Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 3-2 Jeju SK: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 3-2 Jeju SK.

90+8'

J. Kim

Attempt missed. J. Kim (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors), left-footed shot. xG 0.12.

90+8'

C. Byung-Wook

Attempt missed. C. Byung-Wook (Jeju SK), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

90+6'

B. Song

Yellow card for B. Song (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors) for foul.

90+5'

T. Orobó

Substitution, Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors: B. Mota comes on for T. Orobó.

90+2'

Emerson Ramon

Attempt saved. Emerson Ramon (Jeju SK), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

90+1'

Emerson Ramon

Goal! Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 3-2 Jeju SK. Emerson Ramon (Jeju SK) converts the penalty.

88'

Italo

Substitution, Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors: Dodô comes on for Italo.

85'

Emerson Ramon

Attempt blocked. Emerson Ramon (Jeju SK), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

84'

W. Cho

Attempt blocked. W. Cho (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

83'

S. Lee

Attempt blocked. S. Lee (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.12.

83'

Y. J. Lee

Substitution, Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors: J. Kim comes on for Y. J. Lee.

82'

S. Lee

Attempt missed. S. Lee (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.

81'

S. Park

Yellow card for S. Park (Jeju SK) for foul.

78'

Y. J. Lee

Attempt missed. Y. J. Lee (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

78'

C. Byung-Wook

Attempt blocked. C. Byung-Wook (Jeju SK), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

76'

Emerson Ramon

Attempt blocked. Emerson Ramon (Jeju SK), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

74'

J. Gamboa

Substitution, Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors: W. Cho comes on for J. Gamboa.

74'

K. H. Lee

Substitution, Jeju SK: K. Shin-jin comes on for K. H. Lee.

74'

R. Kim

Substitution, Jeju SK: P. Min-Jae comes on for R. Kim.

73'

Emerson Ramon

Attempt blocked. Emerson Ramon (Jeju SK), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

73'

T. Kim

Substitution, Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors: S. Lee comes on for T. Kim.

70'

R. Kim

Yellow card for R. Kim (Jeju SK) for foul.

68'

C. Byung-Wook

Attempt missed. C. Byung-Wook (Jeju SK), right-footed shot. xG 0.21.

68'

C. J. Park

Substitution, Jeju SK: C. W. Rim comes on for C. J. Park.

68'

K. Ki-Min

Substitution, Jeju SK: C. Byung-Wook comes on for K. Ki-Min.

67'

T. Orobó

Attempt missed. T. Orobó (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.15.

64'

T. Kim

Attempt saved. T. Kim (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

62'

C. M. Lee

Substitution, Jeju SK: E. Cinari comes on for C. M. Lee.

60'

T. Orobó

Goal! Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 3-1 Jeju SK. T. Orobó (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors) scores, assisted by S. Lee.

59'

C. M. Lee

Attempt blocked. C. M. Lee (Jeju SK), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

47'

Y. Kim

Goal! Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 2-1 Jeju SK. Y. Kim (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors) scores, assisted by Y. J. Lee.

46'

D. J. Lee

Substitution, Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors: S. Lee comes on for D. J. Lee.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 1-1 Jeju SK.

45+14'

Y. J. Lee

Attempt blocked. Y. J. Lee (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

45+9'

Emerson Ramon

Goal! Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 1-1 Jeju SK. Emerson Ramon (Jeju SK) converts the penalty.

43'

C. J. Park

Attempt missed. C. J. Park (Jeju SK), header. xG 0.15.

42'

T. Orobó

Attempt missed. T. Orobó (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors), header. xG 0.07.

38'

S. Park

Attempt blocked. S. Park (Jeju SK), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.04.

38'

T. Figueiredo

Attempt missed. T. Figueiredo (Jeju SK), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.

35'

K. Ki-Min

Attempt blocked. K. Ki-Min (Jeju SK), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

32'

T. Orobó

Goal! Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 1-0 Jeju SK. T. Orobó (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors) scores, assisted by Y. J. Lee.

27'

D. J. Lee

Yellow card for D. J. Lee (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors) for foul.

23'

K. Ki-Min

Yellow card for K. Ki-Min (Jeju SK) for foul.

22'

Italo

Attempt saved. Italo (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.05.

20'

K. Ki-Min

Attempt saved. K. Ki-Min (Jeju SK), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

17'

T. Kim

Attempt missed. T. Kim (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

14'

Emerson Ramon

Attempt saved. Emerson Ramon (Jeju SK), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

12'

Italo

Attempt missed. Italo (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

4'

Italo

Attempt saved. Italo (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.11.

1'

K. H. Lee

Attempt missed. K. H. Lee (Jeju SK), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

1'

Kick-off: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors vs Jeju SK.

Where the money is

53172 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 5 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 27933 EUR · live

Home 1.05 · implied 95.2%

90.0%

-5.2 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

6.4%

+6.3 vs price

Draw 16.0 · implied 6.2%

3.6%

-2.7 vs price

Half time 108 EUR · live

Draw 1.75 · implied 57.1%

79.0%

+21.9 vs price

Away 4.4 · implied 22.7%

18.6%

-4.1 vs price

Home 2.7 · implied 37.0%

0.0%

-37.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 5995 EUR · live

Over 1.27 · implied 78.7%

61.3%

-17.4 vs price

Under 4.2 · implied 23.8%

45.7%

+21.9 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 4340 EUR · live

Under 1.18 · implied 84.7%

96.0%

+11.2 vs price

Over 20.0 · implied 5.0%

4.0%

-1.0 vs price

11 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Match events

23' K. Ki-Min · Foul

27' D. J. Lee · Foul

32' ⚽ T. Orobó · assist Y. J. Lee1–0

Half-time · 1–1

45'⁺⁹ ⚽ Emerson Ramon (pen)1–1

46' 🔁 S. Lee ◂ D. J. Lee

47' ⚽ Y. Kim · assist Y. J. Lee2–1

60' ⚽ T. Orobó · assist S. Lee3–1

62' 🔁 E. Cinari ◂ C. M. Lee

68' 🔁 C. Byung-Wook ◂ K. Ki-Min

68' 🔁 C. W. Rim ◂ C. J. Park

70' R. Kim · Foul

73' 🔁 S. Lee ◂ T. Kim

74' 🔁 P. Min-Jae ◂ R. Kim

74' 🔁 K. Shin-jin ◂ K. H. Lee

74' 🔁 W. Cho ◂ J. Gamboa

81' S. Park · Foul

83' 🔁 J. Kim ◂ Y. J. Lee

88' 🔁 Dodô ◂ Italo

Full-time · 3–2

90'⁺¹ ⚽ Emerson Ramon (pen)3–2

90'⁺⁵ 🔁 B. Mota ◂ T. Orobó

90'⁺⁶ B. Song · Foul

Coaches

Jeong-yong Jung

Sergio Costa

Recent form

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

LADaejeon Hana Citizen1-2

DHGwangju FC2-2

LHFC Seoul1-2

DAGangwon FC1-1

WHPohang Steelers2-0

Jeju SK

LAFC Seoul1-2

WAGangwon FC1-0

DABucheon FC 19952-2

WAGwangju FC1-0

DHUlsan HD0-0

About this match

**Jeonbuk host Jeju in a heavyweight clash** — the visitors are flying high, but history says the home side almost always wins this fixture. 🔥

Jeonbuk's been inconsistent lately (1W-2D-2L), while Jeju's found some rhythm with 2 wins in their last five. That said, **the H2H tells the real story**: Jeonbuk have dominated with 31 wins across 58 meetings. Home turf at the Jeonju World Cup Stadium rarely lies.

Key storylines:

- **Jeonbuk's attack needs a spark** — S. Lee and B. Mota will shoulder the creative load after recent losses at home
- **Jeju's defensive solidity tested** — W. Jeong and J. Kim face an aggressive midfield pivot in J. Gamboa and S. U. Maeng
- **Italo appears in both lineups** — intriguing to see how the shared player balances his impact for each side

Expected lineups:

- **Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors**: J. Lee, T. Kim, J. Yeon, W. Cho, S. U. Maeng, J. Gamboa, Italo, S. Lee, B. Mota, D. J. Lee
- **Jeju SK**: D. J. Kim, W. Jeong, J. Kim, J. Celestine, P. Min-Jae, Italo, I. Yu, S. Park, C. Byung-Wook, K. Shin-jin, M. Aiás

Prediction:

**Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 2–1 Jeju SK**

The home record and historical edge favor Jeonbuk, though Jeju's form makes this competitive. 📍

Where to watch

Coupang Play

Match facts

Stadium

Jeonju World Cup Stadium

City

Jeonju

Referee

Min-Seok Song

3.92 yellows/match · 40 matches

Kickoff

18 Oct, 05:00 UTC

Competition

K League 1

Highlights & clips

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 4-3-3 · 4-4-2 Jeju SK

31 B. Song 24 S. Lee ↑ 46' 5 P. Ji-soo 2 Y. Kim ⚽1 66 C. Woo-Jin 97 J. Kim ↑ 83' 4 W. Cho ↑ 74' 13 K. Sang-Yun 10 S. Lee ↑ 46' 99 B. Mota ↑ 90' 30 Dodô ↑ 88' 1 D. J. Kim 17 I. Yu 2 T. Figueiredo 3 J. Celestine 47 P. Min-Jae ↑ 74' 94 Emerson Ramon ⚽2 23 C. W. Rim ↑ 68' 22 E. Cinari ↑ 62' 24 C. Byung-Wook ↑ 68' 18 K. Shin-jin ↑ 74' 33 S. Park

Substitutes

1GJ. Lee 77DT. Kim↓ 73' 7MD. J. Lee↓ 46' 16MJ. Gamboa↓ 74' 28MY. J. Lee↓ 83' 6MS. U. Maeng 11MS. S. Kim 95FItalo↓ 88' 9FT. Orobó↓ 90'

Coach: Jeong-yong Jung

Substitutes

81GJ. Heo 6DK. Ki-Min↓ 68' 40DR. Kim↓ 74' 13DW. Jeong 41DJ. Kim↑ 83' 8MC. M. Lee↓ 62' 55MD. Kang 7FC. J. Park↓ 68' 10FK. H. Lee↓ 74'

Coach: Sergio Costa

Top stats

50%Possession50%

1.18Expected goals (xG, estimated)2.55

16Total shots17

6Shots on target5

2Big chances3

2Corners5

Shots

7Shots off target5

3Blocked shots7

10Shots inside box9

6Shots outside box8

2Big chances scored2

0Big chances missed1

Attack

18Touches in box30

49Final third entries52

2Offsides3

17Free kicks8

4Fouled in final third2

Passing

363Passes348

298Accurate passes287

35/60 (58%)Long balls21/43 (49%)

3/9 (33%)Crosses8/24 (33%)

15Throw-ins20

Duels

57Duels43

28/52 (54%)Ground duels24/52 (46%)

15/23 (65%)Aerial duels8/23 (35%)

4/10 (40%)Dribbles3/4 (75%)

6Dispossessed6

Defending

7Tackles12

71Tackles won75

4Interceptions12

30Clearances17

38Recoveries26

Discipline

10Fouls17

2Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves3

7Goal kicks13

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Jeonbuk 48%

27%

Jeju 25%

Who winsJeonbuk to win (DNB) 64% · 1.45 @ Unibet

1X2Jeonbuk to win 48% · 2.30 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 27% · 2.50 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.15 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.34 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.40 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.50 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.72 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.65 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.10 @ 1xBet

1X2Jeju to win 25% · 3.94 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.93

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

3.33

Draw

3.75

Jeju SK

Double Chanceconsensus

1.25

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors or Draw

1.28

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors or Jeju SK

1.81

Draw or Jeju SK

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.73

Yes

1.98

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.40

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

6.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.03

Over 0.50

9.65

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.29

Over 1.50

3.40

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.92

Over 2.50

1.85

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.37

Over 3.50

1.29

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.81

Over 4.50

1.08

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.41

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

2.70

Jeju SK

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.32

Over 7.50

2.92

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.64

Over 8.50

2.16

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.04

Over 9.50

1.71

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.63

Over 10.50

1.40

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.66

Over 11.50

1.20

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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