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Jussi Leppälahti
IF Gnistan
Ilves
IF Gnistan
3-4-3 · 3-4-3
Ilves
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
241168 EUR · live
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
47.3%
-50.7 vs price
Draw
70.0 · implied 1.4%
30.4%
+29.0 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
22.5%
+22.4 vs price
Half time
1048 EUR · live
Draw
1.84 · implied 54.3%
44.0%
-10.4 vs price
Home
5.3 · implied 18.9%
38.2%
+19.3 vs price
Away
4.0 · implied 25.0%
17.7%
-7.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
22571 EUR · live
Over
1.19 · implied 84.0%
83.5%
-0.5 vs price
Under
6.4 · implied 15.6%
16.5%
+0.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
8857 EUR · live
Under
1.81 · implied 55.2%
67.3%
+12.0 vs price
Over
2.2 · implied 45.5%
32.7%
-12.7 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 7 clips
Match events
4'
⚽
S. Väisänen1–0
14'
⚽
T. Hytönen · assist O. Pettersson1–1
24'
B. Milovanov
41'
⚽
A. Popovitch · assist K. Wallius1–2
43'
S. Väisänen
Half-time · 2–2
45'
⚽
A. Akinyemi · assist G. Europaeus2–2
46'
🔁
A. Atarah ◂ S. Ylätupa
56'
S. Väisänen
62'
🔁
Y. Raap ◂ J. Kilo
62'
🔁
S. Baranov ◂ Y. Sacko
63'
🔁
D. Pérez ◂ A. Akinyemi
78'
🔁
R. Riski ◂ A. Popovitch
78'
🔁
A. Bamba ◂ O. Pettersson
81'
⚽
B. Milovanov3–2
86'
🔁
S. Eremenko ◂ Ruxi
86'
🔁
J. Latonen ◂ R. Eremenko
89'
🔁
M. Stjopin ◂ T. Miettunen
Full-time · 3–2
90'+2
D. Pérez
90'+4
🔁
J. Ojala ◂ A. Atarah
90'+4
J. Kanga
Coaches
Camilo Speranza 
Recent form
DASJK2-2
LHKuopion Palloseura0-1
WAInter Turku2-1
WAAC Oulu2-0
WHIFK Mariehamn4-2
DHHNK Rijeka1-1
WHIFK Mariehamn2-0
LAHNK Rijeka0-1
LAAC Oulu0-1
WHStjarnan Garðabær2-1
Where to watch
Betano
OneFootball Deutschland
Match facts
Stadium
Mustapekka Areena
City
Helsinki
Kickoff
17 Aug, 15:00 UTC
Competition
Veikkausliiga
Highlights & clips
95
M. Juricka
24
R. Gnanou
67
A. Obileye
14
S. Eremenko
↑ 86'
19
B. Milovanov
⚽1
31
A. Jouhi
15
G. Europaeus
12
E. Arko-Mensah
7
A. Atarah
↑ 46'
11
D. Pérez
↑ 63'
10
J. Latonen
↑ 86'
12
F. Krkalić
8
M. Stjopin
↑ 89'
5
S. Väisänen
3
M. Rale
19
A. Bamba
↑ 78'
6
Y. Raap
↑ 62'
10
R. Riski
↑ 78'
13
K. Wallius
30
J. Kanga
9
T. Hytönen
⚽1
17
S. Baranov
↑ 62'
Substitutes
13GO. Lyberopoulos
3DRuxi↓ 86'
40DJ. Ojala↑ 90'
33DS. Heikari
23MS. Ylätupa↓ 46'
27MO. Hannula
17FA. Akinyemi↓ 63'
26FR. Eremenko↓ 86'
Coach: Jussi Leppälahti
Substitutes
1GO. Virtanen
4DO. Pettersson↓ 78'
16DT. Miettunen↓ 89'
24DV. Kumpu
33MY. Sacko↓ 62'
28MJ. Kilo↓ 62'
14MA. Popovitch↓ 78'
15ML. Ala-Myllymäki
45FE. Tamminen
Coach: Camilo Speranza
Top stats
47%Possession53%
1.78Expected goals (xG)1.4
17Total shots8
6Shots on target5
8Corners3
Shots
7Shots off target2
4Blocked shots1
8Shots inside box5
9Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
Attack
29Touches in box13
3Offsides1
5Free kicks2
Passing
404Passes430
321Accurate passes348
23/54 (42%)Long balls18/46 (39%)
11/31 (35%)Crosses4/14 (28%)
22Throw-ins22
Duels
52Duels47
40/76 (53%)Ground duels35/75 (47%)
17/33 (52%)Aerial duels17/34 (50%)
5/6 (83%)Dribbles4/7 (57%)
7Dispossessed10
Defending
3Tackles1
6Interceptions8
35Clearances43
Discipline
11Fouls11
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves4
6Goal kicks11
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 66 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 59% · 1.58 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 70% · 1.32 @ Novibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 63% · 1.61 @ betfair
Who winsIlves to win (DNB) 51% · 1.88 @ BetMGM.uk
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 60% · 1.70 @ betfair
1X2Ilves to win 38% · 2.75 @ kto
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 80% · 1.23 @ betfair
1X2Draw 26% · 2.91 @ efbet.net
1X2Gnistan to win 36% · 3.02 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 62% · 1.62 @ efbet.net
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 52% · 1.86 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.66
IF Gnistan ▼
3.46
Draw ▼
2.38
Ilves ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.50
IF Gnistan or Draw ▼
1.27
IF Gnistan or Ilves ▼
1.41
Draw or Ilves ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.48
Yes ▼
2.44
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
13.52
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.16
Over 1.50 ▼
4.46
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.57
Over 2.50 ▼
2.26
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.45
Over 3.50 ▲
1.49
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.25
Over 4.50
1.21
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.90
IF Gnistan ▼
1.81
Ilves ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50
4.53
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.29
Over 8.50
3.15
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.54
Over 9.50
2.29
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.89
Over 10.50
1.80
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.38
Over 11.50
1.50
Under 11.50
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
3.19
Over 12.50
1.29
Under 12.50
Total Corners (O/U) 13.50consensus
3.94
Over 13.50 ▼
1.20
Under 13.50 ▲
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
80% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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