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Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08
Aalesunds FK
Sarpsborg 08
Aalesunds FK
Aalesunds FK
Sarpsborg 08
Aalesunds FK
Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08
Aalesunds FK
Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08
Aalesunds FK
Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08
Aalesunds FK
Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08
Even Sel
Sarpsborg 08
Aalesunds FK
Sarpsborg 08
4-4-2 · 5-3-2
Aalesunds FK
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Sarpsborg 08 2-1 Aalesunds FK.
90+4'
Sarpsborg 08
Corner, Sarpsborg 08.
90+2'
Sarpsborg 08
Corner, Sarpsborg 08.
90+1'
Sarpsborg 08
Corner, Sarpsborg 08.
90+1'
Attempt missed. O. Skarsem (Sarpsborg 08), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.
90'
5 minutes of added time.
88'
Aalesunds FK
Offside, Aalesunds FK.
85'
Goal! Sarpsborg 08 1-1 Aalesunds FK. C. Mmaee (Sarpsborg 08) scores, assisted by D. Karlsbakk.
83'
Sarpsborg 08
Corner, Sarpsborg 08.
79'
Attempt missed. S. E. Kartum (Aalesunds FK), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.
78'
Aalesunds FK
Corner, Aalesunds FK.
77'
Aalesunds FK
Corner, Aalesunds FK.
77'
Attempt missed. M. Christensen (Aalesunds FK), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.
75'
Cleared off the line! D. Karlsbakk (Sarpsborg 08), header from a throw-in. xG 0.10.
74'
Sarpsborg 08
Corner, Sarpsborg 08.
74'
Aalesunds FK
Corner, Aalesunds FK.
71'
Attempt missed. M. Christensen (Aalesunds FK), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.
65'
Sarpsborg 08
Corner, Sarpsborg 08.
64'
Sarpsborg 08
Corner, Sarpsborg 08.
63'
Sarpsborg 08
Corner, Sarpsborg 08.
63'
Sarpsborg 08
Corner, Sarpsborg 08.
59'
Sarpsborg 08
Offside, Sarpsborg 08.
52'
Cleared off the line! S. E. Kartum (Aalesunds FK), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.11.
52'
Aalesunds FK
Corner, Aalesunds FK.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Sarpsborg 08 0-1 Aalesunds FK.
45'
2 minutes of added time.
43'
Sarpsborg 08
Corner, Sarpsborg 08.
39'
Sarpsborg 08
Corner, Sarpsborg 08.
34'
Aalesunds FK
Offside, Aalesunds FK.
33'
Sarpsborg 08
Corner, Sarpsborg 08.
33'
Sarpsborg 08
Corner, Sarpsborg 08.
32'
Sarpsborg 08
Corner, Sarpsborg 08.
31'
Sarpsborg 08
Corner, Sarpsborg 08.
24'
Sarpsborg 08
Corner, Sarpsborg 08.
19'
Goal! Sarpsborg 08 0-1 Aalesunds FK. M. Christensen (Aalesunds FK) scores, assisted by S. E. Kartum.
17'
Sarpsborg 08
Corner, Sarpsborg 08.
14'
Attempt blocked. E. K. Hagen (Aalesunds FK), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.06.
14'
Aalesunds FK
Corner, Aalesunds FK.
12'
Attempt blocked. O. Skarsem (Sarpsborg 08), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.
11'
Sarpsborg 08
Corner, Sarpsborg 08.
7'
Sarpsborg 08
Corner, Sarpsborg 08.
6'
Attempt blocked. V. E. Halvorsen (Sarpsborg 08), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.27.
4'
Sarpsborg 08
Corner, Sarpsborg 08.
3'
Attempt blocked. D. Karlsbakk (Sarpsborg 08), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.21.
3'
Cleared off the line! D. Karlsbakk (Sarpsborg 08), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.24.
1'
Kick-off: Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesunds FK.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
155493 EUR · live
Home
1.07 · implied 93.5%
48.3%
-45.2 vs price
Away
270.0 · implied 0.4%
41.0%
+40.6 vs price
Draw
15.0 · implied 6.7%
10.8%
+4.1 vs price
Half time
82 EUR
Home
2.48 · implied 40.3%
50.0%
+9.7 vs price
Away
3.9 · implied 25.6%
49.5%
+23.9 vs price
Draw
2.78 · implied 36.0%
23.2%
-12.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
43935 EUR · live
Over
7.0 · implied 14.3%
60.2%
+45.9 vs price
Under
1.18 · implied 84.7%
39.8%
-44.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
840 EUR
Over
4.9 · implied 20.4%
100.0%
+79.6 vs price
Under
1.29 · implied 77.5%
92.9%
+15.4 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
13'
S. Rosted · Foul
19'
⚽
M. Christensen · assist S. E. Kartum0–1
35'
Ó. Guðmundsson · Foul
40'
🔁
E. Engqvist ◂ S. Vecchia
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
B. Guèye ◂ N. Williams
46'
🔁
A. Hiim ◂ P. Reinhardsen
46'
🔁
P. N. Iversen ◂ I. G. Skotheim
47'
M. Andresen · Foul
62'
🔁
A. Sher ◂ S. Christiansen
62'
🔁
M. Lode ◂ B. Utvik
79'
🔁
C. Mmaee ◂ E. Wichne
80'
D. Karlsbakk · Argument
84'
🔁
A. Kjelsen ◂ M. Andresen
85'
⚽
C. Mmaee · assist D. Karlsbakk1–1
Full-time · 2–1
90'+4
⚽
A. Hiim2–1
Coaches
Even SelKjetil Rekdal 
Recent form
Sarpsborg 08LHRosenborg BK0-3
WAAalesunds FK4-2
LHKFUM Oslo1-3
DAFredrikstad FK1-1
DHVålerenga IF2-2
Aalesunds FKWAKristiansund BK4-1
LHSarpsborg 082-4
WAMolde FK2-1
LAKFUM Oslo1-2
WHIK Start2-0
About this match
**Sarpsborg's looking to bounce back after that 3-0 hammering at home, but Aalesund comes in hot with three straight wins.** Classic trap-game energy. 🔥
Sarpsborg are inconsistent — mixed form with losses to Rosenborg and KFUM but that 4-2 demolition of Aalesund a few weeks back shows they can turn it on. Aalesund are riding momentum and actually prefer playing away (won 4-1 at Kristiansund, 2-1 at Molde). The head-to-head massively favors Sarpsborg though — 11 wins in 19 meetings is a statement.
Key storylines:
- **Sarpsborg need a response** after the 3-0 loss to Rosenborg; home fixture is a chance to prove it wasn't a total collapse
- **Aalesund's road form is lethal** but Sarpsborg's historical dominance in this matchup looms large
- **Missing bodies on both sides** — Aalesund down three (Kjelsen, Aukland, Haram) but still rolling; Sarpsborg without Opoku
Expected lineups:
- **Sarpsborg 08**: L. Øy, A. Hiim, B. Utvik, M. Lode, C. Niyukuri, A. Sher, S. Christiansen, O. Skarsem
- **Aalesunds FK**: L. Podlech, Ó. Guðmundsson, C. M. Diop, E. Engqvist, E. H. Osenbroch, U. Charles, E. K. Hagen, M. Christensen
Prediction:
**Sarpsborg 2-1 Aalesund.** Home advantage plus that historical edge tip the scales, but Aalesund's form keeps it tight. 📍
Match facts
Stadium
Sarpsborg Stadion
City
Sarpsborg
Kickoff
25 Oct, 16:00 UTC
Competition
Eliteserien
Highlights & clips
Sarpsborg 08
4-4-2 · 5-3-2
Aalesunds FK
87
L. Øy
6.2
7
C. Mmaee
7.7
↑ 79'
2
M. Lode
7.1
↑ 62'
24
S. Rosted
7.6
21
A. Hiim
7.9
↑ 46'
10
S. Sörli
6.5
6
A. Sher
7.4
↑ 62'
77
O. Skarsem
7.6
18
B. Guèye
6.7
↑ 46'
22
V. E. Halvorsen
6.3
11
D. Karlsbakk
6.6
1
L. Podlech
5.6
7
K. Nessø
6.9
5
A. Kjelsen
6.1
↑ 84'
28
C. M. Diop
8.5
3
Ó. Guðmundsson
5.6
14
U. Charles
7.1
21
M. Christensen
8.4
18
E. K. Hagen
6.8
19
S. E. Kartum
7.3
9
P. N. Iversen
6.9
↑ 46'
22
E. Engqvist
7.0
↑ 40'
Substitutes
1GJ. Pryts
32DE. Wichne↓ 79'8.0
4DB. Utvik↓ 62'7.5
20DP. Reinhardsen↓ 46'6.6
5DL. Høyland
12DC. Niyukuri
8MS. Christiansen↓ 62'7.4
17MN. Williams↓ 46'5.8
33MA. Hansen
Coach: Even Sel
Substitutes
26GT. E. Larsen
2DM. Andresen↓ 84'7.4
16DJ. N. Örsahl
8MI. G. Skotheim↓ 46'7.0
38MT. Leikanger
15ME. H. Osenbroch
23FS. Vecchia↓ 40'6.6
17FE. H. Myrlid
Coach: Kjetil Rekdal
Top stats
72%Possession28%
2.99Expected goals (xG)0.3
34Total shots7
6Shots on target2
20Corners4
Shots
15Shots off target3
13Blocked shots2
28Shots inside box2
6Shots outside box5
-0.75Goals prevented-1.3
Attack
77Touches in box14
93Final third entries35
1Offsides3
8Free kicks11
4Fouled in final third1
Passing
553Passes228
477Accurate passes142
32/46 (70%)Long balls26/75 (35%)
15/63 (24%)Crosses1/7 (14%)
21Throw-ins17
Duels
45Duels55
21/59 (36%)Ground duels38/59 (64%)
22/36 (61%)Aerial duels14/36 (39%)
4/17 (24%)Dribbles8/15 (53%)
7Dispossessed2
Defending
9Tackles20
44Tackles won45
7Interceptions6
9Clearances72
54Recoveries44
Discipline
11Fouls8
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
0Saves2
4Goal kicks22
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
CornersOver 10.5 corners 54% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 9.5 corners 64% · 1.29 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 69% · 2.88 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 75% · 1.16 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 67% · 2.40 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 86% · 1.60 @ William Hill
Who winsSarpsborg 08 to win (DNB) 70% · 1.45 @ Betsson
1X2Sarpsborg 08 to win 50% · 2.15 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 23% · 2.98 @ 1xBet
1X2Aalesund to win 26% · 3.52 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 52% · 1.90 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.85
Sarpsborg 08
4.00
Draw
3.60
Aalesunds FK
Double Chanceconsensus
1.27
Sarpsborg 08 or Draw
1.22
Sarpsborg 08 or Aalesunds FK
1.93
Draw or Aalesunds FK
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.39
Yes
2.77
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
10.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
11.60
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.10
Over 1.50
6.73
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.36
Over 2.50
3.07
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.95
Over 3.50
1.87
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.06
Over 4.50
1.36
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.42
Sarpsborg 08
2.65
Aalesunds FK
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.07
Over 7.50
4.90
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.16
Over 8.50
3.67
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.29
Over 9.50
2.75
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.55
Over 10.50
2.24
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
1.92
Over 11.50
1.85
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
86% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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