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Hans Erik Odegaard
Lillestrøm SK
Fredrikstad FK
Lillestrøm SK
4-1-4-1 · 3-4-3
Fredrikstad FK
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
112473 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
64.1%
-35.0 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
28.6%
+28.5 vs price
Draw
450.0 · implied 0.2%
7.5%
+7.3 vs price
Half time
216 EUR · live
Away
5.2 · implied 19.2%
42.5%
+23.3 vs price
Draw
2.8 · implied 35.7%
32.8%
-2.9 vs price
Home
2.36 · implied 42.4%
24.0%
-18.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
6938 EUR · live
Over
1.11 · implied 90.1%
67.4%
-22.7 vs price
Under
10.0 · implied 10.0%
33.9%
+23.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1395 EUR · live
Under
1.44 · implied 69.4%
80.9%
+11.4 vs price
Over
3.3 · implied 30.3%
19.1%
-11.2 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
8'
⚽
S. Owusu · assist S. Sørløkk0–1
16'
VAR
Penalty check · B. Faraas
17'
F. Elkær · Foul
18'
⚽
M. Nilsson (pen)0–2
35'
VAR
Penalty check · Y. Paintsil
37'
⚽
F. Gulbrandsen (pen)1–2
Half-time · 1–2
46'
🔁
D. Bassi ◂ F. Elkær
53'
B. Faraas · Foul
59'
🔁
F. G. Yrga-Alem ◂ S. Sørløkk
59'
🔁
G. Wesseh ◂ S. Laghzaoui
59'
🔁
J. Jezierski ◂ S. Leach Holm
61'
VAR
No penalty · Vá
64'
🔁
T. L. Olsen ◂ F. Gulbrandsen
65'
⚽
B. Faraas · assist H. Skogvold1–3
66'
🔁
S. Rafn ◂ S. Owusu
72'
🔁
H. Woxen ◂ E. Kitolano
79'
⚽
B. Faraas · assist G. Wesseh1–4
83'
🔁
U. Fredriksen ◂ I. H. Amundsen
86'
H. Woxen · Foul
Full-time · 1–4
Coaches
Hans Erik OdegaardCasper Röjkjaer 
Recent form
Lillestrøm SKWHKF Egnatia2-1
DAKF Egnatia0-0
DAKFUM Oslo1-1
LHRosenborg BK0-2
LABodø/Glimt0-4
Fredrikstad FKWHKristiansund BK1-0
WAIK Start1-0
WHSandefjord Fotball1-0
LARosenborg BK0-4
LABodø/Glimt0-1
Where to watch
TV2 Play
Match facts
Stadium
Åråsen
City
Lillestrøm
Kickoff
30 Aug, 17:15 UTC
Competition
Eliteserien
Highlights & clips
Lillestrøm SK
4-1-4-1 · 3-4-3
Fredrikstad FK
12
P. Dahlberg
6.4
3
S. Ottesen
5.2
4
E. B. Garnås
6.0
47
S. Kristiansen
6.1
22
D. Bassi
6.7
↑ 46'
29
Y. Ibrahimaj
7.6
26
Y. Paintsil
6.4
16
H. Melland
6.4
6
H. Woxen
6.0
↑ 72'
20
Vá
6.8
10
T. L. Olsen
6.3
↑ 64'
77
M. Börsheim
6.8
12
U. Fredriksen
6.8
↑ 83'
4
F. Holmé
7.0
5
S. Rafn
6.6
↑ 66'
16
D. Eid
6.6
19
F. G. Yrga-Alem
6.7
↑ 59'
14
M. Nilsson
7.9
21
J. Jezierski
6.8
↑ 59'
7
B. Faraas
8.3
23
H. Skogvold
7.4
29
G. Wesseh
6.9
↑ 59'
Substitutes
1GS. Hagerup
11DF. Elkær↓ 46'5.9
2DL. Ranger
5DS. M. Foss
17ME. Kitolano↓ 72'6.3
15MG. Nordh
8FF. Gulbrandsen↓ 64'7.1
25FS. Akanji
Coach: Hans Erik Odegaard
Substitutes
1GO. Ovretveit
28DS. Owusu↓ 66'7.8
38DI. H. Amundsen↓ 83'7.0
6MS. Leach Holm↓ 59'7.7
9MS. Laghzaoui↓ 59'6.6
13MS. Sørløkk↓ 59'6.1
24ML. Owusu
18FB. Fiabema
10FJ. Núñez
Coach: Casper Röjkjaer
Top stats
54%Possession46%
2.34Expected goals (xG)3.11
18Total shots13
5Shots on target9
2Big chances2
10Corners3
Shots
8Shots off target3
5Blocked shots1
12Shots inside box8
6Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed0
-0.7Goals prevented0.39
Attack
33Touches in box20
58Final third entries72
5Offsides1
7Free kicks9
4Fouled in final third3
Passing
523Passes458
423Accurate passes362
18/47 (38%)Long balls31/77 (40%)
7/22 (32%)Crosses3/8 (38%)
26Throw-ins16
Duels
45Duels55
32/70 (46%)Ground duels38/70 (54%)
13/31 (42%)Aerial duels18/31 (58%)
7/23 (30%)Dribbles4/9 (44%)
8Dispossessed12
Defending
17Tackles24
71Tackles won75
11Interceptions8
11Clearances24
52Recoveries55
Discipline
10Fouls8
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
5Saves4
2Big saves0
7Goal kicks8
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 47 bookmakers
Who winsLillestrøm to win (DNB) 73% · 1.37 @ Novibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.60 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.32 @ Unibet
1X2Lillestrøm to win 54% · 2.05 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 3.80 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.00 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.87 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 25% · 2.90 @ msport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.60 @ boylesports
1X2Fredrikstad to win 21% · 4.70 @ betcity
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.85 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.61
Lillestrøm SK ▼
4.09
Draw ▲
4.50
Fredrikstad FK ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.17
Lillestrøm SK or Draw
1.21
Lillestrøm SK or Fredrikstad FK
2.13
Draw or Fredrikstad FK ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.55
Yes ▼
2.27
No ▲
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.12
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
8.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
11.40
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.14
Over 1.50
4.92
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.51
Over 2.50
2.38
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.28
Over 3.50 ▼
1.57
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.78
Over 4.50
1.16
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.27
Lillestrøm SK
3.46
Fredrikstad FK
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50
3.77
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.31
Over 8.50
2.89
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.53
Over 9.50
2.24
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.89
Over 10.50
1.83
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.34
Over 11.50
1.50
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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