Bucheon FC 1995 0-3 Gwangju FC: Stats & xG – Oct 24, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Bucheon FC 1995 0-3 Gwangju FC.

90+3'

A. D. B. Loua

Substitution, Gwangju FC: K. Yun-Ho comes on for A. D. B. Loua.

90+2'

C. M. Shin

Substitution, Gwangju FC: S. J. Ju comes on for C. M. Shin.

87'

Galego

Substitution, Bucheon FC 1995: D. Kim comes on for Galego.

84'

Galego

Yellow card for Galego (Bucheon FC 1995) for foul.

83'

K. Jong-Seok

Yellow card for K. Jong-Seok (Gwangju FC) for foul.

82'

João Pedro

Substitution, Gwangju FC: J. Bae comes on for João Pedro.

81'

J. Iredale

Attempt saved. J. Iredale (Gwangju FC), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

80'

João Pedro

Yellow card for João Pedro (Gwangju FC) for foul.

77'

H. Jeong

Attempt missed. H. Jeong (Bucheon FC 1995), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

77'

Seung-un Ha

Substitution, Gwangju FC: M. Moon comes on for Seung-un Ha.

77'

S. Min

Substitution, Gwangju FC: Y. Ahn comes on for S. Min.

75'

B. G. Yoon

Attempt saved. B. G. Yoon (Bucheon FC 1995), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

73'

C. M. Shin

Attempt saved. C. M. Shin (Gwangju FC), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.12.

69'

B. G. Yoon

Attempt saved. B. G. Yoon (Bucheon FC 1995), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

68'

S. Jo

Attempt blocked. S. Jo (Bucheon FC 1995), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

67'

P. William

Substitution, Bucheon FC 1995: H. Jeong comes on for P. William.

67'

S. Ye-Geon

Substitution, Bucheon FC 1995: B. G. Yoon comes on for S. Ye-Geon.

65'

J. Iredale

Goal! Bucheon FC 1995 0-3 Gwangju FC. J. Iredale (Gwangju FC) scores, assisted by A. D. B. Loua.

60'

J. I. Park

Substitution, Bucheon FC 1995: Gustavo Nescau comes on for J. I. Park.

60'

A. D. B. Loua

Goal! Bucheon FC 1995 0-2 Gwangju FC. A. D. B. Loua (Gwangju FC) scores, assisted by C. M. Shin.

59'

Seung-un Ha

Attempt missed. Seung-un Ha (Gwangju FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

59'

M. J. Kim

Substitution, Bucheon FC 1995: Rodrigo comes on for M. J. Kim.

56'

Seung-un Ha

Off the woodwork! Seung-un Ha (Gwangju FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

56'

A. D. B. Loua

Attempt saved. A. D. B. Loua (Gwangju FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.40.

54'

S. Jo

Attempt missed. S. Jo (Bucheon FC 1995), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.05.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Bucheon FC 1995 0-1 Gwangju FC.

45+3'

D. K. Baek

Attempt missed. D. K. Baek (Bucheon FC 1995), header from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

45+1'

J. Iredale

Goal! Bucheon FC 1995 0-1 Gwangju FC. J. Iredale (Gwangju FC) scores, assisted by A. D. B. Loua.

45'

J. Iredale

Attempt saved. J. Iredale (Gwangju FC), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.07.

43'

Galego

Attempt blocked. Galego (Bucheon FC 1995), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

40'

Galego

Penalty missed! Galego (Bucheon FC 1995), off target.

37'

S. Y. Kwon

Attempt missed. S. Y. Kwon (Gwangju FC), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.

31'

M. J. Kim

Attempt blocked. M. J. Kim (Bucheon FC 1995), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

25'

K. Choi

Attempt missed. K. Choi (Gwangju FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

24'

Galego

Attempt saved. Galego (Bucheon FC 1995), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

21'

J. Iredale

Attempt missed. J. Iredale (Gwangju FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

20'

João Pedro

Attempt blocked. João Pedro (Gwangju FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

15'

S. Ye-Geon

Attempt missed. S. Ye-Geon (Bucheon FC 1995), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

7'

Galego

Attempt saved. Galego (Bucheon FC 1995), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.11.

2'

João Pedro

Attempt saved. João Pedro (Gwangju FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

1'

Kick-off: Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC.

Where the money is

27961 EUR matched · captured 6 days, 17 hours ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 14827 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

68.6%

-30.4 vs price

Home 120.0 · implied 0.8%

25.3%

+24.4 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

6.1%

+6.0 vs price

Half time 117 EUR

Draw 2.28 · implied 43.9%

86.3%

+42.5 vs price

Home 3.15 · implied 31.7%

52.2%

+20.5 vs price

Away 3.9 · implied 25.6%

42.8%

+17.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 2069 EUR · live

Under 3.0 · implied 33.3%

65.9%

+32.6 vs price

Over 1.5 · implied 66.7%

34.1%

-32.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 82 EUR

Over 8.8 · implied 11.4%

100.0%

+88.6 vs price

11 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Match events

40' 🚫 Penalty missed · Galego

Half-time · 0–1

45'⁺¹ ⚽ J. Iredale · assist A. D. B. Loua0–1

59' 🔁 Rodrigo ◂ M. J. Kim

60' ⚽ A. D. B. Loua · assist C. M. Shin0–2

60' 🔁 Gustavo Nescau ◂ J. I. Park

65' ⚽ J. Iredale · assist A. D. B. Loua0–3

67' 🔁 B. G. Yoon ◂ S. Ye-Geon

67' 🔁 H. Jeong ◂ P. William

77' 🔁 Y. Ahn ◂ S. Min

77' 🔁 M. Moon ◂ Seung-un Ha

80' João Pedro · Foul

82' 🔁 J. Bae ◂ João Pedro

83' K. Jong-Seok · Foul

84' Galego · Foul

87' 🔁 D. Kim ◂ Galego

Full-time · 0–3

90'⁺² 🔁 S. J. Ju ◂ C. M. Shin

90'⁺³ 🔁 K. Yun-Ho ◂ A. D. B. Loua

Coaches

Young-Min Lee

Jeong-Gyu Lee

Recent form

Bucheon FC 1995

LAUlsan HD1-2

LAGangwon FC0-2

LHGimcheon Sangmu FC0-2

DHJeju SK2-2

LAIncheon United1-2

Gwangju FC

LADaejeon Hana Citizen2-3

WHUlsan HD4-3

DAJeonbuk Hyundai Motors2-2

DHFC Anyang1-1

LHJeju SK0-1

About this match

**Bucheon are in freefall, but Gwangju's form isn't exactly rock solid either** — expect a scruffy affair where desperation meets inconsistency. 🔥

Bucheon have dropped four of their last five and look properly lost at the bottom. Gwangju, meanwhile, won one and drew two in their last stretch, but that 4-3 win over Ulsan is basically the only thing keeping them honest. Neither side is playing pretty football right now.

Key storylines:

- **Bucheon's defensive crisis** — they've shipped 2+ goals in three straight and face a Gwangju attack that just flexed on Ulsan
- **Rodrigo vs Gwangju's backline** — Bucheon's forward needs to justify his spot with a goal in a must-not-lose moment
- **Head-to-head edge** — Bucheon won their last meeting; that historic slight advantage is all they've got

Expected lineups:

- **Bucheon FC 1995**: H. K. Kim, D. K. Baek, S. Hong, Galego, M. J. Kim, S. Kim, Rodrigo, Gustavo Nescau
- **Gwangju FC**: D. Kim, João Pedro, S. Min, Y. J. Ri, S. Y. Kwon, S. J. Ju, A. D. B. Loua, J. Iredale

Prediction:

**Gwangju 2–1 Bucheon** — Gwangju's slight edge in recent form and attacking fluidity should edge out a Bucheon side fighting for their season. Tight and tense. 📍

Where to watch

VeikkausTV

Match facts

Stadium

Bucheon Stadium

City

Bucheon

Referee

Sang-Hyeop Chae

3.31 yellows/match · 16 matches

Kickoff

24 Oct, 05:00 UTC

Competition

K League 1

Highlights & clips

Bucheon FC 1995 3-4-3 · 4-4-2 Gwangju FC

1 H. K. Kim 6 H. Jeong ↑ 67' 29 D. K. Baek 20 S. Hong 26 T. H. Ahn 8 B. G. Yoon ↑ 67' 14 J. Kim 83 S. Jo 10 Rodrigo ↑ 59' 99 Gustavo Nescau ↑ 60' 24 D. Kim ↑ 87' 23 D. Kim 22 S. Y. Kwon 4 T. v. Grunsven 6 Y. Ahn ↑ 77' 66 J. Bae ↑ 82' 8 S. J. Ju ↑ 90' 10 K. Choi 21 K. Jong-Seok 88 M. Moon ↑ 77' 25 K. Yun-Ho ↑ 90' 18 J. Iredale ⚽2

Substitutes

31GS. Lee 3DP. William↓ 67' 25DYeo 93DL. Jae-Won 4MS. Ye-Geon↓ 67' 23MK. Takahashi 13FM. J. Kim↓ 59' 9FJ. I. Park↓ 60' 11FGalego↓ 87'

Coach: Young-Min Lee

Substitutes

1GK. M. Kim 39DS. Min↓ 77' 17DJoão Pedro↓ 82' 33DW. J. Park 40MC. M. Shin↓ 90' 50MA. D. B. Loua↓ 90' 70MK. Woo-Jin 37MY. J. Ri 9FSeung-un Ha↓ 77'

Coach: Jeong-Gyu Lee

Top stats

59%Possession41%

1.49Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.44

12Total shots14

4Shots on target8

1Big chances5

6Corners0

Shots

5Shots off target5

3Blocked shots1

8Shots inside box6

4Shots outside box8

0Hit woodwork1

0Big chances scored3

1Big chances missed2

Attack

17Touches in box14

63Final third entries38

3Offsides2

10Free kicks7

4Fouled in final third0

Passing

507Passes368

436Accurate passes297

22/46 (48%)Long balls22/43 (51%)

4/23 (17%)Crosses2/6 (33%)

19Throw-ins17

Duels

46Duels53

25/51 (49%)Ground duels25/51 (49%)

11/27 (41%)Aerial duels16/27 (59%)

4/7 (57%)Dribbles6/9 (67%)

10Dispossessed8

Defending

11Tackles13

82Tackles won77

2Interceptions7

11Clearances32

32Recoveries33

Discipline

7Fouls11

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

5Saves4

6Goal kicks8

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Bucheon 44%

27%

Gwangju 29%

BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.25 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 69% · 1.25 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 27% · 2.50 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 57% · 1.66 @ Pinnacle

Who winsBucheon to win (DNB) 61% · 1.62 @ Betsson

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 4.50 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.05 @ William Hill

1X2Bucheon to win 44% · 2.52 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.34 @ Pinnacle

1X2Gwangju to win 29% · 3.46 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 55% · 1.86 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.20

Bucheon FC 1995

3.35

Draw

3.05

Gwangju FC

Double Chanceconsensus

1.33

Bucheon FC 1995 or Draw

1.29

Bucheon FC 1995 or Gwangju FC

1.65

Draw or Gwangju FC

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.67

Yes

2.10

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.90

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

5.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

10.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.24

Over 1.50

3.63

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.84

Over 2.50

1.92

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.23

Over 3.50

1.31

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.50

Over 4.50

1.08

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.58

Bucheon FC 1995

2.25

Gwangju FC

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.50

Over 7.50

2.42

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.80

Over 8.50

1.96

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.29

Over 9.50

1.57

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

3.31

Over 10.50

1.25

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

4.92

Over 11.50

1.09

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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