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Jeong-Gyu Lee
Gwangju FC
Jeju SK
Gwangju FC
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Jeju SK
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Match events
10'
⚽
J. Jeong1–0
40'
⚽
J. Oh · assist Italo1–1
Half-time · 1–1
45'+1
T. v. Grunsven · Foul
45'+5
🔁
C. M. Shin ◂ J. Jeong
56'
K. Choi · Violent conduct
59'
🔁
Seung-un Ha ◂ A. D. B. Loua
59'
🔁
S. Jang ◂ W. J. Park
68'
🔁
S. Sang-Eun ◂ K. Jun-Ha
68'
🔁
C. Byung-Wook ◂ C. J. Park
76'
🔁
Y. Je-ho ◂ S. J. Ju
76'
🔁
Y. J. Ri ◂ M. Moon
82'
🔁
J. Kim ◂ G.U. Kim
82'
🔁
C. M. Lee ◂ K. Shin-jin
Full-time · 1–2
90'+2
⚽
K. Ki-Min · assist C. Byung-Wook1–2
90'+5
🔁
M. Jang ◂ K. Ki-Min
Coaches
Sergio Costa 
Recent form
DHGimcheon Sangmu FC1-1
DAFC Anyang1-1
LHPohang Steelers0-3
DHUlsan HD1-1
LAIncheon United0-4
DHGangwon FC1-1
WHPohang Steelers2-1
DHDaejeon Hana Citizen0-0
DAGimcheon Sangmu FC1-1
LHFC Anyang1-2
Where to watch
Betano
Match facts
Stadium
Gwangju Football Stadium
City
Gwangju
Referee
Byungjin Park
Kickoff
26 Jul, 10:30 UTC
Competition
K League 1
Highlights & clips
1
K. M. Kim
19
H. An
4
T. v. Grunsven
17
João Pedro
2
S. Jang
↑ 59'
37
Y. J. Ri
↑ 76'
9
Seung-un Ha
↑ 59'
10
K. Choi
14
Y. Je-ho
↑ 76'
40
C. M. Shin
↑ 45'
18
J. Iredale
1
D. J. Kim
17
I. Yu
20
M. Jang
↑ 90'
41
J. Kim
↑ 82'
40
R. Kim
5
Italo
14
J. Oh
⚽1
24
C. Byung-Wook
↑ 68'
11
S. Sang-Eun
↑ 68'
94
Emerson Ramon
8
C. M. Lee
↑ 82'
Substitutes
23GD. Kim
33DW. J. Park↓ 59'
6DY. Ahn
16MJ. Jeong↓ 45'
50MA. D. B. Loua↓ 59'
8MS. J. Ju↓ 76'
88MM. Moon↓ 76'
28FP. Sung-Hyun
11FH. A. Friðjónsson
Coach: Jeong-Gyu Lee
Substitutes
21GC. Ahn
28DG.U. Kim↓ 82'
6DK. Ki-Min↓ 90'
13DW. Jeong
88DJ. In-Jung
27MK. Jun-Ha↓ 68'
7FC. J. Park↓ 68'
18FK. Shin-jin↓ 82'
9FM. Aiás
Coach: Sergio Costa
Top stats
42%Possession58%
1.14Expected goals (xG, estimated)2.24
8Total shots31
4Shots on target5
1Big chances2
4Corners11
Shots
2Shots off target9
2Blocked shots17
5Shots inside box13
3Shots outside box18
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed1
Attack
14Touches in box30
51Final third entries80
3Offsides0
6Free kicks9
1Fouled in final third0
Passing
325Passes441
261Accurate passes384
20/56 (36%)Long balls13/33 (39%)
3/15 (20%)Crosses6/23 (26%)
20Throw-ins25
Duels
40Duels60
16/41 (39%)Ground duels25/41 (61%)
12/29 (41%)Aerial duels17/29 (59%)
1/4 (25%)Dribbles6/12 (50%)
7Dispossessed3
Defending
9Tackles10
78Tackles won70
5Interceptions5
35Clearances28
31Recoveries37
Discipline
1Yellow cards0
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
10Goal kicks2
3Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers
Who winsJeju to win (DNB) 64% · 1.51 @ Betsson
1X2Jeju to win 46% · 2.15 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.70 @ Betway
CornersUnder 8.5 corners 51% · 1.87 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 62% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 72% · 1.30 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.25 @ Betway
1X2Draw 29% · 3.46 @ 1xBet
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.93 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 1.46 @ 1xBet
1X2Gwangju to win 26% · 3.76 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.37
Gwangju FC ▼
3.20
Draw ▼
2.09
Jeju SK ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.70
Gwangju FC or Draw ▲
1.32
Gwangju FC or Jeju SK ▲
1.28
Draw or Jeju SK ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.91
Yes ▼
1.81
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.07
Over 0.50 ▲
7.89
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.38
Over 1.50 ▼
2.95
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.15
Over 2.50 ▲
1.68
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.00
Over 3.50 ▲
1.23
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.79
Over 4.50 ▼
1.06
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
2.48
Gwangju FC ▼
1.45
Jeju SK ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.04
Over 4.50 ▼
11.00
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.11
Over 5.50 ▲
5.65
Under 5.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.25
Over 6.50 ▲
3.50
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.48
Over 7.50 ▲
2.41
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.85
Over 8.50 ▼
1.83
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.42
Over 9.50 ▼
1.48
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
3.33
Over 10.50 ▼
1.27
Under 10.50 ▼
0.7 – 1.5Expected goals
0-1Most likely score
~9Expected corners
Bets worth taking in this match
Bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.23
we give it 77 chances out of 100 at a fair price
77%
likely
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeju to win (DNB)Who wins | 64% | 64% | 1.46 | Overpriced | medium |
| Jeju to win1X2 | 46% | 46% | 2.04 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 2.5 goalsGoals | 57% | 56% | 1.66 | Fair | low |
| Under 8.5 cornersCorners | 51% | 51% | 1.83 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 9.5 cornersCorners | 62% | 62% | 1.49 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 72% | 72% | 1.27 | Overpriced | high |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 77% | 76% | 1.23 | Fair | high |
| Draw1X2 | 29% | 29% | 3.24 | Overpriced | low |
| BTTS: NoBTTS | 51% | 51% | 1.81 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 68% | 68% | 1.37 | Overpriced | medium |
| Gwangju to win1X2 | 26% | 26% | 3.62 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Jeju to win (DNB) — we say 82%, they say 64%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 70% | -2% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 41% | +2% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 21% | +2% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 49% | 52% | -3% | No |
| Home win | 26% | 28% | -2% | No |
| Draw | 29% | 32% | -3% | No |
| Away win | 46% | 40% | +6% | Yes |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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