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Athletic Club
Alex
São Bernardo
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
Vinícius Bergantin
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
3-4-3 · 4-1-4-1
Athletic Club
Commentary
90'
Full-time. São Bernardo 2-2 Athletic Club.
90+8'
Athletic Club
Offside, Athletic Club.
90'
10 minutes of added time.
88'
Attempt missed. D. Miraíma (São Bernardo), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.
69'
Alex
Yellow card for Alex (Athletic Club) for argument.
66'
São Bernardo
Corner, São Bernardo.
49'
São Bernardo
Corner, São Bernardo.
46'
Goal! São Bernardo 0-1 Athletic Club. K. Rodrigues (Athletic Club) scores, assisted by Yarlen.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. São Bernardo 0-0 Athletic Club.
45'
3 minutes of added time.
18'
Attempt saved. Fabrício Daniel (São Bernardo), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.15.
10'
Athletic Club
Corner, Athletic Club.
1'
Kick-off: São Bernardo vs Athletic Club.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
199670 EUR · live
Home
100.0 · implied 1.0%
45.1%
+44.1 vs price
Draw
1.01 · implied 99.0%
43.6%
-55.5 vs price
Away
240.0 · implied 0.4%
11.4%
+11.0 vs price
Half time
308 EUR
Away
4.7 · implied 21.3%
57.6%
+36.3 vs price
Home
2.82 · implied 35.5%
39.3%
+3.8 vs price
Draw
2.32 · implied 43.1%
3.1%
-40.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
33976 EUR · live
Under
1.73 · implied 57.8%
68.9%
+11.1 vs price
Over
2.32 · implied 43.1%
31.1%
-12.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
58 EUR
Over
8.4 · implied 11.9%
100.0%
+88.1 vs price
Under
1.1 · implied 90.9%
82.8%
-8.1 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
28'
Hugo · Foul
30'
🔁
P. Sampaio ◂ Jhonathan
32'
Augusto · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
45'+2
Jemerson · Foul
46'
⚽
K. Rodrigues · assist Yarlen0–1
46'
🔁
Echaporã ◂ Hugo
50'
⚽
B. Melo1–1
57'
G. Silva · Foul
58'
J. Miguel · Foul
59'
🔁
F. Vieira ◂ D. Vera
59'
🔁
L. Fernando ◂ G. Silva
69'
Alex · Argument
70'
VAR
Card check · Galdino
72'
Galdino · Foul
75'
🔁
F. Garcia ◂ Fabrício Daniel
75'
🔁
D. Miraíma ◂ B. Melo
76'
🔁
E. Freire ◂ Tony
76'
🔁
Jota ◂ Y. Santos
82'
⚽
F. Garcia (pen)2–1
83'
🔁
Foguinho ◂ D. D. S. Roque
84'
F. Vieira · Foul
85'
⚽
G. Brigida2–2
87'
🔁
Pará ◂ Jota
Full-time · 2–2
Coaches
Vinícius BergantinAlexsandro de Souza 
Recent form
São BernardoLAAvaí1-2
WACuiabá2-1
WHVila Nova FC3-2
LHCriciúma0-1
DAJuventude2-2
Athletic ClubLHAtlético Goianiense2-3
WHCeará2-1
LAOperário-PR0-1
DAAvaí0-0
DHLondrina2-2
About this match
**São Bernardo hosts Athletic Club in a chase-the-playoff dream clash** — both sides need wins badly with the Serie B season crunch on. 🔥
São Bernardo's been streaky at home (2W-1D in last five), while Athletic Club can't find consistency anywhere, dropping points everywhere except that shock win over Ceará. This is a **must-win mentality** matchup dressed up as a regular round-38 fixture.
Key storylines:
- **São Bernardo's attacking trio** of Pedrinho, F. Garcia, and Fabrício Daniel need to fire at home; they've got the personnel for it
- **Athletic Club's injury woes** (R. Tavares out long-term) leave their backline stretched thin against a hungry host
- **Pará and Marcão Silva** controlling the midfield battle could decide whether this becomes a track meet or a grind
Expected lineups:
- **São Bernardo**: A. Alves, Jemerson, Luizão, Augusto, Pará, R. Ferreira, D. Miraíma, Marcão Silva, Pedrinho, F. Garcia, Fabrício Daniel
- **Athletic Club**: Luan Polli, L. Belezi, Jhonathan, J. P. Torres, Enzo, D. B. d. Souza, J. Miguel, K. Rodrigues, Assis, Carlinhos, Max
Prediction:
**São Bernardo 2–1 Athletic Club**. Home edge, better form, and Athletic Club's defensive fragility tip it. 🎯
Where to watch
GE TVPremiere
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Primeiro de Maio
City
Sao Bernardo do Campo
Kickoff
12 Nov, 23:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
São Bernardo
3-4-3 · 4-1-4-1
Athletic Club
12
J. De Oliveira Cordeiro Juni
6.7
97
Augusto
6.5
35
Jemerson
6.6
90
Luizão
6.2
27
Echaporã
7.3
↑ 46'
36
Galdino
6.0
17
Romisson
6.9
6
Pará
6.7
↑ 87'
26
D. Miraíma
6.7
↑ 75'
9
F. Garcia
7.4
↑ 75'
8
Foguinho
6.3
↑ 83'
12
E. Freire
6.4
↑ 76'
2
Douglas
6.5
13
P. Sampaio
6.6
↑ 30'
4
L. Belezi
5.5
6
G. Brigida
7.2
16
J. Miguel
6.8
7
Yarlen
7.7
15
Jota
6.5
↑ 76'
17
K. Rodrigues
7.4
5
F. Vieira
6.3
↑ 59'
18
L. Fernando
6.7
↑ 59'
Substitutes
22GL. Lang
40GB. Canella
21DHugo↓ 46'6.4
44DC. Garcez
30MB. Melo↓ 75'7.5
37MD. D. S. Roque↓ 83'6.8
16MJota↓ 87'6.5
39MKaká
31MLucas Fernandes
42MHyoran
10FFabrício Daniel↓ 75'7.0
Coach: Vinícius Bergantin
Substitutes
1GTony↓ 76'7.4
26GG. Tadeu
3DJhonathan↓ 30'6.6
23DJ. V. S. Oliveira
14MY. Santos↓ 76'6.8
21MD. Vera↓ 59'6.7
22ME. P. R. Gomes
8MDudu
20FG. Silva↓ 59'6.4
19M. Pimenta
Coach: Alexsandro de Souza
Top stats
47%Possession53%
2.04Expected goals (xG)1.94
14Total shots13
5Shots on target5
1Big chances4
2Corners1
Shots
4Shots off target8
5Blocked shots0
7Shots inside box9
7Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored2
0Big chances missed2
0.37Goals prevented0.51
Attack
18Touches in box16
47Final third entries51
0Offsides1
16Free kicks17
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
369Passes423
314Accurate passes355
26/54 (48%)Long balls18/39 (46%)
7/14 (50%)Crosses5/11 (45%)
21Throw-ins17
Duels
49Duels51
30/60 (50%)Ground duels30/60 (50%)
5/12 (42%)Aerial duels7/12 (58%)
6/9 (67%)Dribbles3/8 (38%)
7Dispossessed2
Defending
7Tackles10
57Tackles won70
10Interceptions9
21Clearances9
48Recoveries51
Discipline
17Fouls17
3Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
0Big saves1
9Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 14 bookmakers
Who winsSão Bernardo to win (DNB) 71% · 1.40 @ Betway
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68%
1X2São Bernardo to win 49% · 2.60 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 29% · 2.20 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.80 @ Bet365
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.91 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.29 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.30 @ Bet365
1X2Athletic to win 22% · 4.33 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54%
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.86
São Bernardo
3.20
Draw
4.10
Athletic Club
Double Chanceconsensus
1.22
São Bernardo or Draw
1.36
São Bernardo or Athletic Club
1.83
Draw or Athletic Club
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.85
Yes
1.85
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.07
Over 0.50
9.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.30
Over 1.50
3.40
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.00
Over 2.50
1.80
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.50
Over 3.50
1.29
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.35
São Bernardo
2.90
Athletic Club
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.60
São Bernardo
2.20
Draw
4.33
Athletic Club
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
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