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Camilo Speranza
Ilves
HJK
Ilves
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2
HJK
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
113017 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
82.5%
-16.5 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
9.7%
+9.6 vs price
Draw
27.0 · implied 3.7%
7.9%
+4.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
16450 EUR · live
Under
2.1 · implied 47.6%
56.4%
+8.8 vs price
Over
1.89 · implied 52.9%
43.6%
-9.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
711 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
78.0%
-19.1 vs price
Over
40.0 · implied 2.5%
21.9%
+19.4 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 4 clips
Match events
14'
🔁
A. Bamba ◂ O. Pettersson
23'
Martin Kirilov
Half-time · 0–0
55'
F. Krkalić
57'
⚽
A. Ring (pen)0–1
59'
⚽
K. Wallius · assist T. Hytönen1–1
69'
🔁
E. Tamminen ◂ L. Ala-Myllymäki
69'
🔁
O. Multala ◂ T. Miettunen
73'
⚽
M. Borchers · assist L. Lappalainen1–2
73'
🔁
L. Lappalainen ◂ A. Cicale
73'
🔁
M. Borchers ◂ Martin Kirilov
77'
🔁
M. Guèye ◂ A. Ring
82'
🔁
Y. Raap ◂ T. Hytönen
82'
🔁
H. Coulibaly ◂ J. Kilo
87'
🔁
J. Kallinen ◂ L. Lappalainen
87'
🔁
N. Alho ◂ P. Mentu
Full-time · 1–2
Coaches
Camilo SperanzaJoonas Rantanen 
Recent form
IlvesLHVPS0-1
LAIF Gnistan2-3
DHHNK Rijeka1-1
WHIFK Mariehamn2-0
LAHNK Rijeka0-1
HJKLHIF Gnistan2-3
WHFF Jaro3-0
LAMotherwell0-2
WAAC Oulu1-0
DHMotherwell1-1
Where to watch
OneFootball Deutschland
Match facts
Stadium
Tammela Stadium
City
Tampere
Kickoff
31 Aug, 16:00 UTC
Competition
Veikkausliiga
Highlights & clips
Ilves
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2
HJK
12
F. Krkalić
24
V. Kumpu
5
S. Väisänen
22
O. Multala
↑ 69'
19
A. Bamba
↑ 14'
45
E. Tamminen
↑ 69'
6
Y. Raap
↑ 82'
13
K. Wallius
⚽1
8
M. Stjopin
14
A. Popovitch
11
H. Coulibaly
↑ 82'
44
M. Marković
13
K. Simojoki
6
V. Tikkanen
3
T. Cissokho
14
L. Montano
22
L. Möller
32
M. Guèye
↑ 77'
17
N. Alho
↑ 87'
26
L. Lappalainen
↑ 73'
20
T. Pukki
9
M. Borchers
↑ 73'
Substitutes
31GR. Leislahti
4DO. Pettersson↓ 14'
16DT. Miettunen↓ 69'
3DM. Rale
15ML. Ala-Myllymäki↓ 69'
28MJ. Kilo↓ 82'
17MS. Baranov
33MY. Sacko
9FT. Hytönen↓ 82'
Coach: Camilo Speranza
Substitutes
1GJ. Öst
32GJ. Samooja
31DM. Bogićević
11MMartin Kirilov↓ 73'
7MA. Cicale↓ 73'
4MA. Ring↓ 77'
8MP. Mentu↓ 87'
15MJ. Kallinen↑ 87'
FP. I. Ndir
Coach: Joonas Rantanen
Top stats
44%Possession56%
0.62Expected goals (xG)2.72
9Total shots16
4Shots on target4
6Corners4
Shots
5Shots off target5
0Blocked shots7
4Shots inside box11
5Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
Attack
17Touches in box28
0Offsides3
0Free kicks0
Passing
407Passes551
334Accurate passes480
14/40 (35%)Long balls27/42 (64%)
2/9 (22%)Crosses8/17 (47%)
18Throw-ins21
Duels
57Duels42
43/75 (57%)Ground duels32/75 (43%)
19/32 (59%)Aerial duels13/31 (42%)
8/16 (50%)Dribbles3/14 (21%)
4Dispossessed6
Defending
0Tackles0
9Interceptions13
23Clearances19
Discipline
12Fouls8
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
13Goal kicks8
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2HJK to win 51% · 2.20 @ Bet365
Who winsHJK to win (DNB) 54% · 1.48 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 61% · 3.30 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 62% · 2.62 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.30 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.75 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 24% · 2.85 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.93 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 60% · 1.62 @ Pinnacle
1X2Ilves to win 25% · 3.76 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.60
Ilves
3.85
Draw
1.82
HJK
Double Chanceconsensus
1.90
Ilves or Draw
1.21
Ilves or HJK
1.25
Draw or HJK
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.50
Yes
2.40
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
7.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.75
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
15.35
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.14
Over 1.50
5.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.51
Over 2.50
2.40
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.31
Over 3.50
1.57
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.00
Over 4.50
1.22
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.60
Ilves
1.44
HJK
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.13
Over 7.50
4.45
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.27
Over 8.50
3.03
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.50
Over 9.50
2.33
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.83
Over 10.50
1.88
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.21
Over 11.50
1.57
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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