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Sergio Costa
Jeju SK
Incheon United
Jeju SK
4-4-2 · 4-4-2
Incheon United
Coaches
Jung-Hwan Yoon 
Recent form
WAGwangju FC2-1
DHGangwon FC1-1
WHPohang Steelers2-1
DHDaejeon Hana Citizen0-0
DAGimcheon Sangmu FC1-1
DHBucheon FC 19951-1
WAUlsan HD2-1
WHJeonbuk Hyundai Motors1-0
LHFC Anyang0-1
LAFC Seoul0-1
Match facts
Stadium
Jeju World Cup Stadium
City
Seogwipo
Kickoff
02 Aug, 10:30 UTC
Competition
K League 1
🔮 AI-predicted lineup · 48% confidence — confirmed XI drops ~1h before kickoff
Substitutes
1GD. J. Kim
29GJ. Heo
31GS. Joo
20DM. Jang
13DW. Jeong
23DC. W. Rim
41DJ. Kim
88DJ. In-Jung
2DT. Figueiredo
4DH. Kang-Jun
47DP. Min-Jae
94MEmerson Ramon
10MT. H. Nam
5MItalo
8MC. M. Lee
55MD. Kang
39MK. Jae-Min
11FS. Sang-Eun
9FM. Aiás
19FH. Kim
77FY. Seung-Jae
Coach: Sergio Costa
Substitutes
21GL. T. Hui
31GS. Lee
74GW. Min-Jun
20DK. Park
3DS. K. Lee
34DY. Kang
22DJ. Go
27DY. Seung-Won
3DY. S. Kim
15MS. Jae-Min
5MM. J. Lee
17MS. Kim
8MI. Undabarrena
88MW. J. Jung
30MY. Kim
6MJ. H. Mun
7MH. S. Oh
24ML. Jun-Seop
55MO. Jun-Yeop
77FP. Seung-Ho
9FS. Mugoša
14FB. Min-Gyu
Coach: Jung-Hwan Yoon
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers
Who winsIncheon Utd to win (DNB) 56% · 1.68 @ Betsson
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 60% · 1.57 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 79% · 1.20 @ 10bet
1X2Incheon Utd to win 38% · 2.46 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 31% · 3.10 @ Bwin
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 72% · 1.26 @ Marathon
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 61% · 1.53 @ Betway
BTTSBTTS: No 53% · 1.79 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 51% · 1.83 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 65% · 1.50 @ Unibet
1X2Jeju to win 31% · 3.21 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.04
Jeju SK
2.97
Draw ▲
2.43
Incheon United
Double Chanceconsensus
1.52
Jeju SK or Draw
1.36
Jeju SK or Incheon United
1.35
Draw or Incheon United
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.95
Yes
1.75
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.08
Over 0.50
6.84
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.45
Over 1.50
2.68
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.34
Over 2.50
1.56
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.50
Over 3.50
1.19
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
9.18
Over 4.50
1.05
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.09
Jeju SK ▼
1.66
Incheon United
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.08
Over 5.50
5.65
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.22
Over 6.50
3.50
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.47
Over 7.50
2.42
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.82
Over 8.50
1.86
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.33
Over 9.50
1.51
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
3.20
Over 10.50
1.26
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
4.65
Over 11.50
1.12
Under 11.50
0.9 – 1.2Expected goals
0-1Most likely score
~9Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Incheon Utd to win (DNB)Who wins | 56% | 56% | 1.66 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 2.5 goalsGoals | 60% | 60% | 1.55 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 79% | 79% | 1.18 | Overpriced | high |
| Incheon Utd to win1X2 | 38% | 38% | 2.43 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 31% | 31% | 2.97 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 72% | 72% | 1.26 | Overpriced | high |
| Under 9.5 cornersCorners | 61% | 61% | 1.51 | Overpriced | medium |
| BTTS: NoBTTS | 53% | 53% | 1.75 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 51% | 51% | 1.82 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 65% | 65% | 1.43 | Overpriced | medium |
| Jeju to win1X2 | 31% | 31% | 3.04 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Over 8.5 corners — we say 58%, they say 51%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% | 70% | -5% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 41% | -1% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 21% | 0% | No |
| Both teams to score | 47% | 52% | -5% | No |
| Home win | 31% | 28% | +3% | Yes |
| Draw | 31% | 32% | -1% | No |
| Away win | 38% | 40% | -2% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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