Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Sandefjord's got the home-field edge and the head-to-head history** — they've dominated this fixture over the years, and they'll be looking to flex on a Start side that's streaky at best. 🔥
Sandefjord are mixed bag lately (1W, 2D, 2L), but a draw at home vs Viking and a stalemate vs Brann show they can dig in defensively. Start fired a 4-1 thrashing at KFUM but then got spanked 0-2 at Aalesund, so consistency is their kryptonite.
Key storylines:
- **Sandefjord's depth issues** — missing five players including **D. Koswal**, **F. L. Bjune**, and two suspended, so squad rotation is real
- **Start's roller-coaster form** — big wins and big losses in the same window makes them hard to predict, but **E. Schulze** and **H. Lorentzen** up front have flashed
- **Home fortress mentality** — Sandefjord unbeaten in their last two at Jotun Arena despite injuries piling up
Expected lineups:
- **Sandefjord Fotball**: E. Hadaya, V. W. Egeli, F. C. Pedersen, X. Lambrix, R. Holten, S. Mork, E. Patoulidis, T. Borkeeiet, B. Berntsen, O. Kapskarmo
- **IK Start**: S. Strand-Kolbjörnsen, J. B. Husebø, A. Ujkani, S. A. Granheim, O. D. Toure, E. Segberg, S. Mvoué, E. Schulze, J. Cornelius, H. Lorentzen
Prediction:
**Sandefjord 2–1 IK Start**
Home side has the slight lean here — defensive solidity and the head-to-head record tip it their way.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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