New York City FC 1-1 Los Angeles FC: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. New York City FC 1-1 Los Angeles FC.

90+4'

S. Vásquez

Attempt missed. S. Vásquez (Los Angeles FC), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.22.

90+3'

S. Heung-min

Off the woodwork! S. Heung-min (Los Angeles FC), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

90+2'

N. Fernández

Attempt saved. N. Fernández (New York City FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

90+1'

New York City FC

Corner, New York City FC.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

88'

New York City FC

Offside, New York City FC.

87'

T. Magno

Attempt missed. T. Magno (New York City FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

85'

M. Delgado

Substitution, Los Angeles FC: S. Vásquez comes on for M. Delgado.

85'

A. Long

Substitution, Los Angeles FC: R. Porteous comes on for A. Long.

84'

T. Magno

Attempt missed. T. Magno (New York City FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

83'

A. Sieb

Attempt missed. A. Sieb (Los Angeles FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

82'

M. Delgado

Attempt missed. M. Delgado (Los Angeles FC), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

81'

Los Angeles FC

Corner, Los Angeles FC.

81'

L. Walta

Attempt blocked. L. Walta (Los Angeles FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

80'

S. Heung-min

Attempt saved. S. Heung-min (Los Angeles FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

79'

Los Angeles FC

Offside, Los Angeles FC.

77'

Los Angeles FC

Offside, Los Angeles FC.

77'

Los Angeles FC

Offside, Los Angeles FC.

74'

Los Angeles FC

Corner, Los Angeles FC.

72'

A. Perea

Attempt blocked. A. Perea (New York City FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

72'

T. Gray

Attempt missed. T. Gray (New York City FC), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

72'

New York City FC

Corner, New York City FC.

70'

T. Magno

Attempt blocked. T. Magno (New York City FC), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.10.

70'

New York City FC

Corner, New York City FC.

69'

New York City FC

Corner, New York City FC.

69'

H. Wolf

Attempt blocked. H. Wolf (New York City FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

68'

A. Ojeda

Substitution, New York City FC: T. Magno comes on for A. Ojeda.

68'

Luighi

Substitution, New York City FC: B. Traore comes on for Luighi.

66'

N. Fernández

Attempt missed. N. Fernández (New York City FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

66'

J. Shaffelburg

Substitution, Los Angeles FC: A. Sieb comes on for J. Shaffelburg.

66'

R. Hollingshead

Substitution, Los Angeles FC: S. Palencia comes on for R. Hollingshead.

64'

Los Angeles FC

Offside, Los Angeles FC.

63'

Los Angeles FC

Corner, Los Angeles FC.

59'

A. Perea

Goal! New York City FC 1-1 Los Angeles FC. A. Perea (New York City FC) scores, assisted by N. Fernández.

59'

New York City FC

Corner, New York City FC.

58'

Igor Jesus

Substitution, Los Angeles FC: M. Choinière comes on for Igor Jesus.

56'

New York City FC

Corner, New York City FC.

54'

A. Ojeda

Yellow card for A. Ojeda (New York City FC) for foul.

53'

T. Gray

Attempt saved. T. Gray (New York City FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

53'

New York City FC

Corner, New York City FC.

52'

A. Ojeda

Attempt blocked. A. Ojeda (New York City FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

52'

Luighi

Attempt missed. Luighi (New York City FC), header. xG 0.04.

50'

New York City FC

Corner, New York City FC.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. New York City FC 0-1 Los Angeles FC.

45+5'

L. Walta

Attempt saved. L. Walta (Los Angeles FC), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

45+1'

L. Walta

Goal! New York City FC 0-1 Los Angeles FC. L. Walta (Los Angeles FC) scores.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

44'

A. O'Neill

Yellow card for A. O'Neill (New York City FC) for foul.

38'

Luighi

Attempt blocked. Luighi (New York City FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

33'

New York City FC

Corner, New York City FC.

28'

H. Wolf

Yellow card for H. Wolf (New York City FC) for foul.

16'

D. Bouanga

Attempt missed. D. Bouanga (Los Angeles FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.21.

10'

Los Angeles FC

Corner, Los Angeles FC.

9'

New York City FC

Corner, New York City FC.

2'

Los Angeles FC

Corner, Los Angeles FC.

1'

Kick-off: New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC.

Where the money is

69744 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 6 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 46174 EUR · live

Away 2.82 · implied 35.5%

69.3%

+33.8 vs price

Home 2.98 · implied 33.6%

21.1%

-12.5 vs price

Draw 3.2 · implied 31.2%

9.7%

-21.6 vs price

Half time 345 EUR

Away 3.25 · implied 30.8%

79.3%

+48.5 vs price

Draw 2.44 · implied 41.0%

12.5%

-28.5 vs price

Home 3.45 · implied 29.0%

7.5%

-21.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 3174 EUR · live

Over 2.42 · implied 41.3%

61.2%

+19.9 vs price

Under 1.76 · implied 56.8%

39.8%

-17.0 vs price

9 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 3 clips

Player of the match

Match events

28' H. Wolf · Foul

44' A. O'Neill · Foul

Half-time · 0–1

45'⁺¹ ⚽ L. Walta0–1

54' A. Ojeda · Foul

58' 🔁 M. Choinière ◂ Igor Jesus

59' ⚽ A. Perea · assist N. Fernández1–1

66' 🔁 S. Palencia ◂ R. Hollingshead

66' 🔁 A. Sieb ◂ J. Shaffelburg

68' 🔁 B. Traore ◂ Luighi

68' 🔁 T. Magno ◂ A. Ojeda

85' 🔁 R. Porteous ◂ A. Long

85' 🔁 S. Vásquez ◂ M. Delgado

Full-time · 1–1

Coaches

Pascal Jansen

Xavier Tamarit

Recent form

New York City FC

LAInter Miami CF0-2

LAChicago Fire1-2

DAAtlanta United2-2

LHNew York Red Bulls0-1

WAReal Salt Lake2-0

Los Angeles FC

WHAustin FC3-1

DHVancouver Whitecaps1-1

LAFC Dallas0-1

DASan Jose Earthquakes2-2

LASporting Kansas City1-3

About this match

**LAFC roll into Citi Field looking to make noise in October, but NYCFC are hungry at home** — this is a clash between two inconsistent sides fighting for playoff positioning. 🔥

NYCFC have been shaky lately, dropping three of their last five and leaking goals across the board. LAFC aren't pristine either — they've drawn two of five — but that 3-1 win over Austin shows they can go large when it clicks. The visitors have a slight edge in form, while the hosts desperately need a result at home.

Key storylines:

- **NYCFC's injury list is stacked** — Baiera, Farnos, Trewin, Parks, and Moralez all out leaves the midfield thin and attacking options limited
- **LAFC's forward line has teeth** — Bouanga and Heung-min give them directness and pace that could punish NYCFC's leaky backline
- **Home-field matters**: NYCFC's last five at Citi Field (implied from A/H splits) has been rough; they need to tighten up defensively

Expected lineups:

- **New York City FC**: M. Freese, T. Martins, T. Gray, M. Murray, J. Sands, N. Fernández, A. Martínez, A. Ojeda, Luighi, A. Perea
- **Los Angeles FC**: H. Lloris, Y. Cheberko, R. Porteous, K. Nielsen, M. Delgado, J. Terry, D. Bouanga, S. Heung-min

Prediction:

**1-2 LAFC** — The visitors' attacking verve edges out a depleted NYCFC side. Lean LAFC.

Where to watch

Apple TV

Match facts

Stadium

Citi Field

City

New York

Referee

Rosendo Mendoza

4.92 yellows/match · 52 matches

Kickoff

17 Oct, 23:30 UTC

Competition

MLS

Highlights & clips

New York City FC 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 Los Angeles FC

49 M. Freese 6.2 24 T. Gray 7.4 13 T. Martins 7.1 6 J. Sands 7.2 22 K. O'Toole 7.2 21 A. O'Neill 6.8 8 A. Perea 7.4 9 B. Traore 6.5 ↑ 68' 7 N. Fernández 7.6 17 H. Wolf 7.0 11 T. Magno 6.3 ↑ 68' 1 H. Lloris 6.1 14 S. Palencia 7.0 ↑ 66' 5 R. Porteous 6.8 ↑ 85' 91 N. Tafari 7.0 23 Y. Cheberko 7.2 20 S. Vásquez 6.4 ↑ 85' 66 M. Choinière 6.6 ↑ 58' 81 L. Walta 8.0 7 S. Heung-min 6.9 9 A. Sieb 6.7 ↑ 66' 99 D. Bouanga 6.2

Substitutes

30GT. Romero 3DM. Miazga 35DM. Ilenič 34DRaul Gustavo 26MA. Ojeda↓ 68'6.7 32MJ. Shore 20FLuighi↓ 68'6.2 88FM. Jones 16FA. Martínez

Coach: Pascal Jansen

Substitutes

12GT. Hasal 33DA. Long↓ 85'7.6 24DR. Hollingshead↓ 66'6.4 4DE. Segura 6MIgor Jesus↓ 58'7.0 8MM. Delgado↓ 85'6.6 21MR. Raposo 18FJ. Shaffelburg↓ 66'6.4 19FT. Boyd

Coach: Xavier Tamarit

Top stats

66%Possession34%

0.69Expected goals (xG)0.64

13Total shots9

3Shots on target3

2Big chances1

10Corners4

Shots

5Shots off target5

5Blocked shots1

6Shots inside box4

7Shots outside box5

0Hit woodwork1

1Big chances scored0

1Big chances missed1

-0.8Goals prevented-0.48

Attack

26Touches in box14

64Final third entries44

1Offsides3

8Free kicks18

0Fouled in final third2

Passing

702Passes369

632Accurate passes301

33/60 (55%)Long balls14/42 (33%)

7/24 (29%)Crosses1/10 (10%)

19Throw-ins20

Duels

45Duels55

27/64 (42%)Ground duels37/64 (58%)

8/13 (62%)Aerial duels5/13 (38%)

7/17 (41%)Dribbles3/6 (50%)

8Dispossessed10

Defending

13Tackles18

62Tackles won61

8Interceptions13

14Clearances25

47Recoveries44

Discipline

18Fouls8

3Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves2

5Goal kicks5

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

NY City 34%

26%

Los Angeles 40%

Who winsLos Angeles to win (DNB) 54% · 1.80 @ Novibet

1X2Los Angeles to win 40% · 3.00 @ Bet365

CornersOver 9.5 corners 52%

CornersOver 8.5 corners 64%

BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 1.95 @ fonbet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 1.70 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.22 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 26% · 2.30 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.44 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.83 @ Bet365

1X2NY City to win 34% · 3.25 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.70

New York City FC

3.50

Draw

2.30

Los Angeles FC

Double Chanceconsensus

1.57

New York City FC or Draw

1.29

New York City FC or Los Angeles FC

1.40

Draw or Los Angeles FC

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.57

Yes

2.25

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

13.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.22

Over 1.50

4.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.70

Over 2.50

2.10

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.62

Over 3.50

1.44

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.00

Over 4.50

1.17

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.00

New York City FC

1.71

Los Angeles FC

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.83

Over 10.50

1.83

Under 10.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

3.25

New York City FC

2.30

Draw

3.00

Los Angeles FC

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Report a data issue