Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**IK Start's rolling and HamKam's spiraling** — the hosts have won 3 of their last 5, while the visitors are stuck in a rut with just one draw in their last four. 🔥
Start looked sharp with back-to-back wins over Brann but stumbled away at Sandefjord. HamKam, meantime, got hammered 1-5 at home by Molde and can't string wins together to save their season.
Key storylines:
- **IK Start's attack** spearheaded by Cornelius and Lorentzen will fancy their chances against a fragile HamKam defence that's been leaking goals
- **HamKam's desperation** — sitting in deep trouble, they need a result badly, but form and recent H2H suggest they're the underdogs here
- **Home advantage** at Sparebanken Sør Arena has been kind to Start; expect them to press early
Expected lineups:
- **IK Start**: M. S. Sjøeng, J. O. Norheim, A. Ujkani, S. A. Granheim, E. D. Reitan, F. Palerud, E. Segberg, S. Mvoué, E. Schulze, J. Cornelius, H. Lorentzen
- **HamKam**: M. Sandberg, L. Mares, E. Amundsen-Day, M. Gjone, S. S. Nilsen, V. A. Jónsson, P. Metcalfe, M. Johnsgard, A. B. Potur, D. Benjamin, H. Udahl
Prediction:
**IK Start 2–1 HamKam** — the hosts' momentum edges out a struggling visitor side, despite HamKam scrapping hard in desperation.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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