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Rob Vincent
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
FC Tulsa
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
4-4-2 · 5-3-2
FC Tulsa
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
13'
⚽
L. Dorsey · assist J. C. Webber0–1
31'
A. Cissoko · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
A. Dikwa ◂ T. Amann
46'
🔁
E. Goldthorp ◂ R. Mertz
64'
🔁
K. ElMedkhar ◂ B. Sparks
64'
🔁
D. Pierre ◂ Ian
65'
🔁
Y. Tsukanome ◂ P. Barnes
65'
🔁
M. Viera ◂ S. Bassett
74'
🔁
O. Damm ◂ J. Sangwa
77'
🔁
L. J. Kelp ◂ I. Osumanu
82'
🔁
A. Clarke ◂ A. Cissoko
83'
🔁
G. Colli ◂ J. Kocevski
Full-time · 0–1
Coaches
Rob VincentLuke Spencer 
Recent form
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsLHRhode Island FC0-1
WHLouisville City FC3-1
LASC Jacksonville1-2
LHBrooklyn FC0-2
DAHartford Athletic0-0
FC TulsaDHLexington SC0-0
WHEl Paso Locomotive FC1-0
LHColorado Springs Switchbacks FC1-2
WHMonterey Bay FC2-0
LACharleston Battery1-5
Where to watch
Disney+
Match facts
Stadium
Highmark Stadium
City
Pittsburgh
Kickoff
29 Jul, 23:00 UTC
Competition
USL Championship
Highlights & clips
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
4-4-2 · 5-3-2
FC Tulsa
1
N. Campuzano
6.8
13
M. Viera
7.2
↑ 65'
6
O. Mikoy
6.6
4
L. J. Kelp
6.9
↑ 77'
8
B. Etou
6.4
10
C. Ahl
6.5
42
J. Walti
7.5
2
D. Griffin
6.6
37
E. Goldthorp
6.7
↑ 46'
36
Y. Tsukanome
6.7
↑ 65'
9
A. Dikwa
6.7
↑ 46'
28
D. Jacomen
7.4
2
O. Damm
6.6
↑ 74'
4
D. Pierre
6.8
↑ 64'
25
A. Clarke
6.6
↑ 82'
15
L. Batista
7.1
12
L. Stauffer
7.0
10
K. ElMedkhar
6.3
↑ 64'
20
G. Colli
6.4
↑ 83'
8
J. C. Webber
7.2
14
L. Dorsey
7.7
9
A. Ordóñez
6.2
Substitutes
24GM. Sheridan
28DI. Osumanu↓ 77'6.7
5DV. Souza
3MP. Barnes↓ 65'6.6
19FS. Bassett↓ 65'6.8
7FT. Amann↓ 46'6.6
14FR. Mertz↓ 46'6.2
27FA. Flowers-Gamboa
Coach: Rob Vincent
Substitutes
1GA. Tambakis
98DIan↓ 64'6.9
44DJ. Sangwa↓ 74'6.6
91DA. Cissoko↓ 82'6.6
13MJ. Kocevski↓ 83'7.0
17MB. Sparks↓ 64'6.2
22MS. Lukic
Coach: Luke Spencer
Top stats
56%Possession44%
0.54Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.61
7Total shots10
1Shots on target3
1Big chances1
1Corners4
Shots
4Shots off target4
2Blocked shots3
4Shots inside box3
3Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances missed1
Attack
14Touches in box13
93Final third entries78
1Offsides0
12Free kicks10
4Fouled in final third0
Passing
419Passes325
294Accurate passes218
19/63 (30%)Long balls37/98 (38%)
4/17 (24%)Crosses4/14 (29%)
44Throw-ins26
Duels
57Duels43
34/60 (57%)Ground duels27/61 (44%)
36/63 (57%)Aerial duels26/62 (42%)
3/13 (23%)Dribbles7/17 (41%)
2Dispossessed10
Defending
20Tackles12
60Tackles won50
11Interceptions14
16Clearances37
40Recoveries51
Discipline
10Fouls12
0Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves1
6Goal kicks11
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 61 bookmakers
Who winsPittsburgh to win (DNB) 70% · 1.40 @ Betano
CornersUnder 8.5 corners 53% · 1.85 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 58% · 1.66 @ betfair
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 64% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 74% · 1.23 @ betcity
BTTSBTTS: No 54% · 1.83 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 78% · 1.24 @ betfair
1X2Pittsburgh to win 50% · 1.93 @ betfair
1X2Draw 28% · 3.58 @ efbet.net
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 66% · 1.49 @ betfair
1X2FC Tulsa to win 22% · 4.80 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.83
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3.25
Draw ▼
4.11
FC Tulsa ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.19
Pittsburgh Riverhounds or Draw ▲
1.28
Pittsburgh Riverhounds or FC Tulsa
1.82
Draw or FC Tulsa ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.03
Yes
1.70
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.08
Over 0.50 ▲
6.92
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.39
Over 1.50 ▼
2.72
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.22
Over 2.50
1.58
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.10
Over 3.50 ▼
1.19
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.75
Over 4.50 ▲
1.06
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.34
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2.96
FC Tulsa ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.24
Over 6.50
3.31
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.56
Over 7.50 ▲
2.30
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.96
Over 8.50 ▲
1.72
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.56
Over 9.50 ▲
1.43
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
3.46
Over 10.50
1.22
Under 10.50
Corners 1X2consensus
1.58
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
8.20
Draw
2.76
FC Tulsa
Odd / Even Goalsconsensus
1.87
Over
1.82
E
1.2 – 1.1Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~8Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh to win (DNB)Who wins | 70% | 70% | 1.33 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 8.5 cornersCorners | 53% | 53% | 1.76 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 2.5 goalsGoals | 58% | 58% | 1.58 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 9.5 cornersCorners | 64% | 64% | 1.43 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 74% | 74% | 1.22 | Overpriced | high |
| BTTS: NoBTTS | 54% | 54% | 1.7 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 78% | 78% | 1.19 | Overpriced | high |
| Pittsburgh to win1X2 | 50% | 50% | 1.83 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 28% | 28% | 3.25 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 66% | 66% | 1.39 | Overpriced | medium |
| FC Tulsa to win1X2 | 22% | 22% | 4.11 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: FC Tulsa to win (DNB) — we say 47%, they say 30%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 74% | -8% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 50% | -8% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 32% | -10% | No |
| Both teams to score | 46% | 55% | -9% | No |
| Home win | 50% | 44% | +6% | Yes |
| Draw | 28% | 29% | -1% | No |
| Away win | 22% | 27% | -5% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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