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John Aloisi
Chengdu Rongcheng
Beijing Guoan
Chengdu Rongcheng
4-4-2 · 4-4-2
Beijing Guoan
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
Y. Cao ◂ D. Jiefu
46'
🔁
C. Zhongguo ◂ U. Spajić
46'
🔁
M. Iminqari ◂ M. Jussa
52'
⚽
Z. Yuning · assist F. Abreu0–1
59'
Y. Li · Foul
62'
🔁
Rômulo ◂ B. Abuduwaili
64'
🔁
F. Jia ◂ Y. Liyu
67'
🔁
W. Yu ◂ C. Zhongguo
70'
⚽
Z. Yuning · assist F. Jia0–2
76'
F. Abreu · Argument
76'
F. Silva · Argument
78'
🔁
W. Ziming ◂ G. Chao
78'
🔁
D. Yanfeng ◂ Y. Li
81'
🔁
F. Shuangjie ◂ T. Yue
81'
F. Jia · Foul
83'
🔁
L. Rongxiang ◂ H. Yiran
87'
⚽
F. Silva · assist W. Silva1–2
Full-time · 2–2
90'+3
⚽
E. Sorokin · assist W. Shihao2–2
Coaches
John AloisiNick Montgomery 
Recent form
Chengdu RongchengDAQingdao West Coast1-1
DHChongqing Tonglianglong FC1-1
DAQingdao Hainiu1-1
WAShenzhen Peng City3-2
WHShandong Taishan1-0
Beijing GuoanDHLiaoning Tieren FC1-1
WHShandong Taishan2-0
WHWuhan Three Towns1-0
WAChongqing Tonglianglong FC3-2
LHHenan FC1-2
Match facts
Stadium
Wuliangye Sports Center Stadium
City
Chengdu
Referee
Ko Hyung-jin
Kickoff
26 Jul, 11:35 UTC
Competition
Chinese Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng
4-4-2 · 4-4-2
Beijing Guoan
32
L. Dianzuo
6.1
58
L. Rongxiang
6.5
↑ 83'
19
D. Yanfeng
6.7
↑ 78'
28
E. Sorokin
8.1
2
H. Hetao
6.5
11
W. Silva
7.0
20
W. Ziming
6.5
↑ 78'
29
M. Iminqari
6.5
↑ 46'
7
W. Shihao
6.9
10
Rômulo
6.3
↑ 62'
9
F. Silva
7.4
34
H. Sen
7.4
30
F. Shuangjie
6.1
↑ 81'
6
C. Zhongguo
6.5
↑ 46'
5
G. Ramos
6.6
26
B. Yang
6.4
36
F. Jia
7.0
↑ 64'
23
Dawhan
6.9
8
A. Konte
7.4
37
Y. Cao
6.5
↑ 46'
29
F. Abreu
6.7
9
Z. Yuning
8.5
Substitutes
1GT. Jian
15GR. Weifeng
22DY. Li↓ 78'6.0
4DH. Yiran↓ 83'6.0
17DW. Dongsheng
3DA. Jojo
5MM. Jussa↓ 46'6.9
39MG. Chao↓ 78'6.9
25MM. Muzepper
6MF. Zhuoyi
27FB. Abuduwaili↓ 62'6.2
Coach: John Aloisi
Substitutes
31GS. Liu
22GH. Jiaqi
25DU. Spajić↓ 46'7.4
21DT. Yue↓ 81'7.1
47DD. Jiefu↓ 46'6.6
24DA. Abduhamit
18MW. Yu↑ 67'6.6
17MY. Liyu↓ 64'6.5
50MZ. Haoran
41MC. Xi
58MJ. Zicheng
Coach: Nick Montgomery
Top stats
47%Possession53%
1.23Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.67
17Total shots8
8Shots on target2
0Big chances1
4Corners3
Shots
7Shots off target5
2Blocked shots1
12Shots inside box7
5Shots outside box1
0Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored1
Attack
29Touches in box18
66Final third entries33
3Offsides2
10Free kicks17
1Fouled in final third0
Passing
377Passes423
302Accurate passes358
17/50 (34%)Long balls19/47 (40%)
3/23 (13%)Crosses2/19 (11%)
26Throw-ins10
Duels
45Duels55
31/73 (42%)Ground duels42/72 (58%)
16/32 (50%)Aerial duels15/32 (47%)
7/16 (44%)Dribbles5/8 (63%)
11Dispossessed10
Defending
14Tackles20
79Tackles won60
5Interceptions7
20Clearances36
35Recoveries33
Discipline
17Fouls10
2Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
0Saves6
0Big saves1
7Goal kicks9
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 33 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 59% · 1.73 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 70% · 1.40 @ Interwetten
BTTSBoth teams to score 63% · 1.50 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 61% · 1.57 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.19 @ Unibet
Who winsChengdu to win (DNB) 61% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle
1X2Chengdu to win 46% · 2.15 @ Interwetten
1X2Draw 25% · 3.93 @ Pinnacle
1X2Guoan to win 29% · 3.25 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 60% · 1.64 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 52% · 2.25 @ Betsson
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.06
Chengdu Rongcheng ▼
3.49
Draw ▼
3.08
Beijing Guoan ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.34
Chengdu Rongcheng or Draw ▲
1.25
Chengdu Rongcheng or Beijing Guoan ▲
1.72
Draw or Beijing Guoan ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.46
Yes ▲
2.54
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50 ▼
15.18
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.15
Over 1.50 ▼
5.50
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.57
Over 2.50 ▲
2.35
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.40
Over 3.50 ▲
1.55
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.90
Over 4.50
1.24
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.55
Chengdu Rongcheng ▲
2.32
Beijing Guoan ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50 ▼
12.00
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.06
Over 6.50 ▼
7.94
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50 ▲
5.01
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.27
Over 8.50 ▲
3.49
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.44
Over 9.50 ▲
2.60
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.67
Over 10.50 ▼
2.07
Under 10.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.04
Over 11.50 ▼
1.70
Under 11.50 ▲
2.0 – 1.1Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~10Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 59% | 59% | 1.58 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 70% | 70% | 1.32 | Overpriced | medium |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 63% | 63% | 1.47 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 61% | 61% | 1.52 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 81% | 81% | 1.15 | Overpriced | high |
| Chengdu to win (DNB)Who wins | 61% | 61% | 1.53 | Overpriced | medium |
| Chengdu to win1X2 | 46% | 46% | 2.03 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 25% | 25% | 3.68 | Overpriced | low |
| Guoan to win1X2 | 29% | 29% | 3.18 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 60% | 59% | 1.58 | Fair | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 52% | 52% | 1.79 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Chengdu to win (DNB) — we say 77%, they say 61%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 79% | +2% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 58% | +3% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 37% | +3% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 63% | 60% | +3% | Yes |
| Home win | 46% | 46% | 0% | No |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 0% | No |
| Away win | 29% | 29% | 0% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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