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Luke Spencer
FC Tulsa
Lexington SC
FC Tulsa
5-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Lexington SC
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
5'
P. Goodrum · Argument
5'
A. Cissoko · Argument
11'
L. Dorsey · Foul
16'
N. Firmino · Foul
30'
L. Stauffer · Argument
30'
L. Batista · Foul
36'
X. Zengue · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
57'
🔁
T. Scott ◂ N. Firmino
63'
🔁
M. Henry-Scott ◂ P. Goodrum
63'
🔁
J. Hafferty ◂ M. Epps
64'
🔁
A. Ordóñez ◂ K. ElMedkhar
64'
🔁
D. Pierre ◂ J. Sangwa
67'
T. Scott · Foul
75'
🔁
M. Yosef ◂ X. Zengue
75'
🔁
A. Ordoñez ◂ B. Ferri
77'
🔁
S. Lukic ◂ L. Dorsey
82'
🔁
A. Clarke ◂ Ian
82'
🔁
G. Colli ◂ B. Sparks
84'
M. Henry-Scott · Foul
Full-time · 0–0
90'+3
A. Molloy · Foul
-5'
L. Spencer · Argument
Coaches
Luke SpencerMasaki Hemmi 
Recent form
FC TulsaWHEl Paso Locomotive FC1-0
LHColorado Springs Switchbacks FC1-2
WHMonterey Bay FC2-0
LACharleston Battery1-5
DALas Vegas Lights0-0
Lexington SCWHOakland Roots SC2-0
LHNew Mexico United1-4
WAFC Tampa Bay Rowdies4-1
WHSan Antonio FC2-0
WAEl Paso Locomotive FC4-1
Where to watch
Betano
Match facts
Stadium
Oneok Field
City
Tulsa
Kickoff
26 Jul, 00:30 UTC
Competition
USL Championship
Highlights & clips
FC Tulsa
5-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Lexington SC
28
D. Jacomen
6.6
25
A. Clarke
6.7
↑ 82'
4
D. Pierre
6.7
↑ 64'
91
A. Cissoko
8.0
15
L. Batista
7.2
12
L. Stauffer
7.0
20
G. Colli
6.4
↑ 82'
8
J. C. Webber
6.9
13
J. Kocevski
7.3
9
A. Ordóñez
6.3
↑ 64'
22
S. Lukic
6.5
↑ 77'
17
O. Semmle
7.1
4
A. Ordoñez
6.7
↑ 75'
5
K. Burks
7.5
23
J. Brown
6.8
2
J. Greene
6.8
20
M. Yosef
6.4
↑ 75'
6
A. Molloy
7.9
19
T. Scott
6.5
↑ 57'
27
B. Rodrigues
7.3
22
J. Hafferty
7.2
↑ 63'
18
M. Henry-Scott
6.1
↑ 63'
Substitutes
1GA. Tambakis
98DIan↓ 82'7.2
44DJ. Sangwa↓ 64'6.8
17MB. Sparks↓ 82'7.5
10MK. ElMedkhar↓ 64'6.8
27MZ. Siranga
14FL. Dorsey↓ 77'6.1
19FN. Pierre
Coach: Luke Spencer
Substitutes
40GG. Addams
31GB. Thompson
12DX. Zengue↓ 75'6.3
21DM. Muir
16MB. Ferri↓ 75'7.4
8MN. Firmino↓ 57'6.5
7MM. Epps↓ 63'6.4
9FP. Goodrum↓ 63'6.3
Coach: Masaki Hemmi
Top stats
38%Possession62%
1.97Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.8
13Total shots11
2Shots on target2
1Big chances1
6Corners4
Shots
5Shots off target5
6Blocked shots4
8Shots inside box7
5Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances missed1
Attack
24Touches in box16
46Final third entries37
1Offsides0
18Free kicks13
2Fouled in final third3
Passing
240Passes400
177Accurate passes332
21/44 (48%)Long balls26/50 (52%)
4/17 (24%)Crosses3/13 (23%)
18Throw-ins20
Duels
49Duels51
31/62 (50%)Ground duels31/62 (50%)
15/31 (48%)Aerial duels16/29 (55%)
6/9 (67%)Dribbles9/15 (60%)
6Dispossessed2
Defending
8Tackles9
63Tackles won78
6Interceptions8
23Clearances14
33Recoveries30
Discipline
13Fouls18
4Yellow cards6
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
9Goal kicks10
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 14 bookmakers
Who winsLexington SC to win (DNB) 51% · 1.73 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 72% · 1.25 @ Marathon
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 61% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle
1X2Lexington SC to win 37% · 2.34 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 28% · 3.52 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 1.75 @ Betway
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.34 @ Betano
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 1.30 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 50% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle
1X2FC Tulsa to win 35% · 2.96 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.83
FC Tulsa ▲
3.30
Draw ▲
2.17
Lexington SC ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.52
FC Tulsa or Draw ▼
1.29
FC Tulsa or Lexington SC ▼
1.33
Draw or Lexington SC ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.69
Yes ▲
2.04
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50 ▲
9.70
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.28
Over 1.50 ▲
3.40
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.81
Over 2.50 ▼
1.81
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.14
Over 3.50 ▲
1.31
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.90
Over 4.50 ▲
1.11
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
2.06
FC Tulsa ▲
1.69
Lexington SC ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.22
Over 6.50
3.50
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.50
Over 7.50 ▲
2.39
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.84
Over 8.50 ▼
1.84
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.39
Over 9.50 ▲
1.50
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
3.28
Over 10.50
1.25
Under 10.50
Corners 1X2consensus
1.90
FC Tulsa
7.90
Draw
2.15
Lexington SC
Odd / Even Goalsconsensus
1.88
Odd ▼
1.83
Even ▲
1.5 – 1.3Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~8Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexington SC to win (DNB)Who wins | 51% | 51% | 1.82 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 72% | 72% | 1.25 | Overpriced | high |
| Under 9.5 cornersCorners | 61% | 61% | 1.51 | Overpriced | medium |
| Lexington SC to win1X2 | 37% | 37% | 2.49 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 28% | 28% | 3.21 | Overpriced | low |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 55% | 55% | 1.68 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 2.5 goalsGoals | 50% | 51% | 1.84 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 71% | 71% | 1.31 | Overpriced | high |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 73% | 72% | 1.28 | Overpriced | high |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 50% | 50% | 1.85 | Overpriced | low |
| FC Tulsa to win1X2 | 35% | 35% | 2.6 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: FC Tulsa to win (DNB) — we say 55%, they say 49%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 74% | -1% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% | 0% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 32% | -3% | No |
| Both teams to score | 55% | 55% | 0% | No |
| Home win | 35% | 44% | -9% | No |
| Draw | 28% | 29% | -1% | No |
| Away win | 37% | 27% | +10% | Yes |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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