Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Bodø/Glimt are the heavy favorites here, and for good reason** — they've got the head-to-head edge and the better recent form at home. Viking FK aren't pushovers though; they've won three of their last five and showed they can score, but the injury list is just brutal. 🔴
Glimt have wobbled lately (dropped points to Vålerenga at home), but they're still the Eliteserien's most dangerous side. Viking are riding decent form but arrive depleted, missing five players including key depth.
Key storylines:
- **Bodø/Glimt's midfield creativity** hinges on P. Berg and S. Auklend orchestrating play; Viking's Z. Tripić and J. Bell need to suffocate that supply
- **Viking's injury crisis** leaves them stretched thin across the back line; **O. Blomberg and J. Hauge** will test G. Stensness and H. Heggheim relentlessly
- **Home fortress alert** — Glimt's 13 wins in 25 H2H matchups tells the story; expect heavy Aspmyra pressure from kick-off
Expected lineups:
- **Bodø/Glimt**: J. Lund, F. Sjøvold, O. Bjørtuft, F. Bjørkan, V. Nielsen, P. Berg, S. Auklend, S. Fet, J. Mvuka, O. Blomberg, J. Hauge
- **Viking FK**: A. Østbø, H. Heggheim, G. Stensness, V. Vevatne, H. S. Falchener, Z. Tripić, J. Bell, K. Askildsen, P. Christiansen, E. Botheim, R. Postema
Prediction:
**Bodø/Glimt 2–0 Viking FK** — Glimt have the edge at home, the injury-free squad, and the H2H dominance. Lean Glimt.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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