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Camilo Speranza
Ilves
VPS
Ilves
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
VPS
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
10467 EUR · live
Away
1.08 · implied 92.6%
45.2%
-47.4 vs price
Home
100.0 · implied 1.0%
39.8%
+38.8 vs price
Draw
9.0 · implied 11.1%
17.6%
+6.5 vs price
Half time
147 EUR · live
Draw
4.0 · implied 25.0%
89.5%
+64.5 vs price
Home
5.0 · implied 20.0%
9.5%
-10.5 vs price
Away
0.0%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
6735 EUR · live
Over
9.8 · implied 10.2%
57.8%
+47.6 vs price
Under
1.11 · implied 90.1%
42.2%
-47.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
122 EUR · live
Over
9.4 · implied 10.6%
89.0%
+78.4 vs price
Under
1.25 · implied 80.0%
9.8%
-70.2 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Match events
9'
⚽
S. Lindholm · assist K. Kouassivi-Benissan0–1
38'
J. Kanga
Half-time · 0–1
47'
🔁
J. Veteli ◂ J. Kilo
47'
🔁
M. Stjopin ◂ L. Ala-Myllymäki
67'
O. Pettersson
69'
Y. Daoussi
71'
🔁
X. Odhiambo ◂ K. Kouassivi-Benissan
71'
🔁
D. Terrnava ◂ A. Räisänen
76'
🔁
S. Baranov ◂ A. Bamba
76'
🔁
E. Tamminen ◂ A. Popovitch
81'
🔁
C. Holmelund ◂ S. Lindholm
81'
🔁
R. Simpson ◂ Y. Daoussi
81'
🔁
H. Coulibaly ◂ T. Miettunen
Full-time · 0–1
90'
P. Lima
Coaches
Camilo SperanzaJussi Nuorela 
Recent form
IlvesLAIF Gnistan2-3
DHHNK Rijeka1-1
WHIFK Mariehamn2-0
LAHNK Rijeka0-1
LAAC Oulu0-1
VPSLHTurun Palloseura1-3
WAFF Jaro3-1
LHInter Turku0-1
LAKuopion Palloseura1-3
LAHJK1-2
Where to watch
OneFootball Deutschland
Match facts
Stadium
Tammela Stadium
City
Tampere
Kickoff
22 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Veikkausliiga
Highlights & clips
Ilves
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
VPS
12
F. Krkalić
4
O. Pettersson
11
H. Coulibaly
↑ 81'
3
M. Rale
17
S. Baranov
↑ 76'
7
J. Veteli
↑ 47'
45
E. Tamminen
↑ 76'
13
K. Wallius
30
J. Kanga
8
M. Stjopin
↑ 47'
9
T. Hytönen
41
M. Jalloh
23
M. Niemi
2
L. Mané
19
M. Haukioja
13
O. Ogunniyi
17
D. Terrnava
↑ 71'
8
P. Lima
7
J. Turfkruier
3
R. Simpson
↑ 81'
20
X. Odhiambo
↑ 71'
9
C. Holmelund
↑ 81'
Substitutes
1GO. Virtanen
16DT. Miettunen↓ 81'
6DY. Raap
24DV. Kumpu
15ML. Ala-Myllymäki↓ 47'
28MJ. Kilo↓ 47'
19MA. Bamba↓ 76'
14MA. Popovitch↓ 76'
33MY. Sacko
Coach: Camilo Speranza
Substitutes
12GL. Väyrynen
21DA. Adu-Boahen
34MA. Räisänen↓ 71'
27MK. Kouassivi-Benissan↓ 71'
24MY. Daoussi↓ 81'
14MS. Lindholm↓ 81'
25MH. Salomaa
30MJ. Vahtera
29FW. Samaké
Coach: Jussi Nuorela
Top stats
57%Possession43%
0.66Expected goals (xG)1.18
10Total shots10
2Shots on target5
9Corners2
Shots
5Shots off target4
3Blocked shots1
4Shots inside box5
6Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
Attack
17Touches in box12
1Offsides2
0Free kicks0
Passing
548Passes454
463Accurate passes372
25/46 (54%)Long balls30/65 (46%)
8/23 (34%)Crosses5/7 (71%)
22Throw-ins16
Duels
59Duels41
45/82 (55%)Ground duels38/82 (46%)
27/39 (69%)Aerial duels12/39 (31%)
10/13 (77%)Dribbles5/8 (63%)
9Dispossessed4
Defending
0Tackles3
9Interceptions18
13Clearances24
Discipline
6Fouls12
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
4Saves2
7Goal kicks10
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
1X2VPS to win 38% · 3.10 @ granmadrid
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 3.60 @ 888Sport
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 2.75 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.83 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.38 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 25% · 2.75 @ fonbet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.77 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 2.14 @ Pinnacle
Who winsIlves to win (DNB) 56% · 1.74 @ BetMGM.uk
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.54 @ betinasia
1X2Ilves to win 37% · 2.75 @ betcity
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.21
Ilves ▼
3.58
Draw ▲
2.82
VPS ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.38
Ilves or Draw ▼
1.26
Ilves or VPS ▲
1.58
Draw or VPS ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.50
Yes ▼
2.40
No ▲
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.60
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
12.24
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.17
Over 1.50 ▼
4.48
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.58
Over 2.50 ▼
2.24
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.43
Over 3.50 ▼
1.50
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.50
Over 4.50
1.17
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.66
Ilves ▼
2.07
VPS ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50
3.62
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.36
Over 8.50
2.69
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.63
Over 9.50
2.09
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.00
Over 10.50
1.70
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.51
Over 11.50
1.42
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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