Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
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Jordi Vinyals
Yunnan Yukun
Liaoning Tieren FC**Yunnan's looking to bounce back after that 6-0 shocker, while Liaoning needs to tighten up after a wild 4-4 draw.** This one's got midtable scrappiness written all over it. 🏟️
Yunnan showed some life with back-to-back wins before getting dismantled by Zhejiang, but they've got the home edge at Yuxi and historically own this matchup. Liaoning's leaky — they've surrendered goals for fun lately and sit deeper in the table with just one win in five.
Key storylines:
- **Cléber and B. Abdusalam** need to capitalize on Yunnan's attacking shape after that defensive meltdown last time out
- **Liaoning's backline** (L. Haoran, Y. Mincheng, Z. Hongfu) under pressure to avoid another high-scoring chaos scenario
- **Home turf advantage** for **Yunnan Yukun** in a must-not-lose spot
Expected lineups:
- **Yunnan Yukun**: Z. Wang, Z. Yang, T. Yi, A. Burcă, W. Tsui, X. Xu, A. Ioniță, C. Vinícius, O. T. Maritu, Cléber, B. Abdusalam
- **Liaoning Tieren FC**: Y. Zhang, L. Haoran, Y. Mincheng, Z. Hongfu, D. Mawlanyaz, T. Kunimoto, Jeffinho, T. Li, Felipe, A. Kouamé, G. Mbenza
Prediction:
**Yunnan 2-1 Liaoning.** Home side edges this as slight favorites — they've got the form resilience and the head-to-head edge, even if Liaoning keeps games open.
Yunnan Yukun
4-3-3 · 3-4-3
Liaoning Tieren FC
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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