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Freyr Alexandersson
Rosenborg BK
Fredrikstad FK
Rosenborg BK
4-3-3 · 3-4-3
Fredrikstad FK
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
10'
⚽
A. Pereira · assist O. Selnaes1–0
13'
⚽
E. Ceide · assist O. Selnaes2–0
32'
A. Pereira · Foul
Half-time · 2–0
46'
🔁
S. Laghzaoui ◂ J. Núñez
46'
🔁
A. Witry ◂ J. Svensson
57'
🔁
G. Wesseh ◂ S. Rafn
67'
🔁
J. Jezierski ◂ O. Öhlenschlaeger
70'
🔁
J. Reitan-Sunde ◂ D. Ďuriš
70'
🔁
T. S. Dahl ◂ A. Pereira
75'
🔁
J. Nysveen ◂ U. Fredriksen
75'
🔁
S. Owusu ◂ F. G. Yrga-Alem
77'
⚽
A. Chiakha · assist M. Bomholt3–0
81'
🔁
H. Volden ◂ O. Selnaes
85'
🔁
N. Sahsah ◂ E. Ceide
88'
⚽
I. Fossum4–0
Full-time · 4–0
Coaches
Casper Röjkjaer 
Recent form
LHManchester United0-5
WAIK Start3-0
WHKristiansund BK3-0
WHMolde FK2-1
DHBodø/Glimt2-2
LABodø/Glimt0-1
LHLillestrøm SK0-2
LAVålerenga IF1-3
DHIF Elfsborg0-0
DHHamKam1-1
Where to watch
Betano
TV 2 DirekteTV2 Play
Match facts
Stadium
Lerkendal Stadion
City
Trondheim
Referee
Ola Hobber Nilsen
Kickoff
27 Jul, 17:00 UTC
Competition
Eliteserien
Highlights & clips
1
L. Wahlstedt
7.9
16
A. Witry
7.2
↑ 46'
4
M. K. Ceide
7.1
21
T. Nemčík
7.4
3
T. S. Dahl
6.6
↑ 70'
17
M. Bomholt
7.0
5
H. Volden
6.6
↑ 81'
8
I. Fossum
7.3
14
J. Reitan-Sunde
6.7
↑ 70'
18
A. Chiakha
8.2
11
N. Sahsah
6.5
↑ 85'
77
M. Börsheim
6.5
29
G. Wesseh
6.7
↑ 57'
4
F. Holmé
6.7
28
S. Owusu
6.1
↑ 75'
16
D. Eid
6.6
21
J. Jezierski
6.3
↑ 67'
14
M. Nilsson
7.2
26
J. Nysveen
6.3
↑ 75'
7
B. Faraas
6.8
23
H. Skogvold
6.4
9
S. Laghzaoui
6.1
↑ 46'
Substitutes
12GR. Sandberg
22DJ. Svensson↓ 46'7.8
19DA. Pereira↓ 70'7.3
15DJ. Mortensen
10MO. Selnaes↓ 81'8.1
25MJ. J. Bakke
35FE. Ceide↓ 85'9.0
29FD. Ďuriš↓ 70'6.2
30FM. Soboczynski
Coach: Freyr Alexandersson
Substitutes
1GO. Ovretveit
5DS. Rafn↓ 57'6.6
12DU. Fredriksen↓ 75'6.6
19DF. G. Yrga-Alem↓ 75'6.6
3DA. Andresen
18DJ. Norbye
20MO. Öhlenschlaeger↓ 67'7.2
24ML. Owusu
10FJ. Núñez↓ 46'6.6
Coach: Casper Röjkjaer
Top stats
55%Possession45%
2.56Expected goals (xG)0.56
23Total shots6
11Shots on target3
5Big chances0
10Corners3
Shots
8Shots off target2
4Blocked shots1
14Shots inside box3
9Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
3Big chances missed0
0.5Goals prevented-0.55
Attack
40Touches in box9
67Final third entries45
2Offsides0
9Free kicks15
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
585Passes493
507Accurate passes397
23/40 (57%)Long balls17/51 (33%)
4/19 (21%)Crosses1/9 (11%)
29Throw-ins23
Duels
43Duels57
36/85 (42%)Ground duels49/85 (58%)
7/14 (50%)Aerial duels7/14 (50%)
10/27 (37%)Dribbles9/20 (45%)
9Dispossessed7
Defending
18Tackles26
56Tackles won58
16Interceptions9
14Clearances22
52Recoveries36
Discipline
15Fouls9
1Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
3Saves6
4Goal kicks13
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 60% · 1.62 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 71% · 1.40 @ Interwetten
Who winsRosenborg to win (DNB) 73% · 1.31 @ betika
1X2Rosenborg to win 55% · 1.76 @ betfox
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 1.80 @ betfair
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 1.79 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 1.27 @ betfair
1X2Draw 24% · 4.45 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.53 @ Novibet
1X2Fredrikstad to win 20% · 6.30 @ Betano
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 50% · 1.94 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.68
Rosenborg BK
3.82
Draw
4.59
Fredrikstad FK
Double Chanceconsensus
1.18
Rosenborg BK or Draw
1.24
Rosenborg BK or Fredrikstad FK
2.08
Draw or Fredrikstad FK
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.70
Yes
2.03
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50 ▲
12.88
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
3.89
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.73
Over 2.50
2.03
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.80
Over 3.50
1.39
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.35
Over 4.50 ▲
1.20
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.28
Rosenborg BK
3.42
Fredrikstad FK
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
15.25
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.01
Over 5.50 ▼
11.25
Under 5.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.06
Over 6.50
6.93
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.14
Over 7.50 ▼
4.94
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.30
Over 8.50 ▲
3.21
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.52
Over 9.50 ▲
2.34
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.86
Over 10.50 ▼
1.83
Under 10.50 ▲
1.8 – 1.1Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~10Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 60% | 60% | 1.53 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 71% | 71% | 1.3 | Overpriced | high |
| Rosenborg to win (DNB)Who wins | 73% | 73% | 1.28 | Overpriced | high |
| Rosenborg to win1X2 | 55% | 55% | 1.68 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 54% | 54% | 1.73 | Overpriced | low |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 54% | 54% | 1.7 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 76% | 76% | 1.22 | Overpriced | high |
| Draw1X2 | 24% | 24% | 3.82 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 67% | 67% | 1.39 | Overpriced | medium |
| Fredrikstad to win1X2 | 20% | 20% | 4.59 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 50% | 50% | 1.83 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Under 10.5 corners — we say 60%, they say 50%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 85% | -9% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 59% | -5% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 33% | 0% | No |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 55% | -1% | No |
| Home win | 55% | 52% | +3% | Yes |
| Draw | 24% | 19% | +5% | Yes |
| Away win | 20% | 29% | -9% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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