Henan FC 3-4 Beijing Guoan: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Henan FC 3-4 Beijing Guoan.

90+12'

B. Nazário

Substitution, Henan FC: C. Yin comes on for B. Nazário.

90+3'

B. Nazário

Yellow card for B. Nazário (Henan FC) for argument.

90+2'

Henan FC

Corner, Henan FC.

90+1'

U. Spajić

Yellow card for U. Spajić (Beijing Guoan) for foul.

90'

6 minutes of added time.

89'

Z. Yuning

Attempt saved. Z. Yuning (Beijing Guoan), header on the counter. xG 0.15.

88'

Y. Liu

Substitution, Henan FC: X. Fan comes on for Y. Liu.

88'

S. Erjini'ao

Substitution, Beijing Guoan: C. Xi comes on for S. Erjini'ao.

81'

Z. Yuning

Goal! Henan FC 3-4 Beijing Guoan. Z. Yuning (Beijing Guoan) scores, assisted by L. Liangming.

80'

S. Wang

Attempt saved. S. Wang (Henan FC), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

80'

Y. Zhong

Substitution, Henan FC: C. He comes on for Y. Zhong.

79'

L. Jiahui

Substitution, Henan FC: D. Zheng comes on for L. Jiahui.

78'

C. Shi

Yellow card for C. Shi (Henan FC) for time wasting.

73'

L. Liangming

Goal! Henan FC 3-3 Beijing Guoan. L. Liangming (Beijing Guoan) scores, assisted by Z. Xizhe.

70'

B. Yang

Substitution, Beijing Guoan: J. Zicheng comes on for B. Yang.

69'

S. Erjini'ao

Off the woodwork! S. Erjini'ao (Beijing Guoan), header. xG 0.09.

69'

D. Jiefu

Goal! Henan FC 3-2 Beijing Guoan. D. Jiefu (Beijing Guoan) scores.

66'

Z. Yuning

Attempt missed. Z. Yuning (Beijing Guoan), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

65'

Z. Xizhe

Goal! Henan FC 3-1 Beijing Guoan. Z. Xizhe (Beijing Guoan) scores.

61'

I. Maidana

Attempt missed. I. Maidana (Henan FC), header from a set piece. xG 0.07.

58'

Z. Yuning

Attempt blocked. Z. Yuning (Beijing Guoan), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

58'

Beijing Guoan

Corner, Beijing Guoan.

56'

Henan FC

Corner, Henan FC.

56'

Y. Zhong

Attempt saved. Y. Zhong (Henan FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

50'

S. Erjini'ao

Attempt blocked. S. Erjini'ao (Beijing Guoan), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

48'

G. Wang

Attempt saved. G. Wang (Beijing Guoan), right-footed shot. xG 0.15.

47'

G. Ramos

Attempt saved. G. Ramos (Beijing Guoan), header from a corner. xG 0.13.

46'

Beijing Guoan

Corner, Beijing Guoan.

46'

C. Zhongguo

Substitution, Beijing Guoan: Z. Xizhe comes on for C. Zhongguo.

46'

A. Abduhamit

Substitution, Beijing Guoan: U. Spajić comes on for A. Abduhamit.

46'

T. Yue

Substitution, Beijing Guoan: G. Wang comes on for T. Yue.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Henan FC 3-0 Beijing Guoan.

45+3'

Z. Yuning

Attempt missed. Z. Yuning (Beijing Guoan), header. xG 0.03.

45'

3 minutes of added time.

45'

A. Abduhamit

Yellow card for A. Abduhamit (Beijing Guoan) for foul.

45'

B. Nazário

Attempt missed. B. Nazário (Henan FC), header from a corner. xG 0.15.

44'

Henan FC

Corner, Henan FC.

44'

B. Nazário

Attempt saved. B. Nazário (Henan FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

42'

Gustavo

Attempt saved. Gustavo (Henan FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

42'

Gustavo

Goal! Henan FC 3-0 Beijing Guoan. Gustavo (Henan FC) scores.

38'

Gustavo

Attempt missed. Gustavo (Henan FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

34'

Gustavo

Goal! Henan FC 2-0 Beijing Guoan. Gustavo (Henan FC) scores, assisted by Y. Zhong.

33'

Beijing Guoan

Corner, Beijing Guoan.

31'

I. Maidana

Attempt missed. I. Maidana (Henan FC), header from a set piece. xG 0.07.

30'

C. Zhongguo

Yellow card for C. Zhongguo (Beijing Guoan) for foul.

27'

Maranhão

Attempt missed. Maranhão (Henan FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

26'

Maranhão

Yellow card for Maranhão (Henan FC) for foul.

26'

Y. Shinar

Attempt missed. Y. Shinar (Henan FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

25'

Henan FC

Corner, Henan FC.

20'

B. Nazário

Goal! Henan FC 1-0 Beijing Guoan. B. Nazário (Henan FC) scores, assisted by Gustavo.

18'

Beijing Guoan

Offside, Beijing Guoan.

18'

Beijing Guoan

Offside, Beijing Guoan.

16'

L. Jiahui

Attempt missed. L. Jiahui (Henan FC), header from a set piece. xG 0.08.

15'

Y. Zhong

Attempt missed. Y. Zhong (Henan FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

10'

Beijing Guoan

Offside, Beijing Guoan.

9'

Beijing Guoan

Corner, Beijing Guoan.

6'

Henan FC

Offside, Henan FC.

3'

Henan FC

Offside, Henan FC.

1'

Kick-off: Henan FC vs Beijing Guoan.

Where the money is

121182 EUR matched · captured 6 days, 16 hours ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 102003 EUR · live

Away 1.04 · implied 96.2%

42.9%

-53.3 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

41.2%

+41.1 vs price

Draw 13.5 · implied 7.4%

15.9%

+8.5 vs price

Half time 12 EUR

Home 3.25 · implied 30.8%

95.2%

+64.4 vs price

Away 3.05 · implied 32.8%

2.5%

-30.3 vs price

Draw 2.58 · implied 38.8%

2.3%

-36.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 5151 EUR · live

Over 1.16 · implied 86.2%

70.3%

-15.9 vs price

Under 8.4 · implied 11.9%

29.8%

+17.9 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 38 EUR

Under 1.2 · implied 83.3%

83.8%

+0.4 vs price

Over 6.0 · implied 16.7%

16.2%

-0.4 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Player of the match

Match events

20' ⚽ B. Nazário · assist Gustavo1–0

26' Maranhão · Foul

30' C. Zhongguo · Foul

34' ⚽ Gustavo · assist Y. Zhong2–0

42' ⚽ Gustavo3–0

Half-time · 3–0

45' A. Abduhamit · Foul

46' 🔁 G. Wang ◂ T. Yue

46' 🔁 U. Spajić ◂ A. Abduhamit

46' 🔁 Z. Xizhe ◂ C. Zhongguo

65' ⚽ Z. Xizhe3–1

69' ⚽ D. Jiefu3–2

70' 🔁 J. Zicheng ◂ B. Yang

73' ⚽ L. Liangming · assist Z. Xizhe3–3

78' C. Shi · Time wasting

79' 🔁 D. Zheng ◂ L. Jiahui

80' 🔁 C. He ◂ Y. Zhong

81' ⚽ Z. Yuning · assist L. Liangming3–4

88' 🔁 C. Xi ◂ S. Erjini'ao

88' 🔁 X. Fan ◂ Y. Liu

Full-time · 3–4

90'⁺¹ U. Spajić · Foul

90'⁺³ B. Nazário · Argument

90'⁺¹² 🔁 C. Yin ◂ B. Nazário

Coaches

Daniel Ramos

Nick Montgomery

Recent form

Henan FC

LHTianjin Jinmen Tiger0-1

DAShenzhen Peng City2-2

DAWuhan Three Towns1-1

DHChengdu Rongcheng0-0

DHChongqing Tonglianglong FC1-1

Beijing Guoan

WHQingdao West Coast1-0

WAQingdao Hainiu3-0

DAShanghai Port0-0

DADalian Yingbo FC1-1

DHYunnan Yukun3-3

About this match

**Henan in the mud, Beijing on a run** — one side's spiraling into draws while the other's rolling with back-to-back wins. This is a tale of momentum and desperation wrapped in one Saturday kickoff. 🔥

Henan's drawing machine has hit four in five, leaving them stuck in neutral. Beijing, meanwhile, just flexed a dominant 3-0 demolition and look genuinely dangerous. The H2H leans Beijing's way (13 wins to 8), and form backs it up.

Key storylines:

- **Henan's draw curse**: Four 1-1s and 2-2s in five matches. They need a breakthrough, not another stalemate.
- **Beijing's attacking teeth**: **F. Abreu** and **Z. Yuning** are clicking. The 3-0 over Qingdao showed real clinical edge.
- **Midfield battle**: **S. Wang** and **C. He** have to win the engine room against **A. Konte** and **S. Erjini'ao** or Henan get overrun.

Expected lineups:

- **Henan FC**: C. Shi, H. Ruifeng, I. Maidana, Lucão, Y. Shinar, S. Wang, C. He, B. Nazário, Maranhão, Gustavo
- **Beijing Guoan**: H. Sen, D. Jiefu, B. Yang, G. Ramos, T. Yue, A. Konte, S. Erjini'ao, Dawhan, Y. Cao, Z. Yuning, F. Abreu

Prediction:

**Beijing Guoan 2-1 Henan FC**. Beijing's got the form and the pattern advantage. Henan might nick one but won't have enough to break through. 🎯

Match facts

Stadium

Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium

City

Zhengzhou

Referee

Hyun Jae Choi

3.67 yellows/match · 12 matches

Kickoff

24 Oct, 07:30 UTC

Competition

Chinese Super League

Henan FC 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1 Beijing Guoan

33 C. Shi 6.8 4 Y. Shinar 5.7 2 I. Maidana 5.7 29 D. Zheng 6.5 ↑ 79' 30 X. Fan 6.6 ↑ 88' 3 O. Gerbig 6.6 6 S. Wang 7.5 8 Maranhão 6.4 24 C. Yin ↑ 90' 21 C. He 6.4 ↑ 80' 9 Gustavo 8.9 34 H. Sen 6.2 27 G. Wang ↑ 46' 5 G. Ramos 6.9 58 J. Zicheng 6.5 ↑ 70' 25 U. Spajić 7.4 ↑ 46' 10 Z. Xizhe 8.4 ↑ 46' 8 A. Konte 6.7 47 D. Jiefu 6.2 11 L. Liangming 8.8 41 C. Xi 6.6 ↑ 88' 9 Z. Yuning 7.3

Substitutes

17GJ. Wang 18GG. Wang↑ 46' 26GJ. Xu 27DY. Liu↓ 88'6.3 5DL. Jiahui↓ 79'6.1 28DC. Du 16DK. Yang 10MB. Nazário↓ 90'8.5 7MY. Zhong↓ 80'6.4 39MO. Ekber 13MA. Abudulam 25MY. Yang

Coach: Daniel Ramos

Substitutes

22GH. Jiaqi 21DT. Yue↓ 46'6.4 24DA. Abduhamit↓ 46'5.8 26DB. Yang↓ 70'5.6 30DF. Shuangjie 7MS. Erjini'ao↓ 88'6.9 6MC. Zhongguo↓ 46'5.8 43MX. Xiaoyu 32MW. Size 50MZ. Haoran 36MF. Jia

Coach: Nick Montgomery

Top stats

41%Possession59%

1.51Expected goals (xG, estimated)2.15

15Total shots12

7Shots on target7

4Big chances5

5Corners4

Shots

8Shots off target3

0Blocked shots2

10Shots inside box11

5Shots outside box1

1Hit woodwork1

2Big chances scored3

2Big chances missed2

Attack

23Touches in box34

67Final third entries59

1Offsides2

24Free kicks12

5Fouled in final third0

Passing

338Passes491

244Accurate passes409

30/75 (40%)Long balls26/52 (50%)

5/16 (31%)Crosses6/19 (32%)

18Throw-ins21

Duels

51Duels49

39/73 (53%)Ground duels34/73 (47%)

16/34 (47%)Aerial duels18/34 (53%)

5/14 (36%)Dribbles11/16 (69%)

5Dispossessed9

Defending

14Tackles14

57Tackles won71

14Interceptions5

26Clearances22

50Recoveries48

Discipline

12Fouls24

3Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves4

0Big saves3

2Goal kicks10

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Henan 31%

25%

Guoan 44%

Who winsGuoan to win (DNB) 58% · 1.58 @ Betsson

1X2Guoan to win 44% · 2.45 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 64% · 2.50 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 63% · 3.10 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.70 @ William Hill

CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.37 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 25% · 2.77 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.69 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 50% · 2.10 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 60% · 1.69 @ 1xBet

1X2Henan to win 31% · 3.15 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.00

Henan FC

3.70

Draw

2.10

Beijing Guoan

Double Chanceconsensus

1.67

Henan FC or Draw

1.25

Henan FC or Beijing Guoan

1.35

Draw or Beijing Guoan

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.42

Yes

2.64

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

6.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.80

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

14.30

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.14

Over 1.50

5.51

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.47

Over 2.50

2.60

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.20

Over 3.50

1.66

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.60

Over 4.50

1.26

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.25

Henan FC

1.57

Beijing Guoan

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.16

Over 7.50

3.98

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.37

Over 8.50

2.73

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.69

Over 9.50

2.08

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.09

Over 10.50

1.68

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.67

Over 11.50

1.39

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

82% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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