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Nick Montgomery
Beijing Guoan
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
4-4-2 · 4-3-3
Yunnan Yukun
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
143550 EUR · live
Home
12.5 · implied 8.0%
68.8%
+60.8 vs price
Draw
1.11 · implied 90.1%
25.6%
-64.5 vs price
Away
50.0 · implied 2.0%
5.7%
+3.7 vs price
Half time
427 EUR · live
Home
2.4 · implied 41.7%
72.5%
+30.9 vs price
Draw
2.22 · implied 45.0%
18.0%
-27.0 vs price
Away
5.5 · implied 18.2%
9.1%
-9.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
23060 EUR · live
Over
1.19 · implied 84.0%
82.2%
-1.8 vs price
Under
5.8 · implied 17.2%
17.8%
+0.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2652 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
78.7%
-16.6 vs price
Over
15.5 · implied 6.5%
21.3%
+14.8 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
15'
Z. Yuning · Foul
36'
⚽
Dawhan · assist F. Abreu1–0
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
C. Vinícius ◂ C. Ye
50'
⚽
Z. Yuning · assist F. Abreu2–0
58'
⚽
B. Abdusalam · assist C. Zhang2–1
62'
🔁
T. Yue ◂ G. Wang
62'
🔁
Z. Xizhe ◂ D. Jiefu
65'
⚽
O. T. Maritu · assist J. H. Sæter2–2
69'
⚽
S. Erjini'ao · assist Dawhan3–2
80'
🔁
L. Duan ◂ X. Xu
80'
🔁
Cléber ◂ J. H. Sæter
80'
🔁
Z. Huang ◂ C. Zhang
84'
🔁
L. Lei ◂ Z. Yuning
85'
🔁
Z. Han ◂ B. Abdusalam
86'
C. Vinícius · Foul
Full-time · 3–3
90'+1
⚽
A. Ioniță · assist C. Vinícius3–3
Coaches
Nick MontgomeryJordi Vinyals 
Recent form
Beijing GuoanWAShanghai Shenhua3-0
WATianjin Jinmen Tiger4-2
WHShenzhen Peng City4-0
WHZhejiang2-1
DAChengdu Rongcheng2-2
Yunnan YukunWHDalian Yingbo FC3-1
WHChengdu Rongcheng1-0
LATianjin Jinmen Tiger2-3
WHShenzhen Peng City4-3
DHShanghai Port2-2
Where to watch
Betano
Match facts
Stadium
Beijing Workers' Stadium
City
Beijing
Kickoff
22 Aug, 12:00 UTC
Competition
Chinese Super League
Beijing Guoan
4-4-2 · 4-3-3
Yunnan Yukun
34
H. Sen
6.0
21
T. Yue
6.0
↑ 62'
24
A. Abduhamit
6.5
5
G. Ramos
6.3
26
B. Yang
5.8
37
Y. Cao
6.6
23
Dawhan
8.4
7
S. Erjini'ao
8.4
10
Z. Xizhe
6.9
↑ 62'
29
F. Abreu
8.1
4
L. Lei
6.1
↑ 84'
23
Z. Wang
8.5
19
Z. Huang
7.1
↑ 80'
18
T. Yi
6.1
33
A. Burcă
6.6
3
W. Tsui
6.0
10
A. Ioniță
7.5
22
L. Duan
6.7
↑ 80'
34
C. Vinícius
6.7
↑ 46'
27
Z. Han
6.5
↑ 85'
9
Cléber
6.6
↑ 80'
11
O. T. Maritu
7.5
Substitutes
31GS. Liu
47DD. Jiefu↓ 62'6.9
27DG. Wang↓ 62'6.5
30DF. Shuangjie
43MX. Xiaoyu
50MZ. Haoran
41MC. Xi
36MF. Jia
18MW. Yu
17MY. Liyu
9FZ. Yuning↓ 84'7.5
58FJ. Zicheng
Coach: Nick Montgomery
Substitutes
1GY. Bao
13GS. Qiu
26DC. Zhang↓ 80'6.2
2DR. Hu
16DZ. Xiangshuo
8MX. Xu↓ 80'7.1
30MJ. H. Sæter↓ 80'6.6
7MC. Ye↓ 46'6.3
17MS. Xuelong
6MY. Zhao
39FB. Abdusalam↓ 85'8.6
36FE. Fei
Coach: Jordi Vinyals
Top stats
60%Possession40%
2.69Expected goals (xG)1.45
17Total shots14
8Shots on target5
4Big chances4
9Corners5
Shots
3Shots off target6
6Blocked shots3
13Shots inside box7
4Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork1
2Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed3
Attack
30Touches in box11
62Final third entries48
12Offsides1
9Free kicks8
1Fouled in final third0
Passing
511Passes354
449Accurate passes295
30/57 (53%)Long balls26/46 (57%)
10/31 (32%)Crosses2/13 (15%)
20Throw-ins12
Duels
47Duels53
26/54 (48%)Ground duels28/54 (52%)
9/20 (45%)Aerial duels11/20 (55%)
6/12 (50%)Dribbles11/17 (65%)
4Dispossessed5
Defending
11Tackles10
45Tackles won30
4Interceptions7
18Clearances43
45Recoveries38
Discipline
8Fouls9
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves5
6Goal kicks5
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 63 bookmakers
1X2Guoan to win 68% · 1.79 @ merkurxtip
Who winsGuoan to win (DNB) 78% · 1.30 @ BetMGM.uk
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 68% · 2.60 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 86% · 1.50 @ 888Sport
BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 2.30 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.67 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.37 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 17% · 3.50 @ tipico
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.87 @ Pinnacle
1X2Yukun to win 15% · 5.20 @ betcity
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 53% · 2.20 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.45
Beijing Guoan ▼
4.85
Draw ▲
5.28
Yunnan Yukun ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.13
Beijing Guoan or Draw ▼
1.16
Beijing Guoan or Yunnan Yukun ▲
2.54
Draw or Yunnan Yukun ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.38
Yes ▲
2.82
No ▼
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
15.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
24.25
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.06
Over 1.50 ▲
7.51
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.26
Over 2.50 ▼
3.48
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.68
Over 3.50 ▼
2.07
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
2.55
Over 4.50
1.46
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.19
Beijing Guoan ▲
4.22
Yunnan Yukun ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.11
Over 7.50
4.65
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.33
Over 8.50
2.94
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.56
Over 9.50
2.23
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.92
Over 10.50
1.81
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.38
Over 11.50
1.50
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
86% confidence
Beijing Guoan to win or draw
✓
85% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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