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Camilo Speranza
Ilves
IFK Mariehamn
Ilves
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
IFK Mariehamn
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
37093 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
91.9%
-7.2 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.2%
+5.1 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.1%
+3.0 vs price
Half time
467 EUR · live
Home
2.2 · implied 45.5%
79.4%
+33.9 vs price
Away
8.2 · implied 12.2%
19.3%
+7.1 vs price
Draw
3.05 · implied 32.8%
1.8%
-31.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
102782 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
63.8%
-35.2 vs price
Over
50.0 · implied 2.0%
36.2%
+34.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
711 EUR · live
Under
1.1 · implied 90.9%
56.5%
-34.4 vs price
Over
15.0 · implied 6.7%
43.3%
+36.6 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Match events
24'
F. Gyamfi
25'
⚽
T. Hytönen · assist J. Kanga1–0
Half-time · 2–0
45'+2
⚽
J. Kanga (pen)2–0
46'
🔁
O. Multala ◂ J. Kilo
46'
🔁
S. Baranov ◂ K. Wallius
57'
N. Nurmi
57'
🔁
A. Bamba ◂ T. Hytönen
60'
O. Multala
61'
🔁
M. Hyvönen ◂ A. Bergvik
61'
🔁
A. Larsson ◂ T. K. Jakobsen
70'
🔁
Y. Sacko ◂ A. Popovitch
70'
🔁
E. Tamminen ◂ J. Kanga
77'
🔁
A. Huttunen ◂ A. Stroud
77'
🔁
W. Nuñez ◂ R. Monteiro
85'
E. Patut
Full-time · 2–0
90'+3
🔁
V. Widlund ◂ E. Patut
Coaches
Camilo SperanzaRoberth Bjorkensjo 
Recent form
IlvesLAHNK Rijeka0-1
LAAC Oulu0-1
WHStjarnan Garðabær2-1
WHFC Lahti1-0
LAStjarnan Garðabær0-1
IFK MariehamnLATurun Palloseura0-3
DHAC Oulu1-1
LHFC Lahti0-2
LAIF Gnistan2-4
LAVPS0-4
Match facts
Stadium
Tammela Stadium
City
Tampere
Kickoff
09 Aug, 15:00 UTC
Competition
Veikkausliiga
Highlights & clips
Ilves
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
IFK Mariehamn
12
F. Krkalić
24
V. Kumpu
5
S. Väisänen
3
M. Rale
4
O. Pettersson
6
Y. Raap
33
Y. Sacko
↑ 70'
22
O. Multala
↑ 46'
45
E. Tamminen
↑ 70'
17
S. Baranov
↑ 46'
19
A. Bamba
↑ 57'
1
K. Lund
26
L. Richtner
2
N. Nurmi
19
F. Gyamfi
3
A. Soiniemi
11
J. Svedberg
V. Widlund
↑ 90'
16
A. Huttunen
↑ 77'
64
M. Hyvönen
↑ 61'
9
W. Nuñez
↑ 77'
7
A. Larsson
↑ 61'
Substitutes
1GO. Virtanen
16DT. Miettunen
13MK. Wallius↓ 46'
28MJ. Kilo↓ 46'
14MA. Popovitch↓ 70'
30MJ. Kanga↓ 70'
15ML. Ala-Myllymäki
9FT. Hytönen↓ 57'
10FR. Riski
Coach: Camilo Speranza
Substitutes
32GM. Riikonen
5DT. Koivisto
14MA. Bergvik↓ 61'
15MT. K. Jakobsen↓ 61'
22MR. Monteiro↓ 77'
18MA. Stroud↓ 77'
20ME. Patut↓ 90'
8MJ. v. d. Heyden
43FL. Andersson
Coach: Roberth Bjorkensjo
Top stats
45%Possession55%
2.06Expected goals (xG)1.4
8Total shots16
4Shots on target5
4Corners11
Shots
2Shots off target4
2Blocked shots7
6Shots inside box8
2Shots outside box8
0Hit woodwork0
Attack
12Touches in box29
1Offsides2
0Free kicks0
Passing
476Passes507
393Accurate passes436
27/47 (57%)Long balls21/31 (67%)
4/14 (28%)Crosses8/23 (34%)
15Throw-ins20
Duels
46Duels54
56/125 (45%)Ground duels72/129 (56%)
14/27 (52%)Aerial duels13/27 (48%)
12/23 (52%)Dribbles16/20 (80%)
11Dispossessed13
Defending
0Tackles0
14Interceptions20
42Clearances27
Discipline
6Fouls15
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
5Saves2
11Goal kicks4
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 23 bookmakers
1X2Ilves to win 74% · 1.32 @ Novibet
Who winsIlves to win (DNB) 87% · 1.11 @ Betano
CornersOver 10.5 corners 55% · 1.85 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 9.5 corners 66% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 76% · 1.29 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 65% · 1.45 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 84% · 1.13 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 1.80 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 16% · 6.38 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 56% · 1.90 @ Novibet
1X2Mariehamn to win 10% · 9.80 @ Betsson
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.28
Ilves
5.68
Draw ▲
8.13
IFK Mariehamn ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.06
Ilves or Draw
1.13
Ilves or IFK Mariehamn
3.52
Draw or IFK Mariehamn ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.70
Yes
2.05
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50 ▼
18.00
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.13
Over 1.50
5.90
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.45
Over 2.50 ▼
2.70
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.86
Over 3.50 ▼
1.90
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.45
Over 4.50 ▲
1.30
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.09
Ilves ▲
6.80
IFK Mariehamn ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.05
Over 6.50
10.00
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.11
Over 7.50
5.93
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.24
Over 8.50
3.60
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.43
Over 9.50
2.57
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.74
Over 10.50
1.97
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.11
Over 11.50
1.64
Under 11.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
2.76
Over 12.50
1.39
Under 12.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Ilves to win or draw
✓
90% confidence
Ilves to avoid defeat
✓
87% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
84% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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