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Johannes Moesgaard
Vålerenga IF
Molde FK
Vålerenga IF
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Molde FK
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
41364 EUR · live
Away
1.04 · implied 96.2%
66.3%
-29.8 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
25.2%
+25.1 vs price
Draw
26.0 · implied 3.8%
8.4%
+4.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
6209 EUR · live
Over
1.06 · implied 94.3%
71.6%
-22.8 vs price
Under
6.8 · implied 14.7%
28.7%
+14.0 vs price
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
11'
⚽
E. Hestad · assist E. Breivik0–1
19'
⚽
L. Haren · assist G. Rajkovic1–1
21'
⚽
M. Grundetjern2–1
29'
🔁
C. Z. Sery ◂ E. Hestad
30'
⚽
S. M. Granaas · assist O. Spiten-Nysæter2–2
40'
⚽
J. Abdullai · assist A. Posiadała2–3
Half-time · 3–4
45'
⚽
C. Z. Sery2–4
45'+3
⚽
C. Lange · assist K. Finnsson3–4
55'
🔁
P. Strand ◂ G. Rajkovic
61'
🔁
V. Bender ◂ M. Linnes
61'
🔁
M. M. Dæhli ◂ O. Spiten-Nysæter
70'
E. Breivik · Foul
75'
A. K. Olsen · Foul
76'
S. M. Granaas · Argument
77'
🔁
K. Tshiembe ◂ I. Näsberg
77'
🔁
G. Zahid ◂ M. Westergaard
77'
🔁
O. C. Saeter ◂ L. Haren
78'
M. Grundetjern · Foul
79'
I. Näsberg · Argument
80'
🔁
N. Odegard ◂ S. M. Granaas
81'
🔁
T. K. Doherty ◂ J. Abdullai
88'
🔁
O. T. Holm ◂ C. Lange
Full-time · 3–4
90'
S. Tjelmeland · Argument
Coaches
Johannes MoesgaardSindre Tjelmeland 
Recent form
Vålerenga IFDAAalesunds FK5-5
LHBodø/Glimt1-2
LHHamKam0-3
WASK Brann3-2
WHAalesunds FK6-1
Molde FKWHTromsø IL3-2
LAKristiansund BK1-2
DHSarpsborg 083-3
WAKFUM Oslo4-2
LHSK Brann1-2
Match facts
Stadium
Intility Arena
City
Oslo
Kickoff
30 Aug, 15:00 UTC
Competition
Eliteserien
Highlights & clips
Vålerenga IF
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Molde FK
1
O. T. Hedvall
6.6
3
H. Sjatil
5.9
4
A. K. Olsen
6.1
5
K. Tshiembe
6.6
↑ 77'
2
K. Finnsson
6.6
8
H. Bjørdal
7.1
15
O. T. Holm
6.6
↑ 88'
11
G. Zahid
6.6
↑ 77'
90
O. C. Saeter
6.6
↑ 77'
24
P. Strand
6.9
↑ 55'
17
M. Grundetjern
7.3
22
A. Posiadała
6.6
28
V. Bender
6.6
↑ 61'
4
S. S. Hansen
6.9
33
B. Risa
7.4
26
S. Kabini
6.1
10
E. Breivik
6.9
30
D. Daga
7.2
11
C. Z. Sery
7.2
↑ 29'
6
N. Odegard
6.5
↑ 80'
17
M. M. Dæhli
6.9
↑ 61'
24
T. K. Doherty
7.2
↑ 81'
Substitutes
13GS. Å. A. Lønning
37DI. Näsberg↓ 77'6.1
55DS. Jarl
6DV. E. Hedenstad
10MC. Lange↓ 88'8.3
77ML. Haren↓ 77'7.6
28MM. Westergaard↓ 77'6.8
9FG. Rajkovic↓ 55'7.8
7FM. Ofkir
Coach: Johannes Moesgaard
Substitutes
12GP. H. Lervik
25DM. Linnes↓ 61'6.0
8DM. F. Løvik
27DF. K. Dahl
19DE. Haugan
23MS. M. Granaas↓ 80'7.3
5ME. Hestad↓ 29'7.2
21MO. Spiten-Nysæter↓ 61'6.1
9FJ. Abdullai↓ 81'7.3
Coach: Sindre Tjelmeland
Top stats
49%Possession51%
1.82Expected goals (xG)1.73
21Total shots14
5Shots on target9
2Big chances2
5Corners2
Shots
7Shots off target4
9Blocked shots1
13Shots inside box11
8Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed1
-0.62Goals prevented-1.38
Attack
47Touches in box25
80Final third entries58
1Offsides2
9Free kicks10
1Fouled in final third0
Passing
488Passes506
390Accurate passes418
29/62 (47%)Long balls28/57 (49%)
5/19 (26%)Crosses1/6 (17%)
18Throw-ins25
Duels
54Duels46
34/62 (55%)Ground duels28/62 (45%)
11/22 (50%)Aerial duels11/22 (50%)
4/7 (57%)Dribbles9/21 (43%)
6Dispossessed9
Defending
21Tackles9
76Tackles won67
12Interceptions10
27Clearances41
60Recoveries61
Discipline
10Fouls9
3Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
5Saves2
1Big saves0
9Goal kicks8
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 47 bookmakers
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 69% · 2.62 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 69% · 2.20 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 59% · 1.40 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 70% · 1.21 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 86% · 1.50 @ 1xBet
1X2Molde to win 39% · 2.75 @ 888Sport
1X2Draw 24% · 3.00 @ Unibet
Who winsVålerenga to win (DNB) 52% · 1.80 @ forbet
1X2Vålerenga to win 37% · 2.88 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 52% · 2.15 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 53% · 2.02 @ Sbo
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.36
Vålerenga IF ▼
3.79
Draw
2.51
Molde FK ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.46
Vålerenga IF or Draw
1.23
Vålerenga IF or Molde FK ▼
1.52
Draw or Molde FK
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.33
Yes ▼
2.98
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
7.25
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.78
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
18.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.09
Over 1.50
6.34
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.36
Over 2.50
2.89
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.92
Over 3.50 ▼
1.80
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
2.87
Over 4.50
1.40
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.79
Vålerenga IF
1.91
Molde FK
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.10
Over 7.50
4.35
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.21
Over 8.50
3.20
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.39
Over 9.50
2.63
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.69
Over 10.50
2.07
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.06
Over 11.50
1.69
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
86% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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