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Kjetil Rekdal
Aalesunds FK
Tromsø IL
Aalesunds FK
5-3-2 · 5-3-2
Tromsø IL
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
7'
M. Tonnessen · Foul
9'
⚽
D. Edvardsson · assist T. Nyhammer0–1
42'
⚽
I. Vadebu1–1
Half-time · 1–1
45'
VAR
Goal not given after review · H. Melland
46'
⚽
A. Warneryd · assist L. O. Larsen1–2
46'
🔁
U. Syversen ◂ S. Haram
54'
⚽
A. Warneryd · assist I. Dahlqvist1–3
59'
⚽
E. H. Osenbroch · assist H. B. Hammer2–3
60'
🔁
E. H. Myrlid ◂ H. B. Hammer
60'
🔁
K. Nessø ◂ M. Andresen
69'
⚽
A. Warneryd2–4
72'
🔁
I. Camoes ◂ T. Nyhammer
77'
🔁
M. Kristensen ◂ Ó. Guðmundsson
77'
🔁
I. Djantou ◂ K. Lonebu
81'
⚽
H. A. Larsen · assist D. Edvardsson2–5
89'
🔁
J. A. Grundt ◂ L. O. Larsen
Full-time · 2–6
90'+2
⚽
U. Syversen2–6
90'+3
🔁
A. L. Elvebu ◂ H. A. Larsen
90'+3
🔁
S. Innvær ◂ A. Warneryd
Coaches
Kjetil RekdalJørgen Vik 
Recent form
Aalesunds FKDHViking FK1-1
LAVålerenga IF1-6
DHMolde FK2-2
WAKristiansund BK3-0
DHHamKam2-2
Tromsø ILLAFC Hradec Králové1-3
LHFC Hradec Králové0-1
WAHamKam4-1
WHVålerenga IF4-0
WHÖrgryte IS4-1
Where to watch
TV2 Play
Match facts
Stadium
Color Line Stadion
City
Aalesund
Referee
Marius Grotta
Kickoff
02 Aug, 15:00 UTC
Competition
Eliteserien
Highlights & clips
Aalesunds FK
5-3-2 · 5-3-2
Tromsø IL
1
L. Podlech
4.9
7
K. Nessø
6.0
↑ 60'
25
U. Syversen
4.7
↑ 46'
22
E. Engqvist
5.6
10
M. Kristensen
6.2
↑ 77'
14
U. Charles
6.6
17
E. H. Myrlid
6.3
↑ 60'
18
E. K. Hagen
7.0
8
H. Melland
6.9
20
I. Djantou
6.7
↑ 77'
15
E. H. Osenbroch
8.8
1
J. Haugaard
7.4
17
I. Dahlqvist
6.2
30
I. Vadebu
6.3
4
V. Skjaervik
6.8
3
M. Tonnessen
6.7
37
S. Innvær
↑ 90'
5
D. Edvardsson
8.8
11
R. Jenssen
6.5
8
J. A. Grundt
↑ 89'
19
A. L. Elvebu
↑ 90'
20
I. Camoes
6.9
↑ 72'
Top stats
53%Possession47%
2.46Expected goals (xG)1.82
22Total shots12
3Shots on target6
2Big chances4
9Corners4
Shots
10Shots off target4
9Blocked shots2
15Shots inside box9
7Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork2
1Big chances scored4
1Big chances missed0
-3.22Goals prevented-0.98
Attack
45Touches in box20
57Final third entries74
1Offsides1
14Free kicks14
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
488Passes450
415Accurate passes363
15/37 (41%)Long balls35/78 (45%)
13/37 (35%)Crosses3/8 (38%)
13Throw-ins16
Duels
54Duels46
38/76 (50%)Ground duels37/74 (50%)
17/26 (65%)Aerial duels9/26 (35%)
12/23 (52%)Dribbles7/11 (64%)
5Dispossessed7
Defending
12Tackles16
75Tackles won63
8Interceptions7
10Clearances24
51Recoveries41
Discipline
14Fouls14
0Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
4Goal kicks11
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
Who winsTromsø to win (DNB) 64% · 1.53 @ betfair
1X2Tromsø to win 48% · 2.06 @ betfair
CornersOver 9.5 corners 59% · 1.73 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 70% · 1.43 @ Interwetten
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 1.66 @ betfair
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 1.74 @ betinasia
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.25 @ betfair
1X2Draw 26% · 3.90 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.60 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 52% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle
1X2Aalesund to win 27% · 3.75 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.47
Aalesunds FK
3.61
Draw
1.95
Tromsø IL
Double Chanceconsensus
1.77
Aalesunds FK or Draw
1.26
Aalesunds FK or Tromsø IL
1.27
Draw or Tromsø IL
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.57
Yes
2.25
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50 ▼
13.53
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.19
Over 1.50
4.20
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.66
Over 2.50
2.14
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.60
Over 3.50
1.44
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.15
Over 4.50 ▼
1.22
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
2.59
Aalesunds FK
1.45
Tromsø IL
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
14.50
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.02
Over 5.50
10.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.08
Over 6.50
6.90
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50 ▲
4.22
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.33
Over 8.50 ▼
3.02
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.58
Over 9.50 ▼
2.22
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.93
Over 10.50 ▼
1.77
Under 10.50 ▲
1.3 – 1.7Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~10Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromsø to win (DNB)Who wins | 64% | 64% | 1.45 | Overpriced | medium |
| Tromsø to win1X2 | 48% | 48% | 1.95 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 59% | 59% | 1.55 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 70% | 70% | 1.32 | Overpriced | medium |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 59% | 59% | 1.57 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 56% | 56% | 1.66 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 78% | 78% | 1.19 | Overpriced | high |
| Draw1X2 | 26% | 26% | 3.61 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 64% | 64% | 1.44 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 52% | 52% | 1.79 | Overpriced | low |
| Aalesund to win1X2 | 27% | 27% | 3.47 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Under 9.5 corners — we say 47%, they say 41%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 85% | -7% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 61% | -5% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 34% | +2% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 55% | +4% | Yes |
| Home win | 27% | 52% | -25% | No |
| Draw | 26% | 19% | +7% | Yes |
| Away win | 48% | 30% | +18% | Yes |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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