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Sergio Costa
Jeju SK
Ulsan HD
Jeju SK
4-4-2 · 4-3-3
Ulsan HD
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
47173 EUR · live
Home
26.0 · implied 3.8%
40.8%
+36.9 vs price
Draw
1.09 · implied 91.7%
40.1%
-51.6 vs price
Away
21.0 · implied 4.8%
19.1%
+14.3 vs price
Half time
151 EUR
Draw
2.42 · implied 41.3%
70.3%
+28.9 vs price
Away
2.88 · implied 34.7%
27.2%
-7.5 vs price
Home
4.0 · implied 25.0%
1.3%
-23.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
9596 EUR · live
Under
1.25 · implied 80.0%
69.3%
-10.7 vs price
Over
5.1 · implied 19.6%
30.7%
+11.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3292 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
94.3%
-3.7 vs price
Over
25.0 · implied 4.0%
5.7%
+1.7 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Match events
31'
Yago · Violent conduct
34'
Italo · Foul
36'
E. Farias · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
45'+1
K. Young-gwon · Foul
45'+1
M. Aiás · Foul
71'
🔁
K. Shin-jin ◂ S. Park
71'
🔁
C. Byung-Wook ◂ E. Cinari
71'
🔁
I. Yu ◂ W. Jeong
72'
🔁
J. Si-Young ◂ L. Jin-hyun
72'
🔁
K. Sang-woo ◂ D. G. Lee
74'
C. Byung-Wook · Foul
76'
🔁
K. S. Lee ◂ D. Bojanić
81'
🔁
S. Sang-Eun ◂ P. Min-Jae
Full-time · 0–0
90'+2
🔁
S. Myeong-Kwan ◂ K. Young-gwon
90'+2
🔁
M. Trojak ◂ E. Farias
Coaches
Kim Hyun-Seok 
Recent form
WHDaejeon Hana Citizen3-1
LHPohang Steelers1-2
DHGimcheon Sangmu FC0-0
WHFC Anyang2-0
WAJeonbuk Hyundai Motors3-1
WHGimcheon Sangmu FC3-1
LADaejeon Hana Citizen1-2
LAJeonbuk Hyundai Motors0-1
LHGangwon FC2-3
WAPohang Steelers2-0
Match facts
Stadium
Jeju World Cup Stadium
City
Seogwipo
Kickoff
05 Sep, 10:00 UTC
Competition
K League 1
Highlights & clips
1
D. J. Kim
11
S. Sang-Eun
↑ 81'
41
J. Kim
2
T. Figueiredo
17
I. Yu
↑ 71'
24
C. Byung-Wook
↑ 71'
5
Italo
20
M. Jang
18
K. Shin-jin
↑ 71'
94
Emerson Ramon
9
M. Aiás
21
J. Hyeonwoo
96
C. Seok-Hyun
15
J. Seung-hyeon
66
M. Trojak
↑ 90'
26
H. T. Cho
24
K. S. Lee
↑ 76'
17
K. Sang-woo
↑ 72'
55
T. O. Kotte
33
J. Si-Young
↑ 72'
99
Yago
4
S. Myeong-Kwan
↑ 90'
Substitutes
81GJ. Heo
13DW. Jeong↓ 71'
47DP. Min-Jae↓ 81'
4DH. Kang-Jun
88DJ. In-Jung
33MS. Park↓ 71'
39MK. Jae-Min
22FE. Cinari↓ 71'
7FC. J. Park
Coach: Sergio Costa
Substitutes
31GB. K. Hwang
19DK. Young-gwon↓ 90'
10MD. G. Lee↓ 72'
14ML. Jin-hyun↓ 72'
6MD. Bojanić↓ 76'
8MH. Lee
16MJ. W. Park
11FE. Farias↓ 90'
20FJ. Jae-Sang
Coach: Kim Hyun-Seok
Top stats
66%Possession34%
0.91Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.72
19Total shots8
5Shots on target2
5Corners5
Shots
7Shots off target4
7Blocked shots2
8Shots inside box5
11Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork0
Attack
21Touches in box10
77Final third entries45
0Offsides2
17Free kicks18
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
499Passes256
425Accurate passes169
27/42 (64%)Long balls19/60 (32%)
6/29 (21%)Crosses4/13 (31%)
13Throw-ins23
Duels
49Duels51
33/70 (47%)Ground duels37/70 (53%)
18/34 (53%)Aerial duels16/34 (47%)
3/10 (30%)Dribbles1/12 (8%)
11Dispossessed3
Defending
14Tackles18
93Tackles won72
5Interceptions9
16Clearances39
46Recoveries42
Discipline
18Fouls17
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves5
7Goal kicks8
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers
1X2Ulsan to win 42% · 2.20 @ Bet365
Who winsUlsan to win (DNB) 51% · 1.62 @ Betano
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 1.66 @ Novibet
1X2Draw 27% · 3.40 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59%
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50%
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73%
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74%
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65%
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53%
1X2Jeju to win 31% · 3.00 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.00
Jeju SK
3.40
Draw
2.20
Ulsan HD
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.62
Yes
2.15
No
Draw No Betconsensus
2.20
Jeju SK
1.61
Ulsan HD
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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