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Kjetil Knutsen
Bodø/Glimt
Lillestrøm SK
Bodø/Glimt
4-3-3 · 4-1-4-1
Lillestrøm SK
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
17'
⚽
O. Blomberg (pen)1–0
25'
⚽
S. Fet2–0
Half-time · 2–0
63'
⚽
J. Hauge · assist S. Auklend3–0
67'
🔁
A. Helmersen ◂ J. Hauge
67'
🔁
M. Karlsbakk ◂ T. L. Olsen
67'
🔁
J. Kitolano ◂ P. Berg
67'
🔁
F. Gulbrandsen ◂ Y. Ibrahimaj
67'
🔁
K. L. Alperud ◂ Y. Paintsil
70'
G. K. Nyheim · Foul
77'
⚽
M. Karlsbakk4–0
78'
🔁
H. Woxen ◂ K. M. Krygard
79'
🔁
I. D. Määttä ◂ O. Brynhildsen
79'
🔁
M. B. Hansen ◂ O. Blomberg
84'
🔁
S. Ottesen ◂ F. Elkær
84'
🔁
M. Riisnaes ◂ F. A. Bjørkan
88'
S. Kristiansen · Foul
Full-time · 4–0
Coaches
Kjetil KnutsenHans Erik Odegaard 
Recent form
Bodø/GlimtWASandefjord Fotball3-0
WHHamKam3-0
WHFredrikstad FK1-0
WAKFUM Oslo2-0
WHIK Start4-0
Lillestrøm SKLHViking FK1-2
WHKFUM Oslo2-1
WAFredrikstad FK2-0
WHSarpsborg 083-1
LHDegerfors IF2-3
Where to watch
TV 2 DirekteTV2 Play
Match facts
Stadium
Aspmyra Stadion
City
Bodø
Referee
Mohammad Usman Aslam
Kickoff
31 Jul, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Eliteserien
Bodø/Glimt
4-3-3 · 4-1-4-1
Lillestrøm SK
12
N. Haikin
7.5
20
F. Sjøvold
8.3
4
O. L. Bjørtuft
8.1
5
H. Aleesami
7.3
23
M. Riisnaes
6.8
↑ 84'
8
S. Auklend
8.2
16
J. Kitolano
6.8
↑ 67'
19
S. Fet
9.3
25
I. D. Määttä
6.7
↑ 79'
77
M. B. Hansen
6.4
↑ 79'
21
A. Helmersen
7.1
↑ 67'
12
P. Dahlberg
6.5
2
L. Ranger
6.3
28
R. Gabrielsen
5.9
47
S. Kristiansen
6.2
3
S. Ottesen
6.7
↑ 84'
8
M. Karlsbakk
5.8
↑ 67'
7
K. L. Alperud
6.4
↑ 67'
6
H. Woxen
6.5
↑ 78'
14
G. K. Nyheim
6.2
20
Vá
6.3
77
F. Gulbrandsen
6.3
↑ 67'
Substitutes
1GJ. Lund
15DF. A. Bjørkan↓ 84'6.9
6DJ. Gundersen
2DV. Nielsen
7MP. Berg↓ 67'7.0
32MK. Solhaug
10FJ. Hauge↓ 67'8.0
11FO. Blomberg↓ 79'7.3
17FO. Brynhildsen↓ 79'6.7
Coach: Kjetil Knutsen
Substitutes
1GS. Hagerup
26DY. Paintsil↓ 67'6.2
11DF. Elkær↓ 84'5.7
5DS. M. Foss
18MK. M. Krygard↓ 78'7.0
29MY. Ibrahimaj↓ 67'6.1
15MG. Nordh
10FT. L. Olsen↓ 67'6.6
9FK. Arierhi
Coach: Hans Erik Odegaard
Top stats
58%Possession42%
2.26Expected goals (xG)0.4
12Total shots6
7Shots on target1
2Big chances0
10Corners2
Shots
4Shots off target4
1Blocked shots1
10Shots inside box5
2Shots outside box1
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
0.38Goals prevented-1.06
Attack
44Touches in box16
62Final third entries52
1Offsides2
15Free kicks11
5Fouled in final third2
Passing
613Passes449
545Accurate passes374
24/47 (51%)Long balls22/49 (45%)
5/26 (19%)Crosses2/6 (33%)
20Throw-ins19
Duels
53Duels47
33/61 (54%)Ground duels28/61 (46%)
8/16 (50%)Aerial duels8/16 (50%)
7/14 (50%)Dribbles5/8 (63%)
5Dispossessed8
Defending
11Tackles12
73Tackles won75
7Interceptions9
16Clearances35
39Recoveries38
Discipline
11Fouls16
0Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
4Goal kicks2
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 33 bookmakers
1X2Bodø/Glimt to win 76% · 1.34 @ 1xBet
Who winsBodø/Glimt to win (DNB) 88% · 1.07 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 3.5 goals 50% · 1.84 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 70% · 1.33 @ Novibet
CornersOver 10.5 corners 53% · 1.85 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 9.5 corners 63% · 1.50 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 8.5 corners 72% · 1.30 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 86% · 1.10 @ Novibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 1.72 @ Novibet
1X2Draw 15% · 7.50 @ Bet365
1X2Lillestrøm to win 10% · 12.50 @ Betsson
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.20
Bodø/Glimt ▼
6.41
Draw ▼
9.73
Lillestrøm SK ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.04
Bodø/Glimt or Draw ▼
1.09
Bodø/Glimt or Lillestrøm SK ▼
4.01
Draw or Lillestrøm SK ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.64
Yes ▼
2.13
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
26.83
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.10
Over 1.50 ▼
6.40
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.30
Over 2.50 ▼
3.45
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.75
Over 3.50 ▼
2.06
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
2.64
Over 4.50 ▼
1.46
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.06
Bodø/Glimt ▼
7.68
Lillestrøm SK ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
15.00
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50 ▲
12.33
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.07
Over 6.50 ▼
7.77
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.13
Over 7.50 ▼
5.03
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.26
Over 8.50 ▼
3.44
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.45
Over 9.50 ▼
2.52
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.74
Over 10.50 ▼
1.97
Under 10.50 ▲
1.9 – 1.1Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~10Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodø/Glimt to win1X2 | 76% | 76% | 1.23 | Overpriced | high |
| Bodø/Glimt to win (DNB)Who wins | 88% | 88% | 1.07 | Overpriced | high |
| Over 3.5 goalsGoals | 50% | 53% | 1.77 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 70% | 72% | 1.3 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 10.5 cornersCorners | 53% | 53% | 1.76 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 63% | 63% | 1.46 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 72% | 72% | 1.28 | Overpriced | high |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 86% | 87% | 1.08 | Overpriced | high |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 56% | 56% | 1.66 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 15% | 15% | 6.42 | Overpriced | low |
| Lillestrøm to win1X2 | 10% | 10% | 9.82 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Under 3.5 goals — we say 65%, they say 47%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 85% | +1% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 59% | +11% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50% | 33% | +17% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 55% | +1% | Yes |
| Home win | 76% | 52% | +24% | Yes |
| Draw | 15% | 19% | -4% | No |
| Away win | 10% | 29% | -19% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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