Dantas (Operário-PR) scores, assisted by D. Mosconi.
20'
Operário-PR
Corner, Operário-PR.
15'
Attempt blocked. V. D. D. Antonia (Operário-PR), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.
15'
Operário-PR
Corner, Operário-PR.
10'
Athletic Club
Offside, Athletic Club.
9'
Operário-PR
Offside, Operário-PR.
8'
Operário-PR
Corner, Operário-PR.
7'
Attempt blocked. K. Rodrigues (Athletic Club), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
7'
Attempt missed. D. B. d. Souza (Athletic Club), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.
7'
Athletic Club
Corner, Athletic Club.
3'
Athletic Club
Corner, Athletic Club.
1'
Kick-off: Operário-PR vs Athletic Club.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
57674 EUR · live
Home
1.03 · implied 97.1%
86.1%
-11.0 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
7.9%
+7.8 vs price
Draw
12.5 · implied 8.0%
6.1%
-1.9 vs price
Half time
274 EUR
Draw
2.22 · implied 45.0%
41.0%
-4.0 vs price
Away
4.8 · implied 20.8%
36.4%
+15.6 vs price
Home
3.0 · implied 33.3%
22.6%
-10.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
37490 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
77.0%
-22.0 vs price
Over
38.0 · implied 2.6%
23.2%
+20.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
213 EUR
Under
1.09 · implied 91.7%
89.6%
-2.1 vs price
Over
10.5 · implied 9.5%
10.4%
+0.9 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
12'
B. P. Silva · Foul
29'
⚽
C. Dantas · assist D. Mosconi1–0
Half-time · 1–0
45'
Jhonathan · Foul
46'
🔁
P. Sampaio ◂ P. Oliveira
46'
🔁
W. Aponzá ◂ D. Vera
46'
🔁
Enzo ◂ Zeca
64'
🔁
Jota ◂ F. Negrucci
67'
🔁
H. Pereira ◂ D. Mosconi
77'
🔁
A. Simplicio ◂ Moraes Júnior
77'
🔁
Miranda ◂ Maguinho
81'
🔁
Max ◂ D. B. d. Souza
83'
🔁
Mikael ◂ B. P. Silva
83'
🔁
L. Erig ◂ C. Dantas
Full-time · 1–0
90'
A. Simplicio · Foul
90'+6
W. Aponzá · Argument
90'+8
Jhonathan · Foul
90'+11
H. Pereira · Foul
90'+14
L. Belezi · Argument
Coaches
Alberto ValentimAlexsandro de Souza 
Recent form
Operário-PRLAAmérica Mineiro0-1
LHGoiás0-2
LHBotafogo-SP1-2
LAJuventude0-3
DHCeará2-2
Athletic ClubDAAvaí0-0
DHLondrina2-2
LAGoiás1-2
LHSport Recife1-2
DAFortaleza2-2
About this match
**Operário-PR's in freefall and Athletic Club's drawing everything — this could get messy.** Neither side looks sharp, but someone's gotta take three points on Friday night. 🏟️
Operário-PR's winless streak is brutal: one draw in five, four losses. At home in Ponta Grossa, they need a result badly. Athletic Club is more stable on paper (three draws), but they've dropped points everywhere and lost twice recently — their defense looks porous without **R. Tavares** (ACL injury sidelining them).
Key storylines:
- **Joseph** and **C. Dantas** need to turn possession into chances for Operário, who can't buy a win
- **Athletic Club's** packed midfield with **K. Lindes**, **D. Vera**, and **K. Rodrigues** will clog the middle, but gaps are there for transitional play
- Home desperation vs. visiting stagnation — Operário have nowhere left to hide 🔥
Expected lineups:
- **Operário-PR**: Vágner, G. Feliciano, J. Cuenú, Miranda, Mikael, V. D. D. Antonia, M. Trindade, C. Dantas, G. Boschilia, H. Pereira, Joseph
- **Athletic Club**: Luan Polli, Enzo, L. Belezi, Jhonathan, D. B. d. Souza, K. Lindes, D. Vera, K. Rodrigues, J. Miguel, Max, Carlinhos
Prediction:
**Operário-PR 1–1 Athletic Club**
Classic Serie B stalemate — both too fragile to win, too stubborn to lose cleanly.
Where to watch
Disney+ BrazilESPN
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Germano Krüger
City
Ponta Grossa
Kickoff
23 Oct, 22:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
Operário-PR
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Athletic Club
1
Elias
8.1
18
A. Simplicio
6.4
↑ 77'
22
J. Cuenú
7.5
43
Joseph
7.5
27
G. Feliciano
7.5
2
Mikael
6.7
↑ 83'
20
V. D. D. Antonia
7.5
5
Índio
6.8
16
Miranda
6.7
↑ 77'
14
H. Pereira
6.3
↑ 67'
19
L. Erig
6.6
↑ 83'
1
Luan Polli
7.1
11
Max
6.5
↑ 81'
3
Jhonathan
6.6
4
L. Belezi
7.2
23
Enzo
7.2
↑ 46'
15
Jota
7.0
↑ 64'
16
J. Miguel
7.3
13
P. Sampaio
6.7
↑ 46'
17
K. Rodrigues
7.1
20
W. Aponzá
6.8
↑ 46'
9
Carlinhos
6.9
Substitutes
33GVágner
26DMaguinho↓ 77'7.0
6DMoraes Júnior↓ 77'6.7
23DJ. G. R. Botao
17DN. Schulz
4DW. Klaus
28MD. Mosconi↓ 67'6.7
21MB. P. Silva↓ 83'6.1
30MP. Vilhena
88MN. Paraíba
8MJ. Zuluaga
99FC. Dantas↓ 83'7.9
Coach: Alberto Valentim
Substitutes
12GTony
26GG. Tadeu
22DD. B. d. Souza↓ 81'7.3
6DZeca↓ 46'6.3
2DDouglas
5MF. Negrucci↓ 64'6.4
18MP. Oliveira↓ 46'6.3
21MD. Vera↓ 46'6.3
7MBruninho
8MAssis
14MY. Santos
10FYarlen
Coach: Alexsandro de Souza
Top stats
45%Possession55%
0.59Expected goals (xG)0.79
14Total shots15
3Shots on target2
6Corners10
Shots
8Shots off target9
3Blocked shots4
8Shots inside box9
6Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork1
0.93Goals prevented0.69
Attack
18Touches in box21
70Final third entries72
2Offsides3
16Free kicks15
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
331Passes397
241Accurate passes315
31/61 (51%)Long balls33/62 (53%)
7/13 (54%)Crosses7/28 (25%)
23Throw-ins30
Duels
45Duels55
32/70 (46%)Ground duels38/70 (54%)
13/29 (45%)Aerial duels16/29 (55%)
3/12 (25%)Dribbles5/10 (50%)
9Dispossessed10
Defending
15Tackles18
60Tackles won72
7Interceptions16
34Clearances21
40Recoveries48
Discipline
15Fouls16
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
2Big saves0
12Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 23 bookmakers
Who winsOperário-PR to win (DNB) 66% · 1.40 @ Betsson
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 56% · 1.12 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.78 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.43 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.26 @ Pinnacle
1X2Operário-PR to win 49% · 2.30 @ William Hill
BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.25 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 28% · 2.40 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.64 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 2.30 @ 1xBet
1X2Athletic to win 23% · 4.38 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.88
Operário-PR
3.20
Draw
3.95
Athletic Club
Double Chanceconsensus
1.20
Operário-PR or Draw
1.27
Operário-PR or Athletic Club
1.83
Draw or Athletic Club
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.91
Yes
1.78
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.10
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
7.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
8.15
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.36
Over 1.50
2.90
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.13
Over 2.50
1.66
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.89
Over 3.50
1.20
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.20
Over 4.50
1.04
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.37
Operário-PR
2.85
Athletic Club
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50
3.62
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.43
Over 8.50
2.54
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.76
Over 9.50
1.99
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.21
Over 10.50
1.61
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.90
Over 11.50
1.32
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
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