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Londrina
Londrina
Londrina
Náutico
Londrina
Londrina
Náutico
Londrina
Londrina
Náutico
Hugo Emanuel Barros Chacon
Londrina
Náutico
Londrina
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Náutico
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Londrina 2-1 Náutico.
90'
5 minutes of added time.
88'
Goal! Londrina 1-1 Náutico. G. Cachoeira (Londrina) scores, assisted by K. Jonathan.
71'
Londrina
Offside, Londrina.
66'
Londrina
Corner, Londrina.
65'
Londrina
Offside, Londrina.
53'
Attempt missed. E. d. Santos (Náutico), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.
48'
Náutico
Corner, Náutico.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Londrina 0-0 Náutico.
45+3'
Londrina
Corner, Londrina.
45'
2 minutes of added time.
45'
Attempt blocked. G. Cachoeira (Londrina), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.
36'
Londrina
Offside, Londrina.
30'
Náutico
Corner, Náutico.
25'
Attempt missed. G. Santana Meurer (Londrina), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.
24'
Londrina
Corner, Londrina.
12'
Londrina
Offside, Londrina.
11'
Náutico
Corner, Náutico.
1'
Kick-off: Londrina vs Náutico.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
376599 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
61.0%
-38.0 vs price
Draw
120.0 · implied 0.8%
22.7%
+21.9 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
16.3%
+16.2 vs price
Half time
71 EUR
Home
2.36 · implied 42.4%
64.8%
+22.4 vs price
Draw
2.48 · implied 40.3%
36.1%
-4.3 vs price
Away
5.1 · implied 19.6%
15.9%
-3.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
84031 EUR · live
Under
1.21 · implied 82.6%
70.5%
-12.1 vs price
Over
5.8 · implied 17.2%
29.5%
+12.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
32 EUR
Under
1.13 · implied 88.5%
56.3%
-32.2 vs price
Over
8.4 · implied 11.9%
43.7%
+31.8 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
35'
🔁
E. Zanella ◂ Kozlinski
39'
R. C. d. Mello · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
45'+2
G. Cachoeira · Foul
46'
🔁
W. Chumbinho ◂ R. C. d. Mello
60'
🔁
Rafael Monteiro ◂ Artur
64'
🔁
G. d. S. Ramos ◂ M. A. U. d. Silva
71'
🔁
I. Ferreira ◂ L. Claudio
78'
🔁
C. Santos ◂ G. Santana Meurer
78'
🔁
K. Jonathan ◂ P. Dyego
80'
⚽
Halan · assist V. Andrade0–1
82'
Halan
84'
🔁
M. G. d. S. Rosa ◂ Halan
84'
🔁
W. M. Azevedo ◂ E. d. Santos
88'
⚽
G. Cachoeira · assist K. Jonathan1–1
Full-time · 2–1
90'+1
⚽
J. Coni2–1
Coaches
Hugo Emanuel Barros ChaconBruno Pivetti 
Recent form
LondrinaLABotafogo-SP0-4
LHAmérica Mineiro1-3
LACRB1-2
WHCuiabá1-0
DAAthletic Club2-2
NáuticoLHCRB0-3
WHAvaí1-0
LAJuventude0-4
DAGoiás0-0
LHVila Nova FC0-2
About this match
**Londrina's fortress is exactly what Náutico doesn't need right now** — two teams in freefall, but one's home advantage could be the difference. 🏟️
Both sides are limping through the stretch with identical 1W-1D-3L records over their last five. Londrina took a brutal 4-0 hammering to Botafogo-SP, while Náutico got obliterated 4-0 by Juventude away. The good news? The head-to-head leans **heavily** toward Londrina — six wins to Náutico's one across their last nine meetings.
Key storylines:
- **Londrina's home form** is basically their only currency right now; hosting at Estádio Jacy Scaff has been their anchor in chaos
- **Náutico's defending is bleeding goals** — 3-0 and 4-0 defeats suggest serious structural issues that Londrina's attack can exploit
- **Herbert and Vitinho** leading Londrina's forward line against a backline that's surrendered 7 in two recent defeats
Expected lineups:
- **Londrina**: Luan, Heron, W. Reis, C. Rodrigues, K. Leonardo, G. Santana Meurer, G. Portuga, Tárik, J. Vitor, Vitinho, Herbert
- **Náutico**: Muriel, I. Fernandes, Betão, Wanderson, Reginaldo, Wenderson, S. F. Rodrigues, Vinícius, J. Carlos, Todinho, K. Maranhão
Prediction:
**Londrina 2-0 Náutico** — home edge + H2H history gives the locals a lean. 📍
Where to watch
Disney+ BrazilESPN
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias
City
Londrina
Referee
Kickoff
11 Nov, 22:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
Londrina
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Náutico
12
E. Zanella
6.4
↑ 35'
55
W. Chumbinho
6.7
↑ 46'
5
Tárik
7.3
44
Matheus
6.6
77
Rafael Monteiro
6.8
↑ 60'
8
L. Marques
7.8
27
C. Santos
6.2
↑ 78'
23
K. Jonathan
6.8
↑ 78'
17
J. Coni
7.2
7
G. Cachoeira
7.5
99
I. Bahia
6.9
55
G. Guruceaga
5.2
75
Silva
6.6
34
Wanderson
6.2
13
G. Índio
6.8
60
L. Paulo
6.5
48
G. d. S. Ramos
5.9
↑ 64'
88
Caio
6.9
17
W. M. Azevedo
6.3
↑ 84'
31
M. G. d. S. Rosa
6.3
↑ 84'
11
V. Andrade
7.5
99
I. Ferreira
6.3
↑ 71'
Substitutes
30GKozlinski↓ 35'6.6
20DArtur↓ 60'7.1
75DR. C. d. Mello↓ 46'6.7
38MG. Santana Meurer↓ 78'6.6
32MJ. Tavares
11FP. Dyego↓ 78'6.1
21FF. Asafe
Coach: Hugo Emanuel Barros Chacon
Substitutes
33GNikollas
32GLéo
18MHalan↓ 84'7.3
37FM. A. U. d. Silva↓ 64'7.2
28FE. d. Santos↓ 84'7.1
16FL. Claudio↓ 71'6.8
Coach: Bruno Pivetti
Top stats
54%Possession46%
1.48Expected goals (xG)0.71
12Total shots10
3Shots on target1
2Big chances2
3Corners3
Shots
5Shots off target8
4Blocked shots1
8Shots inside box5
4Shots outside box5
2Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed1
-0.11Goals prevented-1.6
Attack
20Touches in box16
56Final third entries58
3Offsides0
13Free kicks22
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
417Passes350
349Accurate passes283
37/68 (54%)Long balls19/45 (42%)
7/18 (39%)Crosses1/19 (5%)
22Throw-ins28
Duels
47Duels53
36/77 (47%)Ground duels41/77 (53%)
7/14 (50%)Aerial duels7/14 (50%)
6/14 (43%)Dribbles7/17 (41%)
5Dispossessed7
Defending
17Tackles13
53Tackles won54
11Interceptions11
19Clearances16
47Recoveries46
Discipline
22Fouls13
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
0Saves1
13Goal kicks5
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.47 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.23 @ 1xBet
1X2Londrina to win 54% · 2.15 @ William Hill
Who winsLondrina to win (DNB) 62% · 1.35 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.30 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 4.50 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 25% · 2.52 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.08 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.44 @ Bet365
1X2Náutico to win 21% · 4.33 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 2.05 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.73
Londrina
3.60
Draw
4.28
Náutico
Double Chanceconsensus
1.19
Londrina or Draw
1.25
Londrina or Náutico
1.95
Draw or Náutico
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes
1.93
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
7.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
11.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.24
Over 1.50
3.60
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.80
Over 2.50
1.93
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.97
Over 3.50
1.33
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.00
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.33
Londrina
3.00
Náutico
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.08
Over 7.50
5.21
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.23
Over 8.50
3.38
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.46
Over 9.50
2.50
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.75
Over 10.50
1.98
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.16
Over 11.50
1.63
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
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