Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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Jeong-Gyu Lee
Gwangju FC
Jeju SK**Gwangju's in freefall and Jeju's knocking on the door** — this is a clash between a struggling home side and visitors who've actually found some rhythm. 📉
Gwangju are winless in five and just got spanked 5-2 by Seoul; Jeju, meanwhile, are 2-2-1 over the same stretch and coming off a win. The head-to-head favors the hosts slightly, but form is screaming a different tune right now.
Key storylines:
- **Gwangju FC** desperately need a result to arrest the slide, but defensive frailty (0-1, 2-5, 2-2 recently) makes them vulnerable at home
- **Jeju SK's** attacking spark — three goals against Daejeon and a draw with Ulsan show they can create chances on the road
- **J. Heo** and Jeju's backline will fancy their odds against a leaky Gwangju setup that's given up 8 in three games
Expected lineups:
- **Gwangju FC**: D. Kim, João Pedro, S. Jang, Y. Ahn, A. D. B. Loua, J. Jeong, M. Moon, J. Iredale
- **Jeju SK**: J. Heo, J. In-Jung, W. Jeong, K. Ki-Min, M. Jang, I. Yu, C. M. Lee, M. Aiás
Prediction:
**Jeju SK 2-1 Gwangju FC**
Jeju's momentum and Gwangju's defensive issues point to the visitors edging this one. Slight lean to the away side. ✌️
Gwangju FC
4-4-2 · 4-4-2
Jeju SK
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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