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Genwei Yu
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Beijing Guoan
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
5-3-2 · 4-4-2
Beijing Guoan
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
60621 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
84.6%
-14.5 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
11.4%
+11.3 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
4.1%
+4.0 vs price
Half time
1202 EUR · live
Away
1.09 · implied 91.7%
93.4%
+1.6 vs price
Draw
6.2 · implied 16.1%
5.1%
-11.0 vs price
Home
140.0 · implied 0.7%
1.5%
+0.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
7623 EUR · live
Over
1.23 · implied 81.3%
51.9%
-29.4 vs price
Under
5.4 · implied 18.5%
48.1%
+29.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
4203 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
96.7%
-2.3 vs price
Over
28.0 · implied 3.6%
3.3%
-0.3 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
16'
⚽
F. Abreu · assist T. Yue0–1
Half-time · 0–2
45'+2
⚽
Dawhan · assist F. Abreu0–2
46'
🔁
Y. Cao ◂ Z. Yuning
46'
🔁
J. Huang ◂ F. Yang
46'
🔁
X. Wang ◂ Q. Wang
49'
⚽
Y. Cao0–3
53'
⚽
F. Abreu · assist S. Erjini'ao0–4
53'
A. Konte · Argument
62'
🔁
J. Shengpan ◂ Z. Wang
62'
🔁
F. Shuangjie ◂ G. Wang
62'
🔁
Y. Liyu ◂ S. Erjini'ao
62'
🔁
J. Liu ◂ G. Schettine
70'
⚽
J. Liu1–4
79'
🔁
Z. Xizhe ◂ F. Abreu
79'
🔁
L. Lei ◂ A. Abduhamit
84'
🔁
S. Yan ◂ M. Sun
87'
⚽
A. Quiles · assist B. Xadas2–4
88'
Y. Cao · Foul
Full-time · 2–4
Coaches
Nick Montgomery 
Recent form
LAShandong Taishan1-2
WHYunnan Yukun3-2
WAQingdao Hainiu2-0
WAShanghai Shenhua2-0
WHShenzhen Peng City3-0
WHShenzhen Peng City4-0
WHZhejiang2-1
DAChengdu Rongcheng2-2
DHLiaoning Tieren FC1-1
WHShandong Taishan2-0
Where to watch
Migu
Match facts
Stadium
TEDA Football Stadium
City
Tianjin
Kickoff
15 Aug, 11:35 UTC
Competition
Chinese Super League
25
Y. Bingliang
5.8
29
D. Ba
5.8
20
J. Shengpan
6.6
↑ 62'
18
A. C. Querejeta
5.7
6
X. Wang
6.1
↑ 46'
40
S. Yan
6.7
↑ 84'
14
J. Huang
6.9
↑ 46'
10
Cristian
6.6
8
B. Xadas
7.4
9
A. Quiles
8.0
19
J. Liu
6.7
↑ 62'
34
H. Sen
6.7
21
T. Yue
6.0
30
F. Shuangjie
6.1
↑ 62'
4
L. Lei
6.2
↑ 79'
26
B. Yang
6.5
17
Y. Liyu
6.9
↑ 62'
23
Dawhan
7.5
8
A. Konte
7.0
47
D. Jiefu
6.0
10
Z. Xizhe
6.4
↑ 79'
37
Y. Cao
7.4
↑ 46'
Substitutes
26GH. Zhang
21GQ. Yuxi
31DM. Sun↓ 84'5.9
4DF. Yang↓ 46'5.8
3DZ. Wang↓ 62'5.2
17DX. Wu
11DX. Weijun
30MQ. Wang↓ 46'6.1
22ML. Yongjia
24MC. Zhexuan
28MH. Guo
7FG. Schettine↓ 62'6.7
Coach: Genwei Yu
Substitutes
31GS. Liu
24DA. Abduhamit↓ 79'7.4
27DG. Wang↓ 62'6.6
7MS. Erjini'ao↓ 62'7.6
18MW. Yu
43MX. Xiaoyu
50MZ. Haoran
41MC. Xi
36MF. Jia
29FF. Abreu↓ 79'9.1
9FZ. Yuning↓ 46'6.6
58FJ. Zicheng
Coach: Nick Montgomery
Top stats
51%Possession49%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
19Total shots9
8Shots on target6
6Big chances4
10Corners1
Shots
8Shots off target2
3Blocked shots1
12Shots inside box8
7Shots outside box1
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored4
5Big chances missed0
Attack
28Touches in box14
77Final third entries39
2Offsides3
6Free kicks5
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
398Passes410
305Accurate passes323
36/87 (41%)Long balls17/48 (35%)
8/30 (27%)Crosses1/3 (0%)
33Throw-ins19
Duels
46Duels54
24/51 (47%)Ground duels27/51 (53%)
15/33 (45%)Aerial duels18/33 (55%)
9/20 (45%)Dribbles6/8 (75%)
6Dispossessed7
Defending
9Tackles17
67Tackles won53
6Interceptions2
12Clearances52
44Recoveries45
Discipline
5Fouls6
0Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
2Saves5
0Big saves1
4Goal kicks13
0Punches4
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 66 bookmakers
Who winsGuoan to win (DNB) 58% · 1.79 @ forbet
1X2Guoan to win 45% · 2.77 @ efbet.net
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.80 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.45 @ Interwetten
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 1.61 @ betfair
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53% · 1.72 @ betfair
1X2Draw 27% · 2.77 @ efbet.net
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 1.24 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.07 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.67 @ 10bet
1X2Jinmen Tiger to win 29% · 3.10 @ merkurxtip
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.78
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger ▲
3.48
Draw ▲
2.25
Beijing Guoan ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.54
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger or Draw
1.28
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger or Beijing Guoan
1.40
Draw or Beijing Guoan
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.52
Yes
2.29
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.36
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.18
Over 1.50
4.12
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.60
Over 2.50
2.15
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.45
Over 3.50 ▼
1.46
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.50
Over 4.50 ▼
1.19
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
2.02
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1.71
Beijing Guoan
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
12.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.09
Over 6.50
6.21
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50 ▲
3.86
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.41
Over 8.50 ▲
2.67
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.70
Over 9.50 ▼
2.02
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.13
Over 10.50 ▲
1.63
Under 10.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.80
Over 11.50 ▲
1.38
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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