Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Rosenborg roll into Hamar on a tear, and HamKam's patchy form makes this look like a mismatch.** The visitors are absolutely cruising — four wins in five — while the hosts have dropped points like they're going out of style. 🔥
HamKam's one bright spot was that 4-2 demolition of IK Start, but sandwiching that between losses to Glimt and draws with Vålerenga tells you everything. Rosenborg, meanwhile, have the swagger of a side hitting their stride — three straight wins before that slip-up at home vs Sandefjord.
Key storylines:
- **Rosenborg's momentum** is the headline; they're dominating and HamKam have no margin for error at home.
- **D. Benjamin and D. Moreira** will need to carry the load up front for HamKam if they want any chance of breaking down a stingy Rosenborg back line.
- Missing **M. Johnsgard** to injury adds another headache for the hosts trying to prop up their defense.
Expected lineups:
- **HamKam**: M. Sandberg, L. Mares, E. Amundsen-Day, M. Gjone, S. S. Nilsen, V. A. Jónsson, P. Metcalfe, A. B. Potur, D. Benjamin, D. Moreira
- **Rosenborg BK**: L. Wahlstedt, A. Pereira, M. K. Ceide, T. Nemčík, A. Witry, S. Nordli, M. Bomholt, O. Selnaes, N. Sahsah, E. Ceide
Prediction:
**Rosenborg BK 2-0 HamKam.** The visitors' form is simply too hot, and HamKam's recent struggles suggest they'll struggle to create real danger here.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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