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Jay Heaps
Birmingham Legion FC
New Mexico United
Birmingham Legion FC
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
New Mexico United
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
22814 EUR · live
Away
9.6 · implied 10.4%
82.1%
+71.6 vs price
Home
200.0 · implied 0.5%
12.9%
+12.4 vs price
Draw
1.07 · implied 93.5%
5.1%
-88.4 vs price
Half time
293 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
82.3%
-16.7 vs price
Home
22.0 · implied 4.5%
12.6%
+8.1 vs price
Draw
12.0 · implied 8.3%
4.8%
-3.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
2115 EUR · live
Over
1.27 · implied 78.7%
66.6%
-12.2 vs price
Under
4.6 · implied 21.7%
33.4%
+11.6 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
11'
⚽
R. Williams · assist D. McCartney1–0
16'
⚽
Z. Bailey · assist N. Reid-Stephen1–1
19'
⚽
N. Reid-Stephen · assist C. Gloster1–2
19'
J. Heaps · Argument
39'
M. Howell · Foul
43'
🔁
J. LaCava ◂ M. Howell
Half-time · 1–2
57'
🔁
N. Brown ◂ D. McCartney
57'
🔁
S. Shashoua ◂ K. Cole
59'
H. Diop · Foul
64'
⚽
G. Hurst1–3
66'
⚽
J. Quiah · assist G. Hurst1–4
66'
🔁
R. Damus ◂ P. Vassell
69'
R. Williams · Foul
73'
🔁
T. Blackett ◂ C. Gloster
74'
🔁
S. McIllhatton ◂ T. Pasher
74'
🔁
S. Ngoma ◂ R. Williams
74'
🔁
G. Zelalem ◂ O. Jabang
74'
🔁
C. Nava ◂ N. Reid-Stephen
77'
⚽
R. Damus2–4
83'
🔁
C. Wilkerson ◂ L. Archimede
87'
⚽
G. Diarbian · assist S. Ngoma3–4
Full-time · 4–4
90'+7
C. Nava · Argument
90'+7
S. Antwi · Argument
90'+9
⚽
R. Damus4–4
Coaches
Dennis Sanchez 
Recent form
DHCharleston Battery2-2
DAIndy Eleven2-2
LAHartford Athletic2-3
LHSC Jacksonville2-3
LAColorado Springs Switchbacks FC2-3
DHIndy Eleven2-2
WALas Vegas Lights2-1
LHSan Antonio FC1-2
WHLexington SC2-1
DALoudoun United FC0-0
Where to watch
BetanoDisney+
Match facts
Stadium
Dunnavant Valley Fields
City
Birmingham
Kickoff
17 Sep, 00:00 UTC
Competition
USL Championship
Highlights & clips
1
J. Koleilat
6.1
26
A. Daley
5.7
3
P. Kavita
5.7
32
H. Diop
6.6
77
N. Brown
6.6
↑ 57'
10
S. Shashoua
7.5
↑ 57'
18
S. Antwi
6.5
6
S. McIllhatton
7.3
↑ 74'
9
R. Damus
8.1
↑ 66'
19
G. Diarbian
7.6
81
S. Ngoma
8.0
↑ 74'
13
K. Shakes
8.7
17
J. LaCava
6.9
↑ 43'
4
K. Keller
7.1
2
Niko Hämäläinen
6.4
24
T. Blackett
6.0
↑ 73'
6
G. Zelalem
6.1
↑ 74'
19
Z. Bailey
7.7
11
C. Nava
6.0
↑ 74'
10
G. Hurst
7.9
31
J. Quiah
7.5
28
C. Wilkerson
6.2
↑ 83'
Substitutes
12GT. McMullen
11DD. McCartney↓ 57'7.1
20DA. Paterson
16MP. Vassell↓ 66'6.7
8MK. Cole↓ 57'6.5
15MT. Pasher↓ 74'6.4
17FR. Williams↓ 74'7.7
Coach: Jay Heaps
Substitutes
33GA. Pannenberg
3DC. Gloster↓ 73'7.2
27DM. Howell↓ 43'6.4
7MN. Reid-Stephen↓ 74'8.2
15MO. Jabang↓ 74'6.6
14MC. Dennis
29FL. Archimede↓ 83'7.0
Coach: Dennis Sanchez
Top stats
52%Possession48%
3.82Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.72
25Total shots11
14Shots on target7
6Big chances3
9Corners0
Shots
5Shots off target4
6Blocked shots0
16Shots inside box8
9Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork0
3Big chances scored2
3Big chances missed1
Attack
35Touches in box14
54Final third entries59
3Offsides3
18Free kicks17
6Fouled in final third4
Passing
451Passes429
390Accurate passes375
28/50 (56%)Long balls28/48 (58%)
6/21 (29%)Crosses0/4 (0%)
23Throw-ins12
Duels
47Duels53
32/67 (48%)Ground duels35/67 (52%)
2/6 (33%)Aerial duels4/6 (67%)
7/15 (47%)Dribbles5/7 (71%)
6Dispossessed6
Defending
8Tackles14
50Tackles won64
6Interceptions12
6Clearances36
40Recoveries41
Discipline
17Fouls18
3Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
3Saves10
0Big saves2
6Goal kicks6
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 12 bookmakers
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 1.61 @ Novibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 69% · 1.40 @ Betway
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 57% · 1.57 @ Betway
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53% · 1.72 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 26% · 3.59 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 1.23 @ Betano
1X2New Mexico United to win 30% · 2.95 @ Pinnacle
Who winsBirmingham Legion to win (DNB) 58% · 1.69 @ Pinnacle
1X2Birmingham Legion to win 43% · 2.31 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 55% · 1.80 @ Betway
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.45 @ Betway
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.21
Birmingham Legion FC ▲
3.40
Draw ▲
2.87
New Mexico United ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.36
Birmingham Legion FC or Draw ▲
1.27
Birmingham Legion FC or New Mexico United ▲
1.60
Draw or New Mexico United ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.57
Yes ▼
2.25
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
10.94
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.21
Over 1.50
3.96
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.70
Over 2.50 ▼
1.94
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.67
Over 3.50 ▼
1.42
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.76
Over 4.50 ▼
1.15
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.64
Birmingham Legion FC ▲
2.14
New Mexico United ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.45
Over 7.50 ▲
2.43
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.79
Over 8.50 ▲
1.87
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.27
Over 9.50 ▲
1.54
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
3.20
Over 10.50 ▲
1.26
Under 10.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
4.60
Over 11.50 ▲
1.13
Under 11.50 ▼
Corners 1X2consensus
1.86
Birmingham Legion FC ▲
8.00
Draw ▼
2.20
New Mexico United ▼
Odd / Even Goalsconsensus
1.89
Odd
1.83
Even
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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