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Mikko Isokangas
AC Oulu
HJK
AC Oulu
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
HJK
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
116230 EUR · live
Away
1.02 · implied 98.0%
73.2%
-24.8 vs price
Home
160.0 · implied 0.6%
15.0%
+14.4 vs price
Draw
29.0 · implied 3.4%
11.8%
+8.3 vs price
Half time
617 EUR · live
Draw
2.14 · implied 46.7%
93.8%
+47.1 vs price
Home
4.9 · implied 20.4%
5.4%
-15.1 vs price
Away
2.86 · implied 35.0%
0.5%
-34.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
15021 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
65.8%
-33.2 vs price
Over
40.0 · implied 2.5%
39.0%
+36.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2116 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
97.1%
-1.0 vs price
Over
50.0 · implied 2.0%
2.9%
+0.9 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 2 clips
Match events
20'
M. Arsalo
44'
⚽
M. Guèye0–1
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
C. Triana ◂ A. Koné
48'
🔁
I. Mendolin ◂ M. Arsalo
63'
Martin Kirilov
66'
🔁
L. Möller ◂ S. Haarala
66'
🔁
M. Borchers ◂ T. Pukki
66'
🔁
K. Jatta ◂ E. Kallio
66'
🔁
N. Jokelainen ◂ L. Ghezali
77'
K. Jatta
79'
V. Tikkanen
79'
M. Santos
80'
🔁
A. Ring ◂ M. Guèye
80'
🔁
T. Mero ◂ A. Cicale
80'
L. Lingman
88'
🔁
L. Montano ◂ K. Simojoki
Full-time · 0–1
Coaches
Mikko IsokangasJoonas Rantanen 
Recent form
AC OuluWHIlves1-0
DAIFK Mariehamn1-1
LHIF Gnistan0-2
LATurun Palloseura0-3
DHFC Lahti1-1
HJKDHMotherwell1-1
LASJK0-3
WAColeraine FC3-0
WHTurun Palloseura1-0
WHColeraine FC5-0
Match facts
Stadium
Raatti Stadion
City
Oulu
Kickoff
09 Aug, 16:00 UTC
Competition
Veikkausliiga
Highlights & clips
AC Oulu
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
HJK
13
M. Santos
22
T. Kaukua
3
A. Lietsa
66
J. Pirinen
18
A. Cassama
14
N. Jokelainen
↑ 66'
34
I. Mendolin
↑ 48'
6
J. Paananen
7
R. Karjalainen
32
A. Kone
20
K. Jatta
↑ 66'
44
M. Marković
28
M. Ylitolva
6
V. Tikkanen
3
T. Cissokho
14
L. Montano
↑ 88'
4
A. Ring
↑ 80'
10
L. Lingman
22
L. Möller
↑ 66'
17
Martin Kirilov
18
T. Mero
↑ 80'
9
M. Borchers
↑ 66'
Substitutes
99GN. Schulz
2DS. Sipola
5DM. Pitkanen
29DS. Silander
25MM. Arsalo↓ 48'
11ML. Ghezali↓ 66'
27ME. Kallio↓ 66'
8MM. Ojala
10FC. Triana↑ 46'
Coach: Mikko Isokangas
Substitutes
1GJ. Öst
13DK. Simojoki↓ 88'
65DA. Nallo
32MM. Guèye↓ 80'
7MA. Cicale↓ 80'
8MP. Mentu
29FS. Haarala↓ 66'
20FT. Pukki↓ 66'
Coach: Joonas Rantanen
Top stats
39%Possession61%
0.2Expected goals (xG)1.57
5Total shots8
3Shots on target4
3Corners6
Shots
1Shots off target1
1Blocked shots3
2Shots inside box5
3Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
Attack
5Touches in box22
0Offsides0
0Free kicks2
Passing
420Passes605
342Accurate passes521
24/49 (48%)Long balls18/47 (38%)
3/8 (37%)Crosses4/13 (30%)
29Throw-ins29
Duels
50Duels50
45/84 (54%)Ground duels39/82 (48%)
6/17 (35%)Aerial duels11/17 (65%)
2/8 (25%)Dribbles5/12 (42%)
3Dispossessed5
Defending
1Tackles2
8Interceptions12
19Clearances14
Discipline
10Fouls9
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
8Goal kicks2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 23 bookmakers
Who winsHJK to win (DNB) 60% · 1.64 @ Pinnacle
1X2HJK to win 44% · 2.22 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.80 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.43 @ fonbet
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 1.63 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 1.77 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.25 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 26% · 3.68 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.44 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.75 @ Betway
1X2Oulu to win 30% · 3.20 @ Novibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.05
AC Oulu ▼
3.30
Draw ▼
2.16
HJK ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.65
AC Oulu or Draw
1.28
AC Oulu or HJK
1.35
Draw or HJK ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.59
Yes
2.22
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
11.30
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.23
Over 1.50 ▲
4.10
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.73
Over 2.50
2.07
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.78
Over 3.50 ▲
1.42
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.25
Over 4.50 ▲
1.16
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
2.24
AC Oulu ▲
1.59
HJK
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
12.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.11
Over 6.50
6.10
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50 ▲
3.76
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.38
Over 8.50 ▲
2.78
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.68
Over 9.50 ▲
2.05
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.05
Over 10.50
1.67
Under 10.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.65
Over 11.50 ▼
1.42
Under 11.50 ▲
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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