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Tromsø IL
Fredrikstad FK
Fredrikstad FK
Fredrikstad FK
Fredrikstad FK
Fredrikstad FK
Fredrikstad FK
Fredrikstad FK
Fredrikstad FK
Fredrikstad FK
Fredrikstad FK
Tromsø IL
Fredrikstad FK
Casper Röjkjaer
Fredrikstad FK
Tromsø IL
Fredrikstad FK
3-4-3 · 5-3-2
Tromsø IL
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Fredrikstad FK 1-1 Tromsø IL.
90+7'
Off the woodwork! J. Núñez (Fredrikstad FK), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.08.
90+2'
Tromsø IL
Corner, Tromsø IL.
90'
5 minutes of added time.
82'
Attempt missed. M. Nilsson (Fredrikstad FK), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.
81'
Fredrikstad FK
Corner, Fredrikstad FK.
76'
Fredrikstad FK
Corner, Fredrikstad FK.
72'
Fredrikstad FK
Offside, Fredrikstad FK.
70'
Fredrikstad FK
Corner, Fredrikstad FK.
67'
Goal! Fredrikstad FK 1-1 Tromsø IL. F. Holmé (Fredrikstad FK) scores, assisted by S. Leach Holm.
66'
Fredrikstad FK
Corner, Fredrikstad FK.
59'
Fredrikstad FK
Offside, Fredrikstad FK.
55'
Fredrikstad FK
Corner, Fredrikstad FK.
49'
Attempt blocked. M. Nilsson (Fredrikstad FK), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.
48'
Fredrikstad FK
Corner, Fredrikstad FK.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Fredrikstad FK 0-1 Tromsø IL.
45'
4 minutes of added time.
41'
Attempt blocked. H. A. Larsen (Tromsø IL), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.11.
37'
Fredrikstad FK
Corner, Fredrikstad FK.
36'
Fredrikstad FK
Corner, Fredrikstad FK.
32'
Attempt missed. S. Leach Holm (Fredrikstad FK), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.07.
29'
Attempt saved. H. A. Larsen (Tromsø IL), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.18.
26'
Goal! Fredrikstad FK 0-1 Tromsø IL. T. Nyhammer (Tromsø IL) scores, assisted by H. A. Larsen.
15'
Tromsø IL
Corner, Tromsø IL.
12'
Fredrikstad FK
Corner, Fredrikstad FK.
1'
Kick-off: Fredrikstad FK vs Tromsø IL.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
32760 EUR · live
Draw
1.06 · implied 94.3%
44.8%
-49.5 vs price
Home
17.0 · implied 5.9%
38.9%
+33.0 vs price
Away
29.0 · implied 3.4%
16.3%
+12.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
51384 EUR · live
Under
1.06 · implied 94.3%
73.9%
-20.4 vs price
Over
18.0 · implied 5.6%
26.1%
+20.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
200 EUR
Under
1.12 · implied 89.3%
99.5%
+10.2 vs price
Over
0.0%
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
20'
M. Nilsson · Foul
25'
B. Fiabema · Foul
26'
⚽
T. Nyhammer · assist H. A. Larsen0–1
31'
V. Skjaervik · Argument
Half-time · 0–1
49'
M. Bjorlo · Foul
50'
L. Hien · Violent conduct
54'
🔁
V. Osuji ◂ T. Nyhammer
60'
🔁
J. Núñez ◂ U. Fredriksen
67'
⚽
F. Holmé · assist S. Leach Holm1–1
70'
🔁
L. O. Larsen ◂ M. Bjorlo
70'
🔁
V. Erlien ◂ H. A. Larsen
78'
🔁
G. Wesseh ◂ H. Skogvold
78'
🔁
B. Faraas ◂ L. West
79'
R. Jenssen · Time wasting
84'
🔁
S. Rafn ◂ S. Owusu
88'
🔁
J. A. Grundt ◂ D. Edvardsson
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
Casper RöjkjaerJørgen Vik 
Recent form
Fredrikstad FKDAVålerenga IF1-1
DHSarpsborg 081-1
LHBodø/Glimt1-2
WALillestrøm SK4-1
WHKristiansund BK1-0
Tromsø ILWHHamKam3-2
LARosenborg BK3-5
LAKristiansund BK0-2
DHSarpsborg 080-0
LABrighton & Hove Albion0-4
About this match
**Fredrikstad are the form team here**, sitting pretty on back-to-back draws while Tromsø spiral through a nasty 3-loss run. The hosts should fancy this one. 🏟️
Fredrikstad's been grinding out results at home — two draws in their last three aren't flashy, but they're grinding. Tromsø, meanwhile, just shipped 5 to Rosenborg and can't find their feet; they're missing three defenders too, which is basically a disaster in disguise.
Key storylines:
- **Fredrikstad's home form vs Tromsø's leaky defense** — the hosts know they've got the better band of players and Tromsø are short bodies back there
- **Tromsø's reliance on Haugaard** — J. Haugaard will be working overtime as Tromsø's backline patches itself with duct tape and hope
- **Fredrikstad's midfield control** — S. Rafn and D. Eid should boss the tempo against a visiting side that looks rattled
Expected lineups:
- **Fredrikstad FK**: M. Börsheim, F. Holmé, U. Fredriksen, D. Eid, S. Rafn, M. Nilsson, B. Faraas, H. Skogvold, L. West
- **Tromsø IL**: J. Haugaard, I. Vadebu, L. Hien, V. Skjaervik, S. Innvær, D. Edvardsson, M. Bjorlo, J. A. Grundt
Prediction:
**Fredrikstad 2–0 Tromsø**. Slight favorite. The hosts have the edge in form and cohesion; Tromsø's backline is held together with prayers. ⚪
Where to watch
DirektesportTV 2 DirekteTV2 Play
Match facts
Stadium
Fredrikstad Stadion
City
Fredrikstad
Kickoff
11 Oct, 12:30 UTC
Competition
Eliteserien
Highlights & clips
Fredrikstad FK
3-4-3 · 5-3-2
Tromsø IL
77
M. Börsheim
7.1
10
J. Núñez
6.5
↑ 60'
4
F. Holmé
8.1
5
S. Rafn
7.0
↑ 84'
16
D. Eid
6.9
6
S. Leach Holm
7.7
14
M. Nilsson
6.5
13
S. Sørløkk
6.3
7
B. Faraas
6.6
↑ 78'
29
G. Wesseh
6.5
↑ 78'
18
B. Fiabema
6.8
1
J. Haugaard
6.3
37
S. Innvær
7.5
4
V. Skjaervik
6.4
21
L. Hien
6.0
30
I. Vadebu
6.8
29
A. Warneryd
6.7
8
J. A. Grundt
6.6
↑ 88'
11
R. Jenssen
7.0
7
L. O. Larsen
6.7
↑ 70'
24
V. Osuji
7.1
↑ 54'
15
V. Erlien
6.5
↑ 70'
Substitutes
30GJ. S. Torkildsen
12DU. Fredriksen↓ 60'7.4
28DS. Owusu↓ 84'6.8
27DC. I. N. Pondy
21MJ. Jezierski
24ML. Owusu
9MS. Laghzaoui
11FL. West↓ 78'7.1
23FH. Skogvold↓ 78'6.8
Coach: Casper Röjkjaer
Top stats
66%Possession34%
1.51Expected goals (xG)1.51
26Total shots11
5Shots on target5
1Big chances2
8Corners2
Shots
9Shots off target4
12Blocked shots2
13Shots inside box10
13Shots outside box1
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
0Big chances missed2
-0.21Goals prevented-0.21
Attack
47Touches in box22
106Final third entries56
1Offsides0
9Free kicks10
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
782Passes400
706Accurate passes327
29/53 (55%)Long balls15/56 (27%)
8/23 (35%)Crosses5/11 (45%)
17Throw-ins12
Duels
47Duels53
23/49 (47%)Ground duels26/49 (53%)
7/15 (47%)Aerial duels8/15 (53%)
2/8 (25%)Dribbles5/11 (45%)
5Dispossessed6
Defending
12Tackles11
75Tackles won55
7Interceptions12
15Clearances34
49Recoveries45
Discipline
10Fouls9
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
4Saves4
1Big saves0
8Goal kicks8
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsTromsø to win (DNB) 56% · 1.67 @ Unibet
1X2Tromsø to win 39% · 2.75 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.25 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.45 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 28% · 2.50 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.03 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 4.40 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.38 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 2.00 @ Pinnacle
1X2Fredrikstad to win 34% · 3.08 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.75
Fredrikstad FK
3.40
Draw
2.39
Tromsø IL
Double Chanceconsensus
1.53
Fredrikstad FK or Draw
1.29
Fredrikstad FK or Tromsø IL
1.40
Draw or Tromsø IL
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.66
Yes
2.10
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.20
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.25
Over 1.50
3.80
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.87
Over 2.50
1.94
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.10
Over 3.50
1.36
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.00
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.10
Fredrikstad FK
1.65
Tromsø IL
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50
3.50
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.45
Over 8.50
2.54
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.79
Over 9.50
1.95
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.21
Over 10.50
1.60
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.80
Over 11.50
1.37
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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